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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 39m

The problem is that we do win elections! Dems win about 50% of the time, which is as much as you can ask for, and it hasn't stopped the authoritarian slide.

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 56m

Only if you assume that the extra 20 Dems are as good as the rest of the party. That's highly unlikely to be true! The 2009 majority was huge, but didn't do much besides healthcare (and almost no reforms to govt structure) because the marginal vote was a status quo worshipping blue dog.

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 1h

...plus negative polarization against "activists" (which most Dem electeds have in spades)

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 1h

The average person who doesn't follow this stuff closely (especially someone who came up in politics pre-2020s) can come off as quite pro-Israeli just from blindly following the lead of the minority of the caucus that is ideologically pro-Israel...

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 1h

I hesitate to disagree with you on this stuff, but don't underestimate the degree to which many just don't think or care about it that much. There's a real risk of doing the xkcd geologist thing. xkcd.com/2501/

Average Familiarity

xkcd.com

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Reposted by Dan Miller

Dr. Jeff Masters @drjeffmasters.bsky.social · 20h

A massive storm that brought a record storm surge to Alaska was poorly forecast, and “this is one of the clearest possible examples to date where missing upper air soundings due to NWS constraints may have led to a degraded forecast.”

Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 20h

Sunday a massive storm surge event from the remnants of Typhoon Halong caused catastrophic damage in remote western Alaska. Thanks to @alaskawx.bsky.social for his help with this deep dive, including the forecast challenges in an area dealing with reduced NWS upper air soundings
tinyurl.com/4ycxaez9

Historic coastal flooding strikes western Alaska

Remnants of Typhoon Halong produce hurricane force winds and push massive storm surge inland in Kuskokwim River Delta, destroying and carrying away homes, leaving devastated communities.

tinyurl.com

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Reposted by Dan Miller

Bloomberg News @bloomberg.com · 8h

The US will struggle to generate the energy it needs to power growth in its tech industry without including wind and solar, according to JPMorgan.

JPMorgan Says US Risks Missing Energy Goals Without Wind, Solar

The US will struggle to generate the energy it needs to power growth in its tech industry without including wind and solar, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s global head of sustainable solutions.

bloom.bg

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Reposted by Dan Miller

Celeste Labedz @celestelabedz.bsky.social · 16h

A lot of comments on Mars rovers or Moon landings, but it's important to remember that the planet NASA studies most is Earth. This is less about cutting flashy things like moonwalks and more about keeping communities in the dark on climate, weather, agriculture, pollution, natural hazards, and more.

Reuters @reuters.com · 19h

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory to lay off about 550 workers reut.rs/4302N2L

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory to lay off about 550 workers

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory said on Monday it will cut nearly 550 jobs as part of a restructuring, not related to the current U.S. government shutdown.

reut.rs

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 8h

Don't remind me, I have to fly home in three days

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 8h

Prophecy

Reposted by Dan Miller

Emissary Of Night | ليلى @diplomatofnight.com · 11h

Basically my entire politics. I am interested in your liberalism if it's liberalism that takes liberalism seriously but I can't consider it to be such a thing if there is some racial exemptions made simply for the benefit of your preferred group in MENA. This is what liberalism in the US does.

Emissary Of Night | ليلى @diplomatofnight.com · 11h

I do not oppose liberalism as a camp per se I oppose their exceptionalization vis a vis Israel

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 9h

You can buy Pritzker for 3 cents on Kalshi right now, which is wild to me. Someone's going to make money.

Kalshi odds for the 2028 Dem nomination. Newsom at 35%, AOC 10%, everyone else in single digits.

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 20h

The actual answer is that there needs to be a non-fascist right of center party that will either win about half the time, or draw enough votes to deny the Fascists any victories. And nobody involved in this conversation will ever vote for this party.

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Reposted by Dan Miller

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 23h

“Win every election” is not a viable strategy for preventing authoritarianism

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 21h

Unicameral parliamentary system. No divided government, no dueling House and Senate issues, no rural overrepresentation. Makes it much easier to pass legislation.

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Dan Miller @meelar.bsky.social · 21h

Does Chuck Schumer even support eliminating the filibuster? Let alone something more meaningful like disempowering the Senate.

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