Center for European Policy Analysis
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The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) | CEPA’s mission is to ensure a strong and democratic transatlantic alliance for future generations. Media inquiries: [email protected]
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High Stakes in the High North: Harnessing Uncrewed Capabilities for Arctic Defense and Security
Uncrewed systems and UAVs are helping allies confront Russia's presence and the rapidly changing security dynamics in the Arctic.
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The Arctic is a prescient strategic challenge, and NATO allies must adapt their defense posture in the region. Federico Borsari and Gordon B. "Skip" Davis discuss how investment in drone technology can bolster the alliance. cepa.org/commentary/h...
Russia’s Propagandists: Welcome to 2026, the Year of the Savage | "Humanity’s base nature is once again triumphing, say Putin’s commentators. Say hello to the return of cruelty, greed, and bloodlust." Julia Davis https://cepa.org/article/russias-propagandists-welcome-to-2026-the-year-of-the-savage/
January 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Russia’s Propagandists: Welcome to 2026, the Year of the Savage | "Humanity’s base nature is once again triumphing, say Putin’s commentators. Say hello to the return of cruelty, greed, and bloodlust." Julia Davis https://cepa.org/article/russias-propagandists-welcome-to-2026-the-year-of-the-savage/
Russia Loses Venezuela, the Avocado Ally | "The Kremlin has waved goodbye to another ally, at a low-ish cost in rubles but a higher price in political currency." Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/russia-loses-venezuela-the-avocado-ally/
Russia Loses Venezuela, the Avocado Ally
The Kremlin has waved goodbye to another ally, at a low-ish cost in rubles but a higher price in political currency.
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January 16, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Russia Loses Venezuela, the Avocado Ally | "The Kremlin has waved goodbye to another ally, at a low-ish cost in rubles but a higher price in political currency." Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/russia-loses-venezuela-the-avocado-ally/
What a Wonderful World: Subzero Ukraine Edition | "When you live in Ukraine, you learn that the weather forecast is not just about weather." Lera Burlakova https://cepa.org/article/what-a-wonderful-world-subzero-ukraine-edition/
What a Wonderful World: Subzero Ukraine Edition
When you live in Ukraine, you learn that the subzero weather forecast is not just about the weather.
cepa.org
January 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM
What a Wonderful World: Subzero Ukraine Edition | "When you live in Ukraine, you learn that the weather forecast is not just about weather." Lera Burlakova https://cepa.org/article/what-a-wonderful-world-subzero-ukraine-edition/
Shadow Tankers, Hard Power, and an Unready UK | "Britain and many of its European allies are struggling to acknowledge that soft power is of little use in an increasingly hard power world." James Fennell https://cepa.org/article/shadow-tankers-hard-power-and-an-unready-uk/
Shadow Tankers, Hard Power, and an Unready UK
Britain and many of its European allies are struggling to acknowledge that soft power is of little use in an increasingly hard power world.
cepa.org
January 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Shadow Tankers, Hard Power, and an Unready UK | "Britain and many of its European allies are struggling to acknowledge that soft power is of little use in an increasingly hard power world." James Fennell https://cepa.org/article/shadow-tankers-hard-power-and-an-unready-uk/
At the start of 2026, Ukraine finds itself in a precarious position. Marianna Fakhurdinova dissects past decisions and proposes what should be done next to ensure a critical flow of assistance and support to Ukraine.
Wartime Assistance to Ukraine: The Successes, Failures, and Future Prospects of US and EU Support Models
Ukraine finds itself in a precarious position, making it all the more critical to secure the flow of EU & US military assistance and support.
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January 15, 2026 at 5:32 PM
At the start of 2026, Ukraine finds itself in a precarious position. Marianna Fakhurdinova dissects past decisions and proposes what should be done next to ensure a critical flow of assistance and support to Ukraine.
