Arthur Turrell
@arthurturrell.bsky.social
Economic data scientist and author. Currently @ No10, formerly ONS & Bank. Book on nuclear fusion, 'The Star Builders', out now with S&S/W&N. Views my own.
Website: www.aeturrell.com
Website: www.aeturrell.com
Hey #econsky,
We keep hearing about ticket resellers being a problem. Artists charge $ and resellers use bots to buy tickets in bulk, selling them for $$$.
What if econ can help? Here's one little trick to stop ticket resellers.
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/o...
We keep hearing about ticket resellers being a problem. Artists charge $ and resellers use bots to buy tickets in bulk, selling them for $$$.
What if econ can help? Here's one little trick to stop ticket resellers.
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/o...
Arthur Turrell
Arthur Turrell is an economic data scientist.
aeturrell.com
November 4, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Hey #econsky,
We keep hearing about ticket resellers being a problem. Artists charge $ and resellers use bots to buy tickets in bulk, selling them for $$$.
What if econ can help? Here's one little trick to stop ticket resellers.
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/o...
We keep hearing about ticket resellers being a problem. Artists charge $ and resellers use bots to buy tickets in bulk, selling them for $$$.
What if econ can help? Here's one little trick to stop ticket resellers.
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/o...
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Government has published one of those quiet but important documents that might get overlooked as it is not 'newsy'. The headline finding is that £1 of public R&D investment generates £8 in net economic benefits for the UK over the long term
www.gov.uk/government/p...
www.gov.uk/government/p...
The value of public R&D
www.gov.uk
October 30, 2025 at 1:28 PM
Government has published one of those quiet but important documents that might get overlooked as it is not 'newsy'. The headline finding is that £1 of public R&D investment generates £8 in net economic benefits for the UK over the long term
www.gov.uk/government/p...
www.gov.uk/government/p...
Just yesterday I was on a panel with colleagues from @bankofcanada.ca & @banquedefrance-off.bsky.social and we were discussing the risks of central banks NOT being multi cloud / only using a single provider. I didn't expect to have such a clear example of how those risks could crystallise so soon.
October 29, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Just yesterday I was on a panel with colleagues from @bankofcanada.ca & @banquedefrance-off.bsky.social and we were discussing the risks of central banks NOT being multi cloud / only using a single provider. I didn't expect to have such a clear example of how those risks could crystallise so soon.
Spoiled for implausibly cringe characters right now; new series of Alan Partridge, and newcomer "Peston" now showing on itv
Is the Reform MP who says she’s driven mad by TV adverts full of Black & Asian people a racist or realist? How many migrants would the Tories expel? & should the UK be selling fighter jets to Türkiye?
Join LIVE at 9PM on X & YouTube or on ITV1 at 1045PM 📺
#Peston
Join LIVE at 9PM on X & YouTube or on ITV1 at 1045PM 📺
#Peston
October 27, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Spoiled for implausibly cringe characters right now; new series of Alan Partridge, and newcomer "Peston" now showing on itv
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Folks, it is the year 2025 and Word's grammar checker is suggesting that I should change "fewer" to "less few".
October 22, 2025 at 4:32 PM
Folks, it is the year 2025 and Word's grammar checker is suggesting that I should change "fewer" to "less few".
BlueSky data hive mind!
Are there any OPEN sets of image data taken from wearables? (I know some exist on secure systems.)
#data #rstats #pydata #econsky @odihq.bsky.social @opendatawatch.com
Asking for this:
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
Are there any OPEN sets of image data taken from wearables? (I know some exist on secure systems.)
#data #rstats #pydata #econsky @odihq.bsky.social @opendatawatch.com
Asking for this:
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
Arthur Turrell
Arthur Turrell is an economic data scientist.
aeturrell.com
October 16, 2025 at 10:30 AM
BlueSky data hive mind!
Are there any OPEN sets of image data taken from wearables? (I know some exist on secure systems.)
#data #rstats #pydata #econsky @odihq.bsky.social @opendatawatch.com
Asking for this:
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
Are there any OPEN sets of image data taken from wearables? (I know some exist on secure systems.)
#data #rstats #pydata #econsky @odihq.bsky.social @opendatawatch.com
Asking for this:
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Attention IO job market candidates:
Sometimes speakers in the CMA's external economics seminar series have to cancel at relatively short notice. We would love for these slots to go to JMCs to present their job market paper.
