Benjamin Krick
@benckrick.bsky.social
83 followers 98 following 3 posts
Duke University PhD Candidate studying Security, Peace, and Conflict (IR); forced migration, civil conflict, etc.
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benckrick.bsky.social
Our article on civilian harm and military legitimacy is now available at @iojournal.bsky.social. We believe it has timely implications for events playing out now in the Middle East and beyond.

From North Carolina to Northern Iraq, working with Jon and Mara has been a truly rewarding experience!
mararevkin.bsky.social
Excited to share a new open-access article with @benckrick.bsky.social @jonpetkun.bsky.social in @iojournal.bsky.social, "Civilian Harm & Military Legitimacy" www.cambridge.org/core/journal.... This project started in 2018 Mosul, Iraq’s 2nd largest city, in the aftermath of a 9-month battle … 1/7
Reposted by Benjamin Krick
chriswblair.bsky.social
🚨🚨🚨🚨 New WP (with @benckrick.bsky.social @austinlw.bsky.social) available at the ESOC working paper series:

esoc.princeton.edu/wp39
Title: Refugee Repatriation and Conflict: Evidence from the Maximum Pressure Sanctions

Abstract: How does refugee return shape conflict in migrants’ destination communities? We argue that conditions inducing repatriation bear critically on the consequences of return. When refugees return because of worsening conditions in host countries, they are often marginalized and destitute. In this setting, mass return risks amplifying conflict in returnee-receiving communities. We test this theory leveraging the Trump administration’s sudden re-imposition of sanctions on Iran in 2018. These “Maximum Pressure” sanctions decimated the Iranian economy and spurred mass return of Afghan refugees from Iran. Exploiting historical returnee settlement patterns and the plausibly exogenous timing of the sanctions, we estimate the causal effect of large-scale refugee repatriation on violence. We find that the returnee influx increased insurgent violence in returnees’ destination communities. We find suggestive evidence for an opportunity cost mechanism. Sanctions-induced currency depreciation reduced household incomes in returnee-receiving areas, lowering reservation wages and driving up insurgent recruitment. We also find evidence that Iran retaliated against the sanctions by escalating support for Afghan insurgent factions. While insurgent violence increased in repatriation communities, there was no effect on communal conflict.
Reposted by Benjamin Krick
Reposted by Benjamin Krick
mararevkin.bsky.social
New report by me, @benckrick.bsky.social & Dr. Raed al-Dulaimi for UNIDIR on attitudes toward Iraqis with perceived ties to ISIL based on original survey data and interviews. We find that stigmatization persists 8 years after ISIL's territorial defeat, even of children: unidir.org/publication/...
benckrick.bsky.social
Congrats! Very excited to read it.
Reposted by Benjamin Krick
mararevkin.bsky.social
My new working paper with @benckrick.bsky.social & @jonpetkun.bsky.social on the relationship between civilian harm and perceptions of military legitimacy after the battle of Mosul in Iraq based on survey, satellite, and interview data for the Households in Conflict Network: hicn.org/working-pape...