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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 8h

Never heard of this podcast until just now and based on these clips alone I nominate them to host and moderate the first Democratic primary debate

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 1d

Also to the extent access gets you any information beyond what’s in a press release, it’s information that you’re being given because the people who gave you access want it to come out, misinformation and propaganda rather than news

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 3d

Yes but Mejia had a reputation already as a progressive candidate in earlier races, while Beutner has been more of a cipher, I never really got a read on him tbh

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 3d

I’d be happy to be wrong and there is plenty of space to the left of Bass so we’ll see how it plays out, but sounds like he’s running as a moderate and a watchdog on wasteful spending, which often signals a stealth-mode Republican in LA

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 3d

Feels like Beutner is probably to the right of Bass, I’d like to see a serious challenger to her left

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 5d

Similar dynamics seem likely to develop with Trump as ‘26 midterms approach and half a dozen Republican Senators declare their own presidential campaigns, which is probably why Miller and other dead-enders are making increasingly desperate attempts at big moves this year

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 6d

They only live to get radical. They don't have any real understanding of the sea, so they'll never get the spiritual side of it.

Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 8d

Purely as a matter of political rhetoric, it is self-defeating to talk up the importance and legitimacy of the opposing party when they are going around accusing your own side of stealing the election, trying to destroy America, etc

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 8d

Biden made a classic Dem error, viewing McConnell’s refusal to hold a confirmation vote primarily as a personal affront to Garland, rather than as a partisan power play, and thought he was settling a score by making him AG even though it was basically a gift to Trump

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 8d

Garland was a weak compromise even as a judge, Obama nominated him to SCOTUS as an olive branch to McConnell in the hopes of getting an up or down vote in the GOP Senate, it was total malpractice to make him AG

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 8d

Portland punches way above its weight like that, probably more than any other mid-size US city except maybe New Orleans

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 10d

Michael Jackson, Madonna, Elvis, Elton John, Bob Dylan, I’m sure many more have all sold more albums as solo artists. You could maybe argue album sales aren’t the right metric for artists today though

Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 10d

Another path might involve a Dem adopting the same approach to an imperial presidency as Trump, incentivizing Republicans to join with institutionalist Dems to curtail executive power

Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 12d

He’s not there to present legal analysis, he’s answering her question in a way that communicates his values, which seems like a good instinct in a political candidate

Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 13d

They imagine a swing voter as a cross-pressured moderate who will be persuaded by whatever side seems most reasonable, when the reality is most swing voters aren’t paying attention to policy debates and only wake up for sensational controversies that cross over into mainstream discourse

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Reposted by Stephen Carcieri

Miriam Posner @miriamposner.com · 14d

Surprising to discover that the hardest part about trying to be brave is that sometimes it feels virtually indistinguishable from being stupid.

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 15d

Not surprised by anything Trump is doing but I think I underestimated the extent to which elected Democrats would roll over for it

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 22d

The Sanctions Against Drugs

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 24d

Thanks! I’ve been to Bade Miyaan but none of the other options you named, we’re now in Kamla Mills about to get a drink

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 24d

I stopped by the brewery next door afterwards which was a better place to wait until it stopped raining, but yeah lots of interesting options in the area, would love any recommendations for tonight!

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · 24d

Thought I would swing by the Bombay Yacht Club while in Mumbai like I’m the Protagonist in Tenet but of course it’s members only and I can’t get in so ended up settling for the Starbucks across the street

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · Sep 15

Yeah I was going to say at least Schumer wants to make the Baileys happy

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · Sep 15

Schumer also seems aware that he’s from a different era with different priorities while Jeffries just thinks it is cool and savvy to sell out the base

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · Sep 14

This is why my advice to young people is always to study whatever fascinates you. You’ll probably work harder/learn more if you’re actually interested, and the work habits and study skills you develop are likely to be more helpful to you than your expertise, no matter what happens in the future

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Stephen Carcieri @carcieri.bsky.social · Sep 13

lol too late, this entire thread is Bluesky-ism, alert Noah Smith

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