Éric Grenier
@ericgrenier.bsky.social
I cover elections at The Writ (http://thewrit.ca), The Numbers (http://thenumberspod.ca) and Les chiffres (http://leschiffres.ca) Follow me on YouTube: http://youtube.com/@TheWrit
Every week, I profile the history of one of Canada's past elections or leadership races. Here are some of those profiles of provincial campaigns in Saskatchewan: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...
#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan
Capsules on Saskatchewan's elections from The Weekly Writ
www.thewrit.ca
January 29, 2026 at 3:17 PM
Every week, I profile the history of one of Canada's past elections or leadership races. Here are some of those profiles of provincial campaigns in Saskatchewan: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...
What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review
Plus, a look at Mark Carney's post-Davos bump in the polls.
www.thewrit.ca
January 29, 2026 at 2:46 PM
What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back
It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
January 27, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back
It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.
www.thewrit.ca
January 27, 2026 at 8:36 PM
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. Join to listen or watch (ad-free) right away! www.patreon.com/posts/149255...
(VIDEO) Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
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January 27, 2026 at 3:48 PM
Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. Join to listen or watch (ad-free) right away! www.patreon.com/posts/149255...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most
Has the Conservative leader consolidated his base at the expense of growth?
www.thewrit.ca
January 22, 2026 at 1:16 PM
Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
In this members-only mailbag episode, we answer questions on where Pierre Poilievre should (or could) run in the next election and who would have their electoral chances improve if they magically learned French. Plus lots more! www.patreon.com/posts/number...
The Numbers Mailbag #27 | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
January 22, 2026 at 3:41 PM
In this members-only mailbag episode, we answer questions on where Pierre Poilievre should (or could) run in the next election and who would have their electoral chances improve if they magically learned French. Plus lots more! www.patreon.com/posts/number...
Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most
Has the Conservative leader consolidated his base at the expense of growth?
www.thewrit.ca
January 22, 2026 at 1:16 PM
Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem?
A new poll has Pierre Poilievre's negative rating hitting a new high. Plus, François Legault's resignation shakes up Quebec's election.
www.thewrit.ca
January 20, 2026 at 8:47 PM
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem?
A new poll has Pierre Poilievre's negative rating hitting a new high. Plus, François Legault's resignation shakes up Quebec's election.
www.thewrit.ca
January 20, 2026 at 8:47 PM
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Patreon members get early and ad-free access to episodes every week. Join now to listen or watch right away: www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
January 20, 2026 at 3:32 PM
This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Patreon members get early and ad-free access to episodes every week. Join now to listen or watch right away: www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now?
François Legault quits as Quebec premier with less than nine months to go before the provincial election.
www.thewrit.ca
January 15, 2026 at 1:35 PM
What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Nouvel épisode du balado "Les chiffres", en primeur et sans publicité, incluant le segment bonus où nous répondons aux questions de nos membres. Disponible dès maintenant ici: www.patreon.com/posts/148294...
Legault démissionne | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
January 15, 2026 at 4:28 PM
Nouvel épisode du balado "Les chiffres", en primeur et sans publicité, incluant le segment bonus où nous répondons aux questions de nos membres. Disponible dès maintenant ici: www.patreon.com/posts/148294...
What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now?
François Legault quits as Quebec premier with less than nine months to go before the provincial election.
www.thewrit.ca
January 15, 2026 at 1:35 PM
What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
One byelection will happen soon — and maybe more! This week, we break down what the upcoming byelections could mean and what the latest federal polls are saying. Plus, provincial leadership races heat up. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: New year, new byelections?
Chrystia Freeland's resignation opens up a vacancy in the House and more seats will likely need to be filled soon.
www.thewrit.ca
January 13, 2026 at 8:42 PM
One byelection will happen soon — and maybe more! This week, we break down what the upcoming byelections could mean and what the latest federal polls are saying. Plus, provincial leadership races heat up. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
One byelection will happen soon — and maybe more! This week, we break down what the upcoming byelections could mean and what the latest federal polls are saying. Plus, provincial leadership races heat up. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: New year, new byelections?
