Boz
@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social
Founder of Hxagon. Global Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center. Weekly Columnist at World Politics Review. SuperForecaster at GJI. Probably a few other things too. Mostly writing about Latin America.
Example of how my backwards and broken writing process works:
Step one: make meme
Step two: write 600 word serious analysis of meme that informs readers about breaking news
boz.substack.com/p/colombia-f...
Step one: make meme
Step two: write 600 word serious analysis of meme that informs readers about breaking news
boz.substack.com/p/colombia-f...
Colombia - FARC/EMC scandal shakes Petro's government
It's never a good month for a scandal. It's a very bad month when the president has just been sanctioned, and there is an aircraft carrier nearby.
boz.substack.com
November 24, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Example of how my backwards and broken writing process works:
Step one: make meme
Step two: write 600 word serious analysis of meme that informs readers about breaking news
boz.substack.com/p/colombia-f...
Step one: make meme
Step two: write 600 word serious analysis of meme that informs readers about breaking news
boz.substack.com/p/colombia-f...
In response to this morning's Washington Post article saying the Trump administration considered dropping leaflets on Venezuela for Maduro's birthday today.
November 23, 2025 at 12:09 PM
In response to this morning's Washington Post article saying the Trump administration considered dropping leaflets on Venezuela for Maduro's birthday today.
More details than I've seen previously on the legal debate www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
White House blew past legal concerns in deadly strikes on drug boats
The Trump administration sidestepped skeptical lawyers across national security agencies as it pursued a military campaign against alleged narcotraffickers, officials say.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:12 PM
More details than I've seen previously on the legal debate www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Ecuador - Noboa's own goal
Nine points on Ecuador's referendum rejection
open.substack.com
November 17, 2025 at 2:11 PM
You should click this link for the fantastic article and all the great photos of frogs. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
First, the frogs died. Then people got sick.
An emerging area of research is uncovering hidden links between nature and human health.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 14, 2025 at 12:19 PM
You should click this link for the fantastic article and all the great photos of frogs. www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...
Honduras Election Scenarios:
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Honduras election scenarios - November 2025
Scenario A: Contested election. Scenario B: Contested election.
boz.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 4:17 PM
Honduras Election Scenarios:
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Scenario A: Contested Election
Scenario B: Contested Election
boz.substack.com/p/honduras-e...
Reposted by Boz
This year’s Summit of the Americas was postponed due to “deep differences of opinion” among attendees.
But as James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, it is precisely in times of high tensions that leaders should meet to resolve their disputes.
But as James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, it is precisely in times of high tensions that leaders should meet to resolve their disputes.
This Is Not the Time to Forgo Diplomacy in the Americas
This year’s high-level Summit of the America’s meeting has been postponed despite a pile of pressing issues facing the region.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
November 10, 2025 at 4:00 PM
This year’s Summit of the Americas was postponed due to “deep differences of opinion” among attendees.
But as James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, it is precisely in times of high tensions that leaders should meet to resolve their disputes.
But as James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, it is precisely in times of high tensions that leaders should meet to resolve their disputes.
This week's Friday reading list includes an absurd number of articles about Venezuela, and yet I feel I missed a bunch too. boz.substack.com/p/friday-rea...
Friday Reading List - 7 November 2025
So many Venezuela articles
boz.substack.com
November 7, 2025 at 3:35 PM
This week's Friday reading list includes an absurd number of articles about Venezuela, and yet I feel I missed a bunch too. boz.substack.com/p/friday-rea...
Today's post: 2,000 words in which I cover potential US military operations in Mexico, Venezuela, and Colombia, as well as the postponement of the Summit of the Americas. boz.substack.com/p/us-policy-...
US policy in LatAm - 5 November 2025
Discussing potential and ongoing US military operations in the Caribbean, Eastern Pacific, Venezuela, Colombia, and Mexico.
boz.substack.com
November 5, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Today's post: 2,000 words in which I cover potential US military operations in Mexico, Venezuela, and Colombia, as well as the postponement of the Summit of the Americas. boz.substack.com/p/us-policy-...
It's one of those newsletters where I just ramble through some points I want to make with no clear thesis. I hit the publish button anyway and hope people like it. boz.substack.com/p/security-p...
Security populism vs narcoterrorism
Comments on the political implications of recent security stories around the region
boz.substack.com
November 4, 2025 at 3:36 PM
It's one of those newsletters where I just ramble through some points I want to make with no clear thesis. I hit the publish button anyway and hope people like it. boz.substack.com/p/security-p...
Reposted by Boz
As with Nicaragua a decade ago, there is a hidden explanation for El Salvador’s improved security situation under Bukele, James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes.
Bukele’s Alliance With El Salvador’s Gangs Is a Ticking Time Bomb
As with Nicaragua a decade ago, there is a hidden explanation for El Salvador’s improved security situation under Bukele.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
November 3, 2025 at 4:01 PM
As with Nicaragua a decade ago, there is a hidden explanation for El Salvador’s improved security situation under Bukele, James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes.
