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The Global Think Tank.

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While President Trump’s plan for Venezuela is a serious departure from decades of previous U.S. policy, it has roots in a model from the early 20th century. And that doesn’t look good. @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social and @alsfeinberg.bsky.social explain ⬇️
January 16, 2026 at 9:53 PM
President Trump’s move to the second phase of his Gaza peace plan reads as “performative and untethered to reality,” write Aaron David Miller and Daniel Kurtzer. In moving forward, the Trump-Netanyahu relationship will be key.

More here: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
There’s Never Been a President Like Trump on Israel
Trump’s unmatched leverage over Netanyahu gives the prime minister little room to maneuver.
carnegieendowment.org
January 16, 2026 at 5:26 PM
Lab-grown meat sounds like science fiction. But it's closer to reality than you might think.

@brucefriedrich.bsky.social joins Jon Bateman to discuss on this week's World Unpacked: www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXFC...
Better meat is here
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
www.youtube.com
January 16, 2026 at 3:36 PM
Anti-corruption policies and infrastructure in the U.S. and around the world have become a top target of the Trump administration. McKenzie Carrier explains the consequences, based on research with Thomas Carothers: youtube.com/shorts/BtvyA...
Trump vs. Anti-Corruption
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
January 16, 2026 at 2:51 PM
The African Growth and Opportunity Act might be close to resuscitation after clearing a House vote on Monday. But for African countries facing a new era of trade with the U.S., AGOA is just the beginning.

Kholofelo Kugler and Georgia Schaefer-Brown explain: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
AGOA’s Short-Term Renewal May Not Be a Long-Term Win
African countries need to adapt to a new era of U.S. trade relations.
carnegieendowment.org
January 15, 2026 at 7:48 PM
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace announced today that President Mariano-Florentino (Tino) Cuéllar, its tenth president, will step down in July 2026 after nearly five years of service.

Read the full announcement here: carnegieendowment.org/posts/2026/0...
January 15, 2026 at 3:07 PM
Tensions between China, the U.S., and Taiwan have been high for a long time – and likely aren’t going away anytime soon. But that doesn’t necessarily mean a war is coming.

Lt. Gen. Charles W. Hooper explains: www.youtube.com/watch?v=yk_I...
How Likely Is a War With China?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
www.youtube.com
January 13, 2026 at 9:27 PM
President Trump’s plan for Venezuela doesn’t match up with either Cold War-era ideology or later democratic idealism. Instead, it takes the U.S. – and the region – back to the early 20th century.

@oliverstuenkel.bsky.social and Adrian Feinberg explain: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Plan for Venezuela Has a Precedent. It’s Not Good.
Lessons from early twentieth-century “fiscal receivership” efforts should be a warning for Venezuela.
carnegieendowment.org
January 13, 2026 at 2:04 PM
The Iranian regime’s brutal repression of the protests that erupted this winter follows a familiar pattern. And even if regime leaders succeed in putting down the protests – this time – more will almost certainly follow.

@ericlob.bsky.social explains: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
Iran’s Protests Are Following a Familiar Pattern
This time, though, they’re adding even more pressure to an already beleaguered regime.
carnegieendowment.org
January 12, 2026 at 9:10 PM
“I don't think that anyone, whether within the society or even in the regime, believes that the status quo is sustainable."

@ksadjadpour.bsky.social weighed in on Iran’s protests and what they could mean for the country on @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social. Watch here: www.ms.now/morning-joe/...
The Atlantic: Is the Iranian regime about to collapse?
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's Karim Sadjadpour joins Morning Joe to discuss his latest Atlantic piece on Iran.
www.ms.now
January 12, 2026 at 8:07 PM
Successful revolutions require five specific conditions. For the first time since 1979, Iran meets nearly all five. What’s next?

@ksadjadpour.bsky.social and @jgoldstone.bsky.social weighed in for @theatlantic.com. Read here: www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
Is the Iranian Regime About to Collapse?
Five conditions determine whether revolutions succeed. For the first time since 1979, Iran meets nearly all of them.
www.theatlantic.com
January 12, 2026 at 3:32 PM
President Trump’s attack on Venezuela has created “a perverse strategic dilemma” across Latin America, writes @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social: governments in the region would benefit from a stabilized Venezuela, but at what cost?

More in @time.com: time.com/7344650/trum...
How Trump’s Venezuela Gamble Will Transform Latin America
The U.S. intervention has alarmed the region—and created a perverse strategic dilemma, writes Oliver Stuenkel.
time.com
January 9, 2026 at 9:13 PM
Drones aren't the future of warfare anymore. Conflicts from Ukraine to Sudan have made it clear: they're the present. Can states (and non-states) keep up?

