Aaron Bergman
@aaronbergman18.bsky.social
👎: suffering | 👍: EA, AI alignment, decoupling, R, cringe, amateur pharmacology + programming | Georgetown '22 (math+econ+phil) | Career status: 🤷♂️
Pinned
Aaron Bergman
@aaronbergman18.bsky.social
· Jan 14
New LLM wrapper just dropped
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
Alright, a few times recently I’ve made the case that it’s fine to use Twitter actually and finally thought to check how much your use personally enriches Elon Musk
o3 estimates $0.15/year.
It’s basically just not a thing
o3 estimates $0.15/year.
It’s basically just not a thing
April 19, 2025 at 3:56 AM
Alright, a few times recently I’ve made the case that it’s fine to use Twitter actually and finally thought to check how much your use personally enriches Elon Musk
o3 estimates $0.15/year.
It’s basically just not a thing
o3 estimates $0.15/year.
It’s basically just not a thing
Legally obligated to share this now that it has 1000 likes
April 7, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Legally obligated to share this now that it has 1000 likes
My new cost effectiveness model (details forthcoming) robustly indicates that purchasing treats for therapy bunnies is the single best use of time and money
April 1, 2025 at 5:08 PM
My new cost effectiveness model (details forthcoming) robustly indicates that purchasing treats for therapy bunnies is the single best use of time and money
Twitter down, who’s up
March 28, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Twitter down, who’s up
I’ll keep using twitter predominantly, but may as well share things that do well there that people find interesting
March 22, 2025 at 4:47 PM
I’ll keep using twitter predominantly, but may as well share things that do well there that people find interesting
New LLM wrapper just dropped
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
January 14, 2025 at 10:42 PM
New LLM wrapper just dropped
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
Multiple models estimate a single figure, see the stats and results
Link below
Watch out Dustin, new big money donor is coming through
January 3, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Watch out Dustin, new big money donor is coming through
If you are a potential big money donor ($3k) please suggest incentives that would get you over the finish line?
- want to be a guest on the world famous pigeon hour podcast?
- A bunch of sticker ideas that are slightly cringe to make for yourself?
- want to be a guest on the world famous pigeon hour podcast?
- A bunch of sticker ideas that are slightly cringe to make for yourself?
We are near the finish line and need just $3k to turn my room into an EA Paradise (which will of course be posted on twitter)
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
It’s back and it’s not exactly bigger than ever yet but hopefully it will be!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
January 3, 2025 at 6:07 PM
If you are a potential big money donor ($3k) please suggest incentives that would get you over the finish line?
- want to be a guest on the world famous pigeon hour podcast?
- A bunch of sticker ideas that are slightly cringe to make for yourself?
- want to be a guest on the world famous pigeon hour podcast?
- A bunch of sticker ideas that are slightly cringe to make for yourself?
We are near the finish line and need just $3k to turn my room into an EA Paradise (which will of course be posted on twitter)
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
It’s back and it’s not exactly bigger than ever yet but hopefully it will be!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
January 3, 2025 at 6:05 PM
We are near the finish line and need just $3k to turn my room into an EA Paradise (which will of course be posted on twitter)
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
If there ever was a time for manifesting aka evidential decision theory (u donating is evidence that others will) aka acausal coordination, it’s now!
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
Interesting: According to The Information, OpenAI and Microsoft's agreements had formally defined AGI as reaching $100 billion in profits.
OpenAI has told investors they expect to reach this in 2029.
OpenAI has told investors they expect to reach this in 2029.
December 26, 2024 at 7:53 PM
Interesting: According to The Information, OpenAI and Microsoft's agreements had formally defined AGI as reaching $100 billion in profits.
OpenAI has told investors they expect to reach this in 2029.
OpenAI has told investors they expect to reach this in 2029.
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
The fundraiser is now over $12.5k! To celebrate, here's a look back at all the crazy antics we did as a result of last years, which raised $35k in the end:
December 23, 2024 at 4:59 AM
The fundraiser is now over $12.5k! To celebrate, here's a look back at all the crazy antics we did as a result of last years, which raised $35k in the end:
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
This is absolutely spot on by @Miles_Brundage . It should be read by as many people as possible.
milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-f...
milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-f...