Reposted by Boz
1/When @himself.bsky.social and I wrote about the future of US economic coercion we hoped that the tools could be used for global collective goods like climate. Now US “evaluating sanctions on officials sponsoring activist-driven climate policies”’
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
US accused of ‘bully-boy’ tactics to sink climate deal
Officials say ‘threats’ used to derail net zero deal for shipping industry ripped up rules of global diplomacy
on.ft.com
November 3, 2025 at 12:07 PM
1/When @himself.bsky.social and I wrote about the future of US economic coercion we hoped that the tools could be used for global collective goods like climate. Now US “evaluating sanctions on officials sponsoring activist-driven climate policies”’
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
on.ft.com/4qJF3Ko
There is a surprisingly high level of support for a US military intervention in Venezuela, particularly in the Andes and Brazil, where over half the population supports the idea. I'm not saying this to defend it, just to show that conventional wisdom is likely off.
November 1, 2025 at 7:36 PM
There is a surprisingly high level of support for a US military intervention in Venezuela, particularly in the Andes and Brazil, where over half the population supports the idea. I'm not saying this to defend it, just to show that conventional wisdom is likely off.
My first draft attempt for scenarios for Argentina's 2027 election
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
October 28, 2025 at 12:48 PM
My first draft attempt for scenarios for Argentina's 2027 election
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
boz.substack.com/p/argentina-...
Today's long newsletter on Venezuela
boz.substack.com/p/the-us-mil...
boz.substack.com/p/the-us-mil...
The US military can easily force out Maduro. But will it? And should it? What happens after? What happens if it doesn't?
Trump is improvising. He hasn't made up his mind yet. Somehow, there is a push to run a militarized Western Hemisphere policy for the next three years, but no plan for what to do next week.
boz.substack.com
October 27, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Today's long newsletter on Venezuela
boz.substack.com/p/the-us-mil...
boz.substack.com/p/the-us-mil...
"These same political power brokers promise draconian crackdowns on gangs, but do nothing to curb the illicit economies on which they thrive."
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/o...
Opinion | You Can Kill a Democracy Without a Dictator
www.nytimes.com
October 24, 2025 at 9:38 AM
"These same political power brokers promise draconian crackdowns on gangs, but do nothing to curb the illicit economies on which they thrive."
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/o...
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/24/o...
Keep an eye on the policy differences within MAGA over Venezuela. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/u...
Trump Supporters Are Uneasy About Military Actions Against Venezuela
www.nytimes.com
October 24, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Keep an eye on the policy differences within MAGA over Venezuela. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/u...
My comments on Bolivia in Bloomberg: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Bolivia’s Next President Targets Pragmatic Path Out of Crisis
Fresh off winning Sunday’s election, Bolivia’s next president Rodrigo Paz is blazing a rare centrist path out of his country’s economic crisis, focusing on practical policies over ideological division...
www.bloomberg.com
October 22, 2025 at 3:06 PM
My comments on Bolivia in Bloomberg: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Most illicit trafficking schemes in Mexico have facilitators who live in the US, Canada or Europe. This fuel scandal is no exception.
www.reuters.com/investigatio...
www.reuters.com/investigatio...
www.reuters.com
October 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Most illicit trafficking schemes in Mexico have facilitators who live in the US, Canada or Europe. This fuel scandal is no exception.
www.reuters.com/investigatio...
www.reuters.com/investigatio...
The Trump administration is running counter-drug operations in the Caribbean. Marco Rubio wants regime change in Venezuela. While they have tried to conflate the issues, as I write in today's @wpr.bsky.social column, the two narratives are splitting apart.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-venezu...
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-venezu...
Trump’s War Narrative on Venezuela Is Coming Undone
The Trump administration’s rhetoric has shifted toward regime change in Venezuela and a regionalized drug war.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com
October 20, 2025 at 3:59 PM
The Trump administration is running counter-drug operations in the Caribbean. Marco Rubio wants regime change in Venezuela. While they have tried to conflate the issues, as I write in today's @wpr.bsky.social column, the two narratives are splitting apart.
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-venezu...
www.worldpoliticsreview.com/trump-venezu...
Many analysts will be tempted today to give a contrarian take about why this Nobel Peace Prize announcement helps Maduro or changes Trump's agenda in some way. That's wrong. This is ultimately positive for Venezuela and deserved by those who fight for democracy.
October 10, 2025 at 12:46 PM
Many analysts will be tempted today to give a contrarian take about why this Nobel Peace Prize announcement helps Maduro or changes Trump's agenda in some way. That's wrong. This is ultimately positive for Venezuela and deserved by those who fight for democracy.
If I ran the Nobel Prize committee, I'd issue a press release tomorrow listing the ten things Donald Trump needs to do during the rest of his presidency to win the Nobel Prize in 2028. Then see if he follows through. They have leverage; he wants to win it. It's worth a shot.
October 10, 2025 at 12:15 AM
If I ran the Nobel Prize committee, I'd issue a press release tomorrow listing the ten things Donald Trump needs to do during the rest of his presidency to win the Nobel Prize in 2028. Then see if he follows through. They have leverage; he wants to win it. It's worth a shot.
Comment I posted yesterday on substack and Twitter but which didn't fit here. substack.com/@boz/note/c-...
October 9, 2025 at 1:38 PM
Comment I posted yesterday on substack and Twitter but which didn't fit here. substack.com/@boz/note/c-...