Both away teams are tied? Which is weird, though Winnipeg is technically rounded up to slightly above Calgary. But in terms of Elo Rankings, they're 2 and 3 (BC is first).
BC has not lost since week 14, when their Elo rating was 1460, and ranked 6th (this was also the last time Ottawa won). Saskatchewan tumbles to 4th, but in a bunch with Calgary and Winnipeg. Winnipeg has not been as high as 2nd since week 4.
Ottawa/Hamilton has a elo difference (including homefield advantage) of over 200, the fourth time this season. Favourites have gone 1-2 in those games. The other three have *very* low differences: Cgy-Edm is 25, Mtl-Wpg is 8, BC-Sask is 4 (FYI, the smallest diff last week was 45).
#CFL Week 21 Elo predictions: Ottawa (1322) at Hamilton (1505): Hamilton wins very big Calgary (1535) at Edmonton (1485): Calgary wins small Montreal (1552) at Winnipeg (1535): Winnipeg wins small BC (1606) at Saskatchewan (1585): Sask wins by a hair.
Started out being used in chess to rank players. Win and go up, lose and go down. How much you gain and lose is determined by the difference in rating, as well as the difference in score of the game (for football). en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rat...
Saskatchewan is not #1 for the first time since week 13. And they probably won't be again unless they win the Grey Cup. BC is #1 for the first time since Week 1(!). Toronto and Ottawa continue to slide. Ottawa should stay above 1300.
Unfortunately, Elo doesn't know that it's the end of the season and some teams have nothing to play for, resting several starters. That said, Saskatchewan-Winnipeg is probably the only game affected bit this.
#CFL Week 20 Elo predictions: Saskatchewan (1595) at Winnipeg (1525): Sask wins small Edmonton (1509) at BC (1582): BC wins big Montreal (1535) at Ottawa (1339): Montreal wins very big Toronto (1389) at Calgary (1509): Calgary wins big
With Sask winning the West, they'll probably lose the next two weeks. Whoever wins the west semi will get a bump from that, most likely making them the favourite going into the west final.
If Edmonton can win by at least a field goal, they'll get over 1500 for the first time this season. In Toronto-Sask, the elo rating difference is over 200. That's only happened twice this season, and both times, the underdog won (Ottawa-Calgary week 9, Montreal-Sask week 15).
#CFL Week 19 Elo rating predictions Toronto (1402) at Saskatchewan (1582): Sask wins very big Calgary (1461) at Hamilton (1553): Hamilton wins big Winnipeg (1550) at Edmonton (1484): Winnipeg wins small Ottaway (1359) at Montreal (1515): Montreal wins very big