@stevenfeldstein.bsky.social discusses with Jon Bateman on this week's World Unpacked: www.youtube.com/watch?v=49sg...
Every War Is Now a Drone War
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
www.youtube.com
January 9, 2026 at 3:05 PM
While it’s tempting to blame the backlash against gender equality on specific leaders like Hungary’s Viktor Orbán or the U.S.’s Donald Trump, it’s a global problem – and solving it requires a new playbook.

@saskiabr.bsky.social explains in @foreignaffairs.com: www.foreignaffairs.com/world/how-sa...
How to Save the Fight for Women’s Rights
The backlash against democracy calls for new strategies.
www.foreignaffairs.com
January 8, 2026 at 8:11 PM
At the end of 2025, tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE came to a head over conflict in Yemen. What exactly happened, and what does it mean for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the region?

@andrewleber.bsky.social explains: youtube.com/shorts/URKId...
Why Did Saudi-UAE Tensions Escalate?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
youtube.com
January 7, 2026 at 9:02 PM
Reposted by Carnegie Endowment
U.S. norm-breaking will shape illiberal rivals’ behavior.

For China, the Venezuela attack is likely to harden Beijing’s security calculus.

My latest analysis for @carnegieendowment.org:

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation
Especially on Taiwan.
carnegieendowment.org
January 7, 2026 at 6:43 PM
As the fallout continues from President Trump’s attack on Venezuela, Beijing is keeping tabs on the U.S. military. The emerging conclusion is that the U.S. may be a “paper tiger,” says @tongzhao.bsky.social, “but its fangs can still bite.”

More in Emissary: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The U.S. Venezuela Operation Will Harden China’s Security Calculation
Especially on Taiwan.
carnegieendowment.org
January 7, 2026 at 7:02 PM
“The decision to use military force to topple a disfavored government will not stop with the United States,” writes @oonahathaway.bsky.social. “We can count on others to follow our example.”

More in @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/o...
Opinion | The Great Unraveling Has Begun
www.nytimes.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:54 PM
Is China looking to become a truly expeditionary military power? If so, to what extent?

Lt. Gen. Charles W. Hooper explains in a new video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMMW...
How Far Will China Project Its Military Power?
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
www.youtube.com
January 6, 2026 at 9:10 PM
As the Trump administration races to undo previous U.S. policy across a multitude of areas, the fight against corruption at home and abroad has emerged as one of its top targets.

Thomas Carothers and McKenzie Carrier explain: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
The Startling Reversal of U.S. Global Anti-Corruption Policy
The Trump administration is erasing gains in anti-corruption made under previous presidencies. Despite the harsh disruption, sources of domestic and international resilience still exist.
carnegieendowment.org
January 6, 2026 at 6:14 PM
In brushing aside both international and domestic law to capture Nicolás Maduro, the Trump administration has provoked “scary” implications about presidential power.

@oonahathaway.bsky.social discussed with @ichotiner.bsky.social in @newyorker.com: www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Brazen Illegality of Trump’s Venezuela Operation
A scholar of international law on the implications of the U.S. arrest of President Nicolás Maduro.
www.newyorker.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:41 PM
The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro is “a watershed moment,”, writes @oliverstuenkel.bsky.social. But why is Maduro’s ouster so significant? And how will regional leaders respond?

More from Oliver in @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2026/01/03/v...
A Strategic Break for South America
In the wake of Maduro’s capture, governments across the continent are facing uncomfortable questions about deterrence and autonomy.
foreignpolicy.com
January 5, 2026 at 3:52 PM
After months of repeated strikes, President Trump has managed to “decapitate” the Maduro regime. Now what?

@stephenwertheim.bsky.social on what the attacks in Venezuela could mean for the world, in @theguardian.com: www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Today, Trump’s target was Caracas. What tomorrow? | Stephen Wertheim
He took office promising to annex Greenland and take back the Panama Canal. Now that he has ousted Maduro, other countries could be next
www.theguardian.com
January 5, 2026 at 3:01 PM
What do Californians think of global affairs? Carnegie California’s Ian Klaus, Mark Baldassare, Marissa Jordan, and Abigail Manalese surveyed Californians on today’s most important issues, from migration to democracy.

See their findings here: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
2025 Carnegie California Global Affairs Survey
California is acutely aware of the intense renegotiation happening almost daily in domestic and international politics.
carnegieendowment.org
December 23, 2025 at 8:01 PM
"Like Ebenezer Scrooge," write Stewart Patrick and Gustavo Romero, the G20 must face "the ghosts of its legacy and past ambitions, the realities of its current limitations amid geopolitical contestation, and the uncertain contours of its future role."

carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
The G20 Agenda Is Shifting from the Global South to America First
For four years, the G20’s emerging economies used the rotating presidency to set an unprecedented agenda. With the United States now at the helm, that’s about to dramatically change.
carnegieendowment.org
December 23, 2025 at 4:37 PM