Time's Up for AI Policy
AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years. We need to act accordingly now.
milesbrundage.substack.com
December 21, 2024 at 5:31 PM
This is absolutely spot on by @Miles_Brundage . It should be read by as many people as possible.
milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-f...
milesbrundage.substack.com/p/times-up-f...
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
I was the one who came up with "Vegan Hot Ones" so if we don't hit that goal it means you personally hate me
It's that time of year again 🎉
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
December 19, 2024 at 3:16 AM
I was the one who came up with "Vegan Hot Ones" so if we don't hit that goal it means you personally hate me
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
It's that time of year again 🎉. @absurdlymax.bsky.social, @aaronbergman18.bsky.social, @laura-duffy.bsky.social, and I are returning to raise funds for the EA Funds Animal Welfare Fund! Donate to help the animals and create some silly antics!
www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
December 19, 2024 at 10:35 PM
It's that time of year again 🎉. @absurdlymax.bsky.social, @aaronbergman18.bsky.social, @laura-duffy.bsky.social, and I are returning to raise funds for the EA Funds Animal Welfare Fund! Donate to help the animals and create some silly antics!
www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
www.givingwhatwecan.org/fundraisers/...
It’s back and it’s not exactly bigger than ever yet but hopefully it will be!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
December 19, 2024 at 2:49 AM
It’s back and it’s not exactly bigger than ever yet but hopefully it will be!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
@spacedoutmatt.bsky.social, @absurdlymax.bsky.social, Laura Duffy and I are once again raising money for the EA Animal Welfare Fund in this year’s Terminally Online EA Giving Season Fundraiser!
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
It's that time of year again 🎉
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
December 19, 2024 at 2:45 AM
It's that time of year again 🎉
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
Another virtual fundraiser for the EA Animal Welfare Fund! Help reduce the suffering of animals while maybe increasing ours a bit (drinking huel)
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
One consequence of the housing crisis: Every year, roughly one electoral vote shifts from blue states to red states. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/o...
Opinion | Blue States are Unaffordable. The Price Will be Political.
Americans are fleeing unaffordable blue states — and they’re taking the electoral college with them.
www.nytimes.com
December 12, 2024 at 12:42 PM
One consequence of the housing crisis: Every year, roughly one electoral vote shifts from blue states to red states. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/o...
Reposted by Aaron Bergman
New term for programmers just dropped
December 11, 2024 at 10:43 PM
New term for programmers just dropped
Marinating tofu instead of turkey? Baste
December 9, 2024 at 8:15 AM
Marinating tofu instead of turkey? Baste
The OpenAI corporate governance shitshow doesn’t really inspire confidence, but I think the general idea of a nonprofit controlling a for-profit entity sounds pretty cool and good
December 8, 2024 at 2:51 PM
The OpenAI corporate governance shitshow doesn’t really inspire confidence, but I think the general idea of a nonprofit controlling a for-profit entity sounds pretty cool and good
Hello I am posting this message on both twitter and b*sky at the same time
December 8, 2024 at 5:09 AM
Hello I am posting this message on both twitter and b*sky at the same time
Similarish: if you have an a uniform prior on something (ie all probabilities in (0,1) equally likely), and then the thing does happen, you should then think that the ex ante probability was 2/3
If it doesn’t happen, you should think it was 1/3 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomia...
If it doesn’t happen, you should think it was 1/3 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomia...
December 6, 2024 at 2:59 AM
Similarish: if you have an a uniform prior on something (ie all probabilities in (0,1) equally likely), and then the thing does happen, you should then think that the ex ante probability was 2/3
If it doesn’t happen, you should think it was 1/3 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomia...
If it doesn’t happen, you should think it was 1/3 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomia...
I wanna be friends with citibike data guy
Being a data weirdo is a lonely path
Being a data weirdo is a lonely path
December 5, 2024 at 4:45 AM
I wanna be friends with citibike data guy
Being a data weirdo is a lonely path
Being a data weirdo is a lonely path