Kevin Carey
@kevincareywb.bsky.social
1.2K followers 330 following 1.9K posts
World Bank Macro / Climate Opinions are mine and not WB X: Kevin_Carey_WB
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kevincareywb.bsky.social
Brazil COP30 Belém Circle of Finance Ministers report launched at WB / IMF Annual Meetings: "Ministries of finance can play a critical role—not only in resource mobilization and allocation, but also in ensuring coherence across public policies, strengthening fiscal & institutional foundations, ..."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
"[official creditor committees] OCCs of the key terms of the restructuring, including NPV reduction, once an agreement is reached." documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/0...
documents1.worldbank.org
kevincareywb.bsky.social
Global Sovereign Debt Roundtable (GSDR) Fifth Cochairs report: "GSDR discussions have confirmed the broad support for, but not yet full consensus on, an earlier and more comprehensive publication by ..."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
“When a climate disaster strikes poorer countries, migration increases and public debt worsens. That’s why we are advocating for the creation of 'debt swap' mechanisms, allowing partial debt forgiveness in exchange for investments in adaptation.” cop30.br/en/news-abou...
COP30 advisor proposes new mechanisms to expand global climate finance
Economist José Alexandre Scheinkman advocates for the TFFF and presents proposals to strengthen adaptation financing in vulnerable countries
cop30.br
kevincareywb.bsky.social
“We are proposing mechanisms that could function like a Bolsa Família-type program, activated only during periods of extreme heat.”

"The advisor also emphasized the importance of channeling funds directly to local communities, strengthening their capacity to respond to climate events: ..."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
Brazil COP30 / economic adviser Dr. José Alexandre Scheinkman (Columbia Univ): "When addressing adaptation financing, Dr. Scheinkman defended innovative and socially just mechanisms capable of protecting populations most exposed to the impