Have the clergy historically done a good job of policing themselves? Alternately RITOKATE and the organisations with the most secrecy do the worst job. All your examples have a lot of internal secrecy.
I don't know what your definition of a profession of arms is. Naively I thought just something like a group of people soldiering for a career, or a critical mass of such, or at all levels, or something like that. Clearly you mean something much more specific.
My apartment block was mostly one colour, one culture. A mixed-race couple moved in and they were visibly different. Clarification: The apartment's full of Indians (25% of the district, 80+% of the block). I'm white, I was in the couple. Now I wonder if they'd rather I left. No one said anything.
There are plenty of reasonable things one could write after that but. "...but there's good evidence X is not a nazi." "...but this is in fact even worse for this reason." "...but there's something else here we should notice." You're rejecting a post the way ChatGPT constructs one, by correlation.
To make it tactically more interesting, what if you weren't limited to 20 overs an innings, but to 40 overs in total over your two innings? Then you could declare your first innings when you thought it best.
Many children have asked where glyptodonts go when they become extinct, Darren. The answer is they go to a farm where they can run around and be happy and people pet them and if the people pet them wrong the the glyptodont thagomises them.
As I recall Tetlock's Expert Political Judgement tried a similar study and remarked that some of the problem was that most of the people giving answers to probabilistic questions had no understanding of probability. They'd e.g. give higher probabilities to "A & B happen" than to "A happens".
They have an overlap but it's not all that big: most SF is clearly not fantasy and most fantasy is clearly not SF. The OP is specifically talking about SF, not fantasy, and I think it's perfectly possible to do that. The blurry line between SF and superhero, or thrillers, is more problematic.
To test your theory we would need to find something sportspeople do worse at the start of the match than at the end and see how much they are blamed for it. But I'm not sure there is anything like that in cricket.
