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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr
@nickparr.bsky.social
520 followers 330 following 30 posts

Demographer. Former Professor at Macquarie University, Sydney. Interested in population trends, population issues, births, deaths and migration, population maths and statistics.

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Political science 19%
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · 15h
Total fertility rates with immediate and very long run zero population growth implications for European countries

My new paper (last?) aims to enhance understanding of the relationships between TFR, immigration, emigration and zero population growth genus.springeropen.com/articles/10....
Total fertility rates with immediate and very long run zero population growth implications for European countries - Genus
The Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is the below replacement level for a population without migration throughout Europe. The population growth implications of low fertility combined with non-zero migration...
genus.springeropen.com
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Reposted by Nick Parr

genus.bsky.social
GENUS @genus.bsky.social · 11h
🆕 Fresh in GENUS: A novel look at how migration changes what “replacement fertility” really means for European populations - by @nickparr.bsky.social.

🔗 genus.springeropen.com/articles/10....
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Jul 23
Completely bewildered by citation of my paper to back up text about a topic I have never written about.
a man with long hair and a beard holds a glass of milk
ALT: a man with long hair and a beard holds a glass of milk
media.tenor.com
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Reposted by Nick Parr, Ilya Kashnitsky

genus.bsky.social
GENUS @genus.bsky.social · Jul 16
Survival inequalities expand in DK by socioeconomic group. New paper by @cosmostrozza.bsky.social, @svigezzi.bsky.social, @juliacalla.bsky.social, @sandrsalek.bsky.social, @ikashnitsky.phd, find that almost 1/4 poor men vs 1/20 rich men die pre-retirement.

🔗 genus.springeropen.com/articles/10....
Socioeconomic inequalities in survival to retirement age in Denmark: a register-based analysis - Genus
Around the world, people are increasingly living to older ages. This challenges the sustainability of the pension systems. In Denmark, statutory retirement age increases gradually to account for chang...
genus.springeropen.com
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Jun 19
Plans to replace 2031 census in England and Wales set to be abandoned after backlash

Pleased to read this
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · May 29
????????!!!
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Reposted by Nick Parr

genus.bsky.social
GENUS @genus.bsky.social · May 7
👉 Check our new publication - by Li, Cheng, Liu & @emitanaka.org:

"Analysis of international life expectancies with manifold learning and neural networks"

🔗 genus.springeropen.com/articles/10....
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Apr 30
www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...

This article might interest those looking to link results
of Australia’s upcoming election to electorate demography.
The 150 ways Australia’s electorates are wildly different
Australia’s 150 federal electorates will be in the spotlight on Saturday. Here’s how they vary.
www.smh.com.au
1

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Mar 27
Global population data is in crisis – here’s why that matters
theconversation.com/global-popul...

Important discussion of threats to the compilation of accurate population data
and the importance
of having such data.
Global population data is in crisis – here’s why that matters
When certain groups of people are systematically undercounted, they become invisible to policymakers.
theconversation.com
2

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Mar 4
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Far right hijacking debate on population issues.
US natalist conference to host race-science promoters and eugenicists
Details emerge about Natal conference in Austin later this month, set to feature figures linked to far-right politics
www.theguardian.com
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Feb 4
I provided some comments for this article on projected population
spatial distribution for Australia www.smh.com.au/national/nsw...
Why Sydney will keep its place as Australia’s biggest city
Predictions that Melbourne’s population would soon overtake Sydney’s were premature.
www.smh.com.au
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Reposted by Nick Parr

statsepi.bsky.social
Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · Jan 15
Happy "ask your mates at other universities to say something nice about your own university and vice versa in order to prop up the giant farce that is the completely unnecessary but highly profitable university "rankings" industry"-day, for all the simps that celebrate it.
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Jan 16
A quokka and Rottnest Island beach yesterday.
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Jan 10
I suspect this is sensationalist nonsense. It is a projection not a forecast apparently based on linear extrapolation with no mention of effect of immigration (hence children, grandchildren etc etc of immigrants) perpetuating some level of population floor.
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Reposted by Nick Parr

