Conflict Dispatch
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Conflict Dispatch
@conflictdispatch.bsky.social
OSINT △ Geopolitics △ Donate to DIU Legion below (not affiliated)

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🇺🇸🇪🇺🇺🇦 BREAKING: Bloomberg says the US and EU drafted security guarantees for Ukraine: an 800,000-strong Ukrainian army as main deterrent, US intelligence support, and European forces deployed away from the front with backing from US capabilities. Putin’s acceptance remains uncertain.
December 18, 2025 at 5:49 PM
🇱🇧 NEW: Lebanese Armed Forces are reportedly ready to begin disarming Hezbollah between the Litani and Awali rivers, marking an unprecedented step by Beirut to curb Hezbollah’s military presence north of the Litani, per ISW.
December 18, 2025 at 3:51 PM
🇪🇺🇷🇺 NEW: The EU sanctioned 41 more Russian “shadow fleet” vessels, banning port access and maritime services. The move brings the total to nearly 600 ships, targeting oil revenues, sanctions evasion, military transport, and stolen Ukrainian goods.
December 18, 2025 at 3:17 PM
🇪🇪🇷🇺 NEW: Estonia says three Russian border guards briefly crossed into Estonian territory near the Narva River on Dec. 17, staying about 20 minutes before returning. Tallinn summoned a Russian envoy.
December 18, 2025 at 11:05 AM
🇺🇸🇻🇪 WATCH: US SOUTHCOM has released new footage showing a strike on a boat allegedly carrying narcotics amid rising tensions with Venezuela.
December 18, 2025 at 1:35 AM
🇨🇴🇻🇪 NEW: Maduro urged Colombia to join Venezuela militarily against foreign interference, invoking the 206th anniversary of Gran Colombia to frame the appeal.
December 18, 2025 at 1:29 AM
🇺🇸🇪🇨🇻🇪 BREAKING: Ecuador’s National Assembly approved a resolution backing international efforts to restore democracy in Venezuela and supporting the detention of Nicolás Maduro, passing with 80 votes in favor.
December 18, 2025 at 12:39 AM
🇺🇸🇻🇪 NOW: US President Trump said yesterday that he will deliver an address to the nation at 9:00 p.m. EST today (in roughly 1.5 hours).

We will see what happens.
December 18, 2025 at 12:22 AM
🇺🇸🇻🇪 BREAKING: The US House rejected Democratic War Powers resolutions that would have required congressional approval for strikes inside Venezuela and halted US boat attacks. The votes, largely along party lines, hand Trump a win for his campaign against Maduro.
December 18, 2025 at 12:12 AM
🇺🇸🇺🇦🇷🇺 NEW: Politico reports US and Russian officials will likely meet in Miami this weekend to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Russia is expected to send Kirill Dmitriev, while the US side may include Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. The White House has not commented.
December 17, 2025 at 8:17 PM
🇪🇺🇧🇪🇷🇺 BREAKING: European intelligence says Russian GRU is intimidating Belgian politicians and Euroclear executives to block using €185B in frozen Russian assets for Ukraine. Threats target key figures as the EU debates a €90B loan, with Belgium officially citing legal risks.
December 17, 2025 at 7:53 PM
🇺🇦🇷🇺 NEW: Russia has sunk barges at the entrance to its Novorossiysk naval pier to block Ukrainian naval drones, effectively barricading the port. The move also traps remaining Black Sea Fleet vessels inside, after a Ukrainian strike damaged a Russian submarine there.
December 17, 2025 at 6:58 PM
🇺🇸🇹🇷🇷🇺 NEW: Turkey wants to return Russian S-400 systems under US pressure, per Bloomberg. In exchange, Washington would lift sanctions on Turkey’s defense sector and restore access to F-35 jets. Erdogan raised the issue with Putin on Dec. 13.
December 17, 2025 at 5:48 PM
🇺🇦🇷🇺 BREAKING: Zelensky said Moscow is signaling that 2026 is being prepared as a year of war, adding that these messages are not only aimed at Ukraine and that partners must recognize them and respond.
December 17, 2025 at 5:14 PM
🇺🇦🇷🇺 JUST IN: Russia presented a video as “proof” to support its claim of control of Kupiansk in Ukraine.

However, it was geolocated to Tavilzhanka, about 20 km away, per DeepState.
December 17, 2025 at 4:54 PM
🇪🇺🇺🇦 NEW: Zelensky will attend the EU leaders’ summit in Brussels on Dec. 18–19, according to Bloomberg. The meeting is seen as crucial, with leaders set to decide the fate of frozen Russian assets and whether they will be used for a reparations loan to Ukraine.
December 17, 2025 at 4:31 PM
🇺🇦🇷🇺 WATCH: Russia’s MoD again claims Kupiansk is under Russian control, but Ukraine disproved this. Zelensky released video from the city, DeepState says Russia holds <1 km², and Ukraine’s MoD reports nearly 90% of Kupiansk is under Ukrainian control after a counteroffensive.
December 17, 2025 at 4:18 PM
🇺🇸🇪🇺🇷🇺 WATCH: Putin claims Europe has “no civilization” and is in decline, while also whining that Russia was denied equal inclusion in Europe and Western civilization.

Putin seems to forget that Russia, a feudal, Eurasian horde country, constantly attacks its neighbors.
December 17, 2025 at 12:52 PM
🇺🇸🇿🇦 NEW: South Africa briefly detained and then released two US government officials involved in a Trump administration effort to admit Afrikaners as refugees, CNN reports. Washington demanded clarification, calling any interference with US refugee operations “unacceptable.”
December 17, 2025 at 12:32 PM
🇺🇸🇪🇺🇺🇦 NEW: The US urged EU states not to use frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine, preferring to keep them for future talks with the Kremlin, per Politico. A few EU member states also back Belgium’s opposition to the allocation of funds to Ukraine.
December 17, 2025 at 11:31 AM
🇳🇴🇺🇦 JUST IN: Norway will fund another batch of US weapons for Ukraine, allocating over €267M, PM Jonas Gahr Støre said. The package includes air-defense missiles plus weapons and ammunition for F-16 fighter jets, per Pravda.
December 17, 2025 at 11:27 AM
🇪🇺🇧🇪🇺🇦 NEW: Belgium is blocking the EU’s plan to fund a €210B Ukraine loan using frozen Russian assets, saying Commission guarantees are insufficient. Italy, Malta, Bulgaria and Czechia back exploring alternatives like joint debt, risking no deal before the leaders’ summit.
December 16, 2025 at 3:32 PM
🇵🇱🏴 NEW: Polish authorities say they foiled a planned Islamic State–inspired attack on a Christmas market, arresting a student accused of preparing an explosives attack and seeking terrorist support. The case follows earlier arrests of teenagers plotting similar attacks.
December 16, 2025 at 3:23 PM
🇺🇸🇺🇦 JUST IN: Zelensky said Ukraine and the US have not discussed timelines for security guarantees yet. He noted it remains unclear whether any guarantees would be time-limited. Earlier the US and Europe agreed on NATO-like security guarantees for Ukraine.
December 16, 2025 at 3:20 PM
🇬🇧🇺🇦 JUST IN: The UK announced a £600M air-defense package for Ukraine, including air-defense systems, missiles, and automated anti-drone turrets to counter Russian UAVs over winter.
December 16, 2025 at 3:02 PM