How should Europe respond to China’s bid for global leadership? In our new paper, Dr Janka Oertel explores two paths: deeper integration into China’s economic orbit, or a turn toward strategic competition. Learn more www.sant.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/u... Supported by @stiftungmercator.bsky.social

Europe can’t secure itself without Turkey. Yet distrust and limited cooperation still block real partnership. How Brussels and Ankara can bridge the gap — read the new paper by Galip Dalay (Chatham House; Oxford Univ., Dahrendorf Programme) europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...

Before Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska, it is worth recalling the article by @fromtga.bsky.social: "For the foreseeable future Europe will face a revanchist Russia determined to regain effective control over as much of its former empire as it can" timothygartonash.substack.com/p/the-fight-...

9 years ago today, a narrow majority of Brits voted for #Brexit. Even bigger than economic cost is that to Britain's soft power, international clout & sense of strategic direction.
How can you be a 'bridge' with no firm foundations on either the EU or (now) the US river bank?

“Trump will never stop being hostile toward Europe.”
An insightful take on US–EU relations by foreign policy experts Robert Kagan (Brookings) and @dimitarbechev.bsky.social (Dahrendorf Programme). It's in German—but easy to follow and well worth translating www.aufruhr-magazin.de/europa/rober...

Poland will be politically hamstrung just when Europe most needs it to be strong. My first take on Poland's presidential election in my History of the Present Substack newsletter (subscribe – it's free!).
timothygartonash.substack.com/p/polands-ne...

Is antiliberalism the new global ideology?
Interesting take on Robert Kagan's Dahrendorf lecture by @ezgibasaran.bsky.social
ezgibasaran.substack.com/p/im-not-sur...

Key notes from Dahrendorf Lecture by Dr.Kagan •Ideological component in Trump’s anti-liberal policies •Europe is increasingly vulnerable, caught between an anti-liberal US & Russia •EU must strengthen its security to protect liberalism @stiftungmercator.bsky.social @fnfreiheit.bsky.social

The Dahrendorf Lecture, "After Paradise: The US, EU, and UK in a Disordered World" by Dr. Robert Kagan (Brookings Institution), is happening tonight! Save the link and join the livestream at 5 GMT podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K... @stiftungmercator.bsky.social @fnfreiheit.bsky.social

Key insights from the Dahrendorf workshop on Europe–China relations:
🔹Trump policies brought the EU and China closer.
🔹It's the right time to rethink and restructure the partnership.
🔹Opportunities in trade, security, tech & climate.
🔹Shared status quo power = stronger global influence.

A New World (Dis)Order is the theme of this year’s Dahrendorf Lecture and Colloquium. How will Europe navigate this new reality? International experts are coming to Oxford to discuss global political challenges. Join the livestream of Friday's lecture by Dr. Kagan podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K...

Are Europeans now from Mars and Americans from…Krypton? Join us online for the Dahrendorf Lecture by Robert Kagan, this Friday, May 2, 5 pm UK time. @dahrendorfoxford.bsky.social @dimitarbechev.bsky.social
Link: podcasts.ox.ac.uk/Dahrendorf-K...

1. Only 22% of EUropeans say they regard the US as an 'ally'. Less than Russians who say that of Chinese and vice versa. For me one of the most startling results of our latest global poll with @ECFR
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Is there a "Trump effect" on the transatlantic alliance? 🌍

🇪🇺 Just 1 in 5 Europeans now view the U.S. as an ally—a sharp decline from two years ago.
🇺🇸 In contrast, half of Americans see the EU as an ally, with a rising share (24% → 32%) calling it a necessary partner.

What’s driving this shift? 🤔

Unsere neue Umfrage könnt ihr hier lesen 👇https://ecfr.eu/publication/alone-in-a-trumpian-world-the-eu-and-global-public-opinion-after-the-us-elections/

What does Trump’s return mean for geopolitics? Could it even de-escalate conflicts? 🤔 Interestingly, our poll reveals optimism about easing tensions in Ukraine 🇺🇦, the Middle East, and U.S.-China relations 🇺🇸🇨🇳:

In their new report, @fromtga.bsky.social, Mark Leonard, & Ivan Krastev analyse insights from 28,549 participants 🌍 across 24 countries. Global views on Trump’s re-election are sharply divided—Europe is deeply concerned, while nations like 🇮🇳, 🇨🇳, & 🇧🇷 see new opportunities:

"Alone in a Trumpian World," our latest global opinion poll covering 24 countries is out now 🌍. It reveals how people worldwide view Trump’s re-election, its impact on global conflicts, and the shifting role of Europe in geopolitics. Read the full report:
europeanmoments.com/changing-wor...