vegardskirbekk.bsky.social
Vegard Skirbekk @vegardskirbekk.bsky.social · Dec 16
Low fertility may lower conflict potential in the longer term www.businessinsider.com/asia-countri...
Plummeting fertility rates are making Asian countries worry about running out of soldiers
Declining fertility rates in South Korea, Japan, and China are making the countries think hard about how best to maintain their militaries.
www.businessinsider.com
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Dec 12
Components of population growth for Australia.
The population grew by 2.1% in the year to 30 June 2024
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Reposted by Nick Parr

amrcampop.bsky.social
Alice Reid @amrcampop.bsky.social · Dec 5
Campop blog #25: In today's blog Leigh Shaw-Taylor uses local case studies to illustrate the surprising complexity of English occupational structure in the early 18th century, before the industrial revolution
@camunicampop.bsky.social
www.campop.geog.cam.ac.uk/blog/2024/12...
The Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure, CambridgeWas the economy backward before the Industrial Revolution? « Top of the Campops: 60 things you didn't know about famil...
www.campop.geog.cam.ac.uk
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Reposted by Nick Parr

mclem.org
Michael Clemens @mclem.org · Dec 5
Causes death for children in the United States of America.

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/19/b...
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Dec 4
Which TFRs would prevent population decrease in 2024 if
deaths and net migration
are as per 2024 US census bureau estimates?

China 1.27 (vs 1.23 for 2024)
Japan 2.27 (vs 1.40)
South Korea 0.81 (vs 0.68)
Italy 1.40 (vs 1.26)

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Dec 2
www.planning.nsw.gov.au/data-and-ins...
The population of New South Wales is projected to increase from 8.1 million in 2021 to
10.1 million in 2041, despite
a low assumed fertility rate.

The growth may be seen as the product of fertility being above the MIGRATION-ADJUSTED replacement level.
Population projections | Planning
Our population projections provide a strong foundation on which to base planning for the future of NSW.
www.planning.nsw.gov.au

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Dec 2
www.smh.com.au/national/nsw...

I provided comment for this
article on projected population growth for New South Wales
Will your suburb shrink or grow? These charts have the answer
Sydney will add about 1 million people by 2041. Here’s where they’ll end up.
www.smh.com.au

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 25
Yes I remember examples from when my kids were in day care. There have also been increases in childlessness (although some of this is just more overseas students, working holidaymakers etc getting counted in the population).
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 25
theconversation.com/australia-in...
Recommended. A nicely balanced discussion of the low birth rate issue (panic?) in Australia by Edith Gray.
Australia in a baby bust? It’s not that simple – and a panic won’t help
What real issue does a low birth rate pose, and for whom?
theconversation.com
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Reposted by Mimí Sheller, Nick Parr

aureliemejean.bsky.social
Aurélie Méjean @aureliemejean.bsky.social · Nov 22
The evidence gathered from 127 peer reviewed papers shows that climate change impacts increase economic inequalities and disproportionately affect the poor, both globally and within countries on all continents
3/10
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 19
Link to my starter list of demographers and adjacent
nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 19
go.bsky.app/MxfG6Kj
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 19
My favourite paper
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
<em>Population and Development Review</em> | Population Council Journal | Wiley Online Library
This paper brings a new perspective to the population growth implications of the low fertility levels of European countries. For years between 2009 and 2018, whether constant fertility, mortality, an....
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 19
go.bsky.app/MxfG6Kj
1

nickparr.bsky.social
Nick Parr @nickparr.bsky.social · Nov 18
So how should we celebrate 20 million?
Cake and fizzy drinks anyone?

Reposted by Nick Parr

harveyfischer99.bsky.social
Harvey @harveyfischer99.bsky.social · Nov 18
Australia's once universalist family payments system has gradually wound down to a more residualist one through changes to indexation and eligibility.

From ~100% coverage in the 1970s to below 50% coverage in the 2020s 😬
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Reposted by Nick Parr

tothgcsaba.bsky.social
Csaba G. Tóth @tothgcsaba.bsky.social · Nov 18
Slightly more than half of the Hungarian population (56%) live to reach Hungary's life expectancy age of 77, the lowest share in Europe. Countries with higher life expectancy generally exhibit lower inequality in lifespan.
#demography #Hungary #Inequality
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