Ukraine: Faith in US Dwindles But We Won’t Fold | "Ukrainians are ready for peace, but not at any price." Kateryna Odarchenko https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-faith-in-us-dwindles-but-we-wont-fold/
Ukraine: Faith in US Dwindles But We Won’t Fold
72% of Ukrainians say they could support a peace plan that freezes the conflict. Ukrainians are ready for peace, but not at any price.
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January 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Ukraine: Faith in US Dwindles But We Won’t Fold | "Ukrainians are ready for peace, but not at any price." Kateryna Odarchenko https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-faith-in-us-dwindles-but-we-wont-fold/
Redeploy Ukraine’s F-16s to Hurt Russia | "The aircraft have a near-unique ability to hit Russian targets but only if Europe provides them with the right munitions." David Axe https://cepa.org/article/redeploy-ukraines-f-16s-to-hurt-russia/
Redeploy Ukraine’s F-16s to Hurt Russia
The F-16 aircraft have a near-unique ability to hit Russian targets but only if Europe provides them with the right munitions.
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January 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Redeploy Ukraine’s F-16s to Hurt Russia | "The aircraft have a near-unique ability to hit Russian targets but only if Europe provides them with the right munitions." David Axe https://cepa.org/article/redeploy-ukraines-f-16s-to-hurt-russia/
US Explores State Capitalism | "By taking minority stakes in strategically vital firms, Washington reshapes how it pursues national security." Elly Rostoum https://cepa.org/article/us-explores-state-capitalism/
US Explores State Capitalism
By taking minority stakes in strategically vital firms, Washington reshapes how it pursues national security.
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January 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM
US Explores State Capitalism | "By taking minority stakes in strategically vital firms, Washington reshapes how it pursues national security." Elly Rostoum https://cepa.org/article/us-explores-state-capitalism/
Russian Propaganda Infects AI Chatbots | "A Moscow-based global “news” network is leveraging Western artificial intelligence tools to devastating effect." Mitzi Perdue https://cepa.org/article/russian-propaganda-infects-ai-chatbots/
January 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Russian Propaganda Infects AI Chatbots | "A Moscow-based global “news” network is leveraging Western artificial intelligence tools to devastating effect." Mitzi Perdue https://cepa.org/article/russian-propaganda-infects-ai-chatbots/
Ukraine’s War Museum Gathers Evidence (and Mends Minds) | "Collecting evidence of war crimes and helping heal the wounds they cause go hand-in-hand in a pioneering project at a Kyiv museum." Mitzi Perdue https://cepa.org/article/ukraines-war-museum-gathers-evidence-and-mends-minds/
Ukraine’s War Museum Gathers Evidence (and Mends Minds)
Collecting evidence of war crimes and helping heal the wounds they cause go hand-in-hand in a pioneering project at a Kyiv museum.
cepa.org
January 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Ukraine’s War Museum Gathers Evidence (and Mends Minds) | "Collecting evidence of war crimes and helping heal the wounds they cause go hand-in-hand in a pioneering project at a Kyiv museum." Mitzi Perdue https://cepa.org/article/ukraines-war-museum-gathers-evidence-and-mends-minds/
A Sobering New Year for Russia’s Propagandists | "Russia’s new year is off to a rocky start, as its hopes and dreams are dashed by reality." Julia Davis https://cepa.org/article/a-sobering-new-year-for-russias-propagandists/
January 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM
A Sobering New Year for Russia’s Propagandists | "Russia’s new year is off to a rocky start, as its hopes and dreams are dashed by reality." Julia Davis https://cepa.org/article/a-sobering-new-year-for-russias-propagandists/
"Putin will face disappointment if he expects swift sanctions relief from the current round of diplomacy to settle Russia’s war against Ukraine. Sanctions alleviation won’t come easily or quickly," Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/putins-sanctions-demands-doomed-to-disappointment/
Putin’s Sanctions Demands Doomed to Disappointment
The vast web of measures that ensnare the Russian economy will not easily be removed, even if the West acts in unison.