Drop me a message if you are interested or share with those who might be.
Sometimes speakers in the CMA's external economics seminar series have to cancel at relatively short notice. We would love for these slots to go to JMCs to present their job market paper.
Drop me a message if you are interested or share with those who might be.
October 16, 2025 at 8:12 AM
Attention IO job market candidates:
Sometimes speakers in the CMA's external economics seminar series have to cancel at relatively short notice. We would love for these slots to go to JMCs to present their job market paper.
Drop me a message if you are interested or share with those who might be.
Sometimes speakers in the CMA's external economics seminar series have to cancel at relatively short notice. We would love for these slots to go to JMCs to present their job market paper.
Drop me a message if you are interested or share with those who might be.
Really useful and important work on more granular estimates of the productivity of UK industrial segments here by Cliodhna and @joshmartinecon.bsky.social
www.productivity.ac.uk/research/lab...
#econsky
www.productivity.ac.uk/research/lab...
#econsky
Labour productivity estimates for detailed industries in the UK, 2009 to 2023 - The Productivity Institute
Research constructing labour productivity estimates for 184 industries spanning the entire UK economy – more than double the granularity available from official datasets.
www.productivity.ac.uk
October 8, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Really useful and important work on more granular estimates of the productivity of UK industrial segments here by Cliodhna and @joshmartinecon.bsky.social
www.productivity.ac.uk/research/lab...
#econsky
www.productivity.ac.uk/research/lab...
#econsky
Incredible spot of #TheStarBuilders in the wild by a friend—and the furthest yet! As seen in the Maruzen bookshop, Kyoto.
But if you have friends in Japan, you can also now buy them the new translation (second photo) ❤️🇯🇵💫
Links to buy here: aeturrell.com/thestarbuild...
But if you have friends in Japan, you can also now buy them the new translation (second photo) ❤️🇯🇵💫
Links to buy here: aeturrell.com/thestarbuild...
October 5, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Incredible spot of #TheStarBuilders in the wild by a friend—and the furthest yet! As seen in the Maruzen bookshop, Kyoto.
But if you have friends in Japan, you can also now buy them the new translation (second photo) ❤️🇯🇵💫
Links to buy here: aeturrell.com/thestarbuild...
But if you have friends in Japan, you can also now buy them the new translation (second photo) ❤️🇯🇵💫
Links to buy here: aeturrell.com/thestarbuild...
Smartrappy update: it now analyses Jupyter Notebooks too!
smartrappy analyses projects to infer the directed acyclic graph (DAG) of code and data dependencies,whether the data exist at all on disk—essentially it untangles spaghetti code!
aeturrell.github.io/smartrappy/
smartrappy analyses projects to infer the directed acyclic graph (DAG) of code and data dependencies,whether the data exist at all on disk—essentially it untangles spaghetti code!
aeturrell.github.io/smartrappy/
smartrappy
aeturrell.github.io
October 4, 2025 at 7:32 PM
Smartrappy update: it now analyses Jupyter Notebooks too!
smartrappy analyses projects to infer the directed acyclic graph (DAG) of code and data dependencies,whether the data exist at all on disk—essentially it untangles spaghetti code!
aeturrell.github.io/smartrappy/
smartrappy analyses projects to infer the directed acyclic graph (DAG) of code and data dependencies,whether the data exist at all on disk—essentially it untangles spaghetti code!
aeturrell.github.io/smartrappy/
Today I was reminded that Claude Code came out **in February**. Has a coding tool ever become so ubiquitous so quickly?
October 3, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Today I was reminded that Claude Code came out **in February**. Has a coding tool ever become so ubiquitous so quickly?
Time use is important: everyone wants our attention & it's key to understanding productivity.
But the way we get time use data hasn't changed much. Could AI open up radical new ways of collecting it?
My new blog post suggests so!
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
#ai @productivity.bsky.social
But the way we get time use data hasn't changed much. Could AI open up radical new ways of collecting it?
My new blog post suggests so!
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
#ai @productivity.bsky.social
Arthur Turrell
Arthur Turrell is an economic data scientist.
aeturrell.com
October 2, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Time use is important: everyone wants our attention & it's key to understanding productivity.
But the way we get time use data hasn't changed much. Could AI open up radical new ways of collecting it?
My new blog post suggests so!
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
#ai @productivity.bsky.social
But the way we get time use data hasn't changed much. Could AI open up radical new ways of collecting it?