Chrystia Freeland's resignation opens up a vacancy in the House and more seats will likely need to be filled soon.
www.thewrit.ca
January 13, 2026 at 8:42 PM
One byelection will happen soon — and maybe more! This week, we break down what the upcoming byelections could mean and what the latest federal polls are saying. Plus, provincial leadership races heat up. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
In our first episode of the year, we chat about the upcoming byelection(s) that could set the tone for the next few months. Join now to listen or watch right away, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) New year, new byelections? | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
January 13, 2026 at 4:33 PM
In our first episode of the year, we chat about the upcoming byelection(s) that could set the tone for the next few months. Join now to listen or watch right away, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
What's the value of an incumbent or a star candidate? I dived deep into the data from the last seven federal elections for this second instalment of the Model Development Diary: www.thewrit.ca/p/model-deve...
Model Development Diary #2: Do candidates matter?
And if so, by how much?
www.thewrit.ca
December 21, 2025 at 2:21 PM
What's the value of an incumbent or a star candidate? I dived deep into the data from the last seven federal elections for this second instalment of the Model Development Diary: www.thewrit.ca/p/model-deve...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
What will happen in Quebec's election? Could another province go to the polls unexpectedly? We make predictions about that and more in this second part of our Over/Under Contest for 2026: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in provincial politics
The second part of our Fifth Annual Over/Under Contest!
www.thewrit.ca
December 30, 2025 at 8:45 PM
What will happen in Quebec's election? Could another province go to the polls unexpectedly? We make predictions about that and more in this second part of our Over/Under Contest for 2026: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Pierre Poilievre's leadership review, the NDP's leadership race and Mark Carney's poll numbers. Plus, will there be an election next year? Philippe and I take out our crystal balls for our annual tradition — the Over/Under Contest! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in federal politics!
The first part of our Fifth Annual Over/Under Contest.
www.thewrit.ca
December 24, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Pierre Poilievre's leadership review, the NDP's leadership race and Mark Carney's poll numbers. Plus, will there be an election next year? Philippe and I take out our crystal balls for our annual tradition — the Over/Under Contest! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
What will happen in Quebec's election? Could another province go to the polls unexpectedly? We make predictions about that and more in this second part of our Over/Under Contest for 2026: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in provincial politics
The second part of our Fifth Annual Over/Under Contest!
www.thewrit.ca
December 30, 2025 at 8:45 PM
What will happen in Quebec's election? Could another province go to the polls unexpectedly? We make predictions about that and more in this second part of our Over/Under Contest for 2026: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
Reposted by Éric Grenier
Only days left in 2025. But what does 2026 have in store? Philippe and I make some predictions for the year in federal politics to come: www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMAS...
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in federal politics
YouTube video by Éric Grenier
www.youtube.com
December 29, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Only days left in 2025. But what does 2026 have in store? Philippe and I make some predictions for the year in federal politics to come: www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMAS...
With the new year nearly upon us, Philippe and I make some predictions about what could happen at the provincial scene in 2026. How will the Quebec election play out? Will other provinces go to the polls? Join now to watch or listen right away, and ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
(VIDEO) Predicting 2026 in provincial politics | The Numbers / Les chiffres
Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon
www.patreon.com
December 30, 2025 at 2:50 PM
With the new year nearly upon us, Philippe and I make some predictions about what could happen at the provincial scene in 2026. How will the Quebec election play out? Will other provinces go to the polls? Join now to watch or listen right away, and ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/video-...
Only days left in 2025. But what does 2026 have in store? Philippe and I make some predictions for the year in federal politics to come: www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMAS...
The Numbers: Predicting 2026 in federal politics
YouTube video by Éric Grenier
www.youtube.com
December 29, 2025 at 1:42 PM
Only days left in 2025. But what does 2026 have in store? Philippe and I make some predictions for the year in federal politics to come: www.youtube.com/watch?v=cMAS...