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January 13, 2026 at 4:00 PM
"Putin will face disappointment if he expects swift sanctions relief from the current round of diplomacy to settle Russia’s war against Ukraine. Sanctions alleviation won’t come easily or quickly," Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/putins-sanctions-demands-doomed-to-disappointment/
"What happens if sanctions on the Central Bank are lifted, or if any peace treaty does not include reparation payments?" Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/frozen-europe-struggles-to-agree-ukraine-lifeline/
January 13, 2026 at 2:00 PM
"What happens if sanctions on the Central Bank are lifted, or if any peace treaty does not include reparation payments?" Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/frozen-europe-struggles-to-agree-ukraine-lifeline/
Putin Gets a Drenching in High Seas Drama | "The fallout from the seizure of a Russian oil tanker could be extremely dangerous." Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan https://cepa.org/article/putin-gets-a-drenching-in-high-seas-drama/
January 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM
Putin Gets a Drenching in High Seas Drama | "The fallout from the seizure of a Russian oil tanker could be extremely dangerous." Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan https://cepa.org/article/putin-gets-a-drenching-in-high-seas-drama/
Vučić Hangs on and Hopes for Better Days | "Serbia’s administration suffered severe setbacks in 2025. There’s no immediate prospect of any improvement." Ferenc Németh https://cepa.org/article/vucic-hangs-on-and-hopes-for-better-days/
January 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Vučić Hangs on and Hopes for Better Days | "Serbia’s administration suffered severe setbacks in 2025. There’s no immediate prospect of any improvement." Ferenc Németh https://cepa.org/article/vucic-hangs-on-and-hopes-for-better-days/
Greenland, Venezuela, and Europe’s Year of Pain | "US President Trump’s action in Venezuela and desire to annex Greenland underline the urgent need for Europe to stand on its own two feet." Margaryta Khostova & Amelia Hadfield https://cepa.org/article/greenland-venezuela-and-europes-year-of-pain/
Greenland, Venezuela, and Europe’s Year of Pain
US President Trump’s action in Venezuela and desire to annex Greenland underline the urgent need for Europe to stand on its own two feet.
cepa.org
January 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Greenland, Venezuela, and Europe’s Year of Pain | "US President Trump’s action in Venezuela and desire to annex Greenland underline the urgent need for Europe to stand on its own two feet." Margaryta Khostova & Amelia Hadfield https://cepa.org/article/greenland-venezuela-and-europes-year-of-pain/
Preparing to Confront Russia’s Shadow Fleet | "Europe needs to share intelligence and exploit legal “gray zones” to tackle Russia’s sanctions-busting shadow fleet." Mykyta Vorobiov https://cepa.org/article/preparing-to-confront-russias-shadow-fleet/
December 24, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Preparing to Confront Russia’s Shadow Fleet | "Europe needs to share intelligence and exploit legal “gray zones” to tackle Russia’s sanctions-busting shadow fleet." Mykyta Vorobiov https://cepa.org/article/preparing-to-confront-russias-shadow-fleet/
Europe Rescues Ukraine, Sort Of | “The greatest treason,” wrote the poet TS Elliot, is “to do the right deed for the wrong reason.” https://cepa.org/article/europe-rescues-ukraine-sort-of/
Europe Rescues Ukraine, Sort Of
“The greatest treason,” As written buy the poet TS Elliot, is “to do the right deed for the wrong reason."
cepa.org
December 23, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Europe Rescues Ukraine, Sort Of | “The greatest treason,” wrote the poet TS Elliot, is “to do the right deed for the wrong reason.” https://cepa.org/article/europe-rescues-ukraine-sort-of/
Counting the Cost of Putin’s Assault on Ukraine’s Biosphere | "Any peace settlement has to include compensation for Russian damage to Ukraine’s environment." Walter Clemens https://cepa.org/article/counting-the-cost-of-putins-assault-on-ukraines-biosphere/
Counting the Cost of Putin’s Assault on Ukraine’s Biosphere
Any peace settlement has to include compensation for Russian damage to Ukraine’s environment, alongside other reparations.