My new blog post suggests so!
aeturrell.com/blog/posts/r...
#ai @productivity.bsky.social
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
I'm exited to announce a new resource about making slides with quarto and revealjs. This book is the combination of all the work I have done in this area, reordered and polished up
There isn't a lot of new information yet, but this format allows me to add more easily
slidecrafting-book.com
#quarto
There isn't a lot of new information yet, but this format allows me to add more easily
slidecrafting-book.com
#quarto
September 24, 2025 at 4:12 PM
I'm exited to announce a new resource about making slides with quarto and revealjs. This book is the combination of all the work I have done in this area, reordered and polished up
There isn't a lot of new information yet, but this format allows me to add more easily
slidecrafting-book.com
#quarto
There isn't a lot of new information yet, but this format allows me to add more easily
slidecrafting-book.com
#quarto
Some R package releases be like:
"I'm so pleased to announce the third version of descendR 2 4.5"
"I'm so pleased to announce the third version of descendR 2 4.5"
September 24, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Some R package releases be like:
"I'm so pleased to announce the third version of descendR 2 4.5"
"I'm so pleased to announce the third version of descendR 2 4.5"
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Hi Bluesky!
I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)!
It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D).
Thread below 👇 (1/)
I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)!
It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D).
Thread below 👇 (1/)
April 9, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Hi Bluesky!
I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)!
It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D).
Thread below 👇 (1/)
I'm excited to share my job market paper (for the 2025-26 market)!
It introduces a new extension of RDD where outcomes are entire distributions: Regression Discontinuity Design with Distributions (R3D).
Thread below 👇 (1/)
Well, thanks to a great tip off by @simonwillison.net I'm exploring the rarely-open London Transport Museum Depot. And it's great! Underground trains and buses and other transport paraphernalia from the late 19th century up to the modern day.
September 21, 2025 at 10:05 AM
Well, thanks to a great tip off by @simonwillison.net I'm exploring the rarely-open London Transport Museum Depot. And it's great! Underground trains and buses and other transport paraphernalia from the late 19th century up to the modern day.
👇 at school and interested in AI and stats? Even if you're not now, you will be after these! Videos on AI and stats for all school ages by the other William Guy Lecturers and me. Check them out!
🎥 The full series of William Guy Lectures for Schools (2025–26) is now live on our website and YouTube channel.
These engaging talks explore the role of statistics in AI, tailored to different age groups, covering nursery rhymes all the way to economic forecasting.
🔗 Watch now: lnkd.in/eK5Eu6sv
These engaging talks explore the role of statistics in AI, tailored to different age groups, covering nursery rhymes all the way to economic forecasting.
🔗 Watch now: lnkd.in/eK5Eu6sv
September 11, 2025 at 3:01 PM
👇 at school and interested in AI and stats? Even if you're not now, you will be after these! Videos on AI and stats for all school ages by the other William Guy Lecturers and me. Check them out!
UK: yeah we got some BIIIIG data revisions rn
US: hold my beer!
on.ft.com/4nrjUSQ US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March
US: hold my beer!
on.ft.com/4nrjUSQ US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March
US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March
Updated figures point to far worse slowdown in labour market than previously thought
on.ft.com
September 9, 2025 at 7:52 PM
UK: yeah we got some BIIIIG data revisions rn
US: hold my beer!
on.ft.com/4nrjUSQ US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March
US: hold my beer!
on.ft.com/4nrjUSQ US hiring growth revised down by 911,000 jobs in year to March
Is there any **causal** evidence of the link between ultra-processed foods and morbidity? Apart from the Kevin Hall RCT: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31105044/
Ultra-Processed Diets Cause Excess Calorie Intake and Weight Gain: An Inpatient Randomized Controlled Trial of Ad Libitum Food Intake - PubMed
We investigated whether ultra-processed foods affect energy intake in 20 weight-stable adults, aged (mean ± SE) 31.2 ± 1.6 years and BMI = 27 ± 1.5 kg/m<sup>2</sup>. Subjects were admitted to the NIH ...
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
September 8, 2025 at 10:55 AM
Is there any **causal** evidence of the link between ultra-processed foods and morbidity? Apart from the Kevin Hall RCT: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31105044/
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Vanuatu Bureau of Statistics and the @adb.org are looking for a consultant to spend 90 days, budget USD110,000, helping consolidate recent improvements in Vanuatu's national accounts and help scope a future project moving towards SNA 2025 compliance. #econsky selfservice.adb.org/OA_HTML/OA.j...
ADB CMS CSRN - TA-10519 REG: Addressing Knowledge Gaps to Accelerate Regional Cooperation and Integration in the Pacific Developing Member Countries - National Accounts Rebasing Expert for Vanuatu (58...
selfservice.adb.org
September 3, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Vanuatu Bureau of Statistics and the @adb.org are looking for a consultant to spend 90 days, budget USD110,000, helping consolidate recent improvements in Vanuatu's national accounts and help scope a future project moving towards SNA 2025 compliance. #econsky selfservice.adb.org/OA_HTML/OA.j...
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
Tour de force review on “Economics of Attention” by Loewenstein just published in J Econ Lit
@aeajournals.bsky.social
#behavioraleconomics
@aeajournals.bsky.social
#behavioraleconomics
August 29, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Tour de force review on “Economics of Attention” by Loewenstein just published in J Econ Lit
@aeajournals.bsky.social
#behavioraleconomics
@aeajournals.bsky.social
#behavioraleconomics
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
The call for papers for the annual CMA-Durham workshop on market power, dynamism and productivity is out!
This year we are particularly interested in submissions on industrial policy, market power in supply chains, and the economics of start-ups and scale-ups.
Submit by 25 September.
This year we are particularly interested in submissions on industrial policy, market power in supply chains, and the economics of start-ups and scale-ups.
Submit by 25 September.
Doing research on productivity, business dynamism and/or market power? Please submit to our fourth CMA-Durham workshop! Deadline 25 Sept.
Also apply if your work links to: industrial policy, technology diffusion, start-ups, supply chains.
cma-partnership.webspace.durham.ac.uk/2025/08/29/2...
Also apply if your work links to: industrial policy, technology diffusion, start-ups, supply chains.
cma-partnership.webspace.durham.ac.uk/2025/08/29/2...
2025 CMA Durham Workshop - CMA Durham Partnership
20-21 November, 2025 Productivity, Business Dynamism and Market Power The Competition and Market Authority’s (CMA) Microeconomics Unit, the Department of Economics at Durham University Business School...
cma-partnership.webspace.durham.ac.uk
August 29, 2025 at 3:41 PM
The call for papers for the annual CMA-Durham workshop on market power, dynamism and productivity is out!
This year we are particularly interested in submissions on industrial policy, market power in supply chains, and the economics of start-ups and scale-ups.
Submit by 25 September.
This year we are particularly interested in submissions on industrial policy, market power in supply chains, and the economics of start-ups and scale-ups.
Submit by 25 September.
You hear a lot of people claiming that Nigel Farage gets an undue amount of coverage given the number of MPs in his Reform UK party.
I wondered if that was true, so I ran a query against GDELT, which monitors mentions of specific people across broadcast, print, and web news.
And.... it is!
I wondered if that was true, so I ran a query against GDELT, which monitors mentions of specific people across broadcast, print, and web news.
And.... it is!
August 27, 2025 at 10:24 AM
You hear a lot of people claiming that Nigel Farage gets an undue amount of coverage given the number of MPs in his Reform UK party.
I wondered if that was true, so I ran a query against GDELT, which monitors mentions of specific people across broadcast, print, and web news.
And.... it is!
I wondered if that was true, so I ran a query against GDELT, which monitors mentions of specific people across broadcast, print, and web news.
And.... it is!
Reposted by Arthur Turrell
A growing body of evidence suggests that the open office undermines the very things that it was designed to achieve.
The Open-Office Trap
www.newyorker.com
August 18, 2025 at 8:36 PM
A growing body of evidence suggests that the open office undermines the very things that it was designed to achieve.
Very nice work here by some former colleagues: firms that export are mostly more productive *before* they export (ie it's a selection effect), but they do also become a bit more productive once they are exporting.
It's well-established that UK firms engaged in international trade are more productive, but why?
New analysis from @christinavpalmou.bsky.social and Kyle Jones (ONS) offers new evidence: tinyurl.com/5c9mazpa
New analysis from @christinavpalmou.bsky.social and Kyle Jones (ONS) offers new evidence: tinyurl.com/5c9mazpa
August 14, 2025 at 11:10 AM
Very nice work here by some former colleagues: firms that export are mostly more productive *before* they export (ie it's a selection effect), but they do also become a bit more productive once they are exporting.