cepa.org
December 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Counting the Cost of Putin’s Assault on Ukraine’s Biosphere | "Any peace settlement has to include compensation for Russian damage to Ukraine’s environment." Walter Clemens https://cepa.org/article/counting-the-cost-of-putins-assault-on-ukraines-biosphere/
Frozen: Europe Struggles to Agree Ukraine Lifeline | "The dispute over €210bn of Russia's reserves frozen in Europe is entering a decisive phase." Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/frozen-europe-struggles-to-agree-ukraine-lifeline/
Frozen: Europe Struggles to Agree Ukraine Lifeline
The dispute over €210bn of Russia's reserves from sanctions frozen in Europe is entering a decisive phase.
cepa.org
December 23, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Frozen: Europe Struggles to Agree Ukraine Lifeline | "The dispute over €210bn of Russia's reserves frozen in Europe is entering a decisive phase." Alexander Kolyandr https://cepa.org/article/frozen-europe-struggles-to-agree-ukraine-lifeline/
Why Russia’s Shadow Fleet Sails Unhindered | "Russia is developing a steadily more aggressive shadow war campaign against Baltic Sea countries, but there’s been little response." Meelis Oidsalu https://cepa.org/article/why-russias-shadow-fleet-sails-unhindered/
Why Russia’s Shadow Fleet Sails Unhindered
Russia is developing a steadily more aggressive shadow war campaign against Baltic Sea countries, but there’s been little response.
cepa.org
December 22, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Why Russia’s Shadow Fleet Sails Unhindered | "Russia is developing a steadily more aggressive shadow war campaign against Baltic Sea countries, but there’s been little response." Meelis Oidsalu https://cepa.org/article/why-russias-shadow-fleet-sails-unhindered/
Ukraine’s Long-Range Strikes: Photogenic But… | "Ukraine has increased the number of long-range attacks on Russia, but there are questions about the campaign’s effectiveness." David Axe https://cepa.org/article/ukraines-long-range-strikes-photogenic-but/
December 22, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Ukraine’s Long-Range Strikes: Photogenic But… | "Ukraine has increased the number of long-range attacks on Russia, but there are questions about the campaign’s effectiveness." David Axe https://cepa.org/article/ukraines-long-range-strikes-photogenic-but/
USTR Bares Its Claws on Euro Tech Rules | "Transatlantic conflict over technology policy shows no sign of abatement. US lawmakers and government officials have Brussels (and others) in their sights." Ronan Murphy https://cepa.org/article/ustr-bares-its-claws-on-euro-tech-rules/
USTR Bares Its Claws on Euro Tech Rules
Transatlantic conflict over tech policy shows no sign of abatement. US lawmakers and government officials have Brussels in their sights.
cepa.org
December 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM
USTR Bares Its Claws on Euro Tech Rules | "Transatlantic conflict over technology policy shows no sign of abatement. US lawmakers and government officials have Brussels (and others) in their sights." Ronan Murphy https://cepa.org/article/ustr-bares-its-claws-on-euro-tech-rules/
Émigrés in Putin’s Crosshairs | "As 2026 nears, Russian authorities are preparing a new, large-scale attack on political emigrants." Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan https://cepa.org/article/emigres-in-putins-crosshairs/
December 19, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Émigrés in Putin’s Crosshairs | "As 2026 nears, Russian authorities are preparing a new, large-scale attack on political emigrants." Andrei Soldatov and Irina Borogan https://cepa.org/article/emigres-in-putins-crosshairs/
Germany: Europe’s New Security Leader | "As the US pulls away from confrontation with Russia, Berlin is moving fast to fill the gap." Arndt Freytag von Loringhoven https://cepa.org/article/germany-europes-new-security-leader/
December 19, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Germany: Europe’s New Security Leader | "As the US pulls away from confrontation with Russia, Berlin is moving fast to fill the gap." Arndt Freytag von Loringhoven https://cepa.org/article/germany-europes-new-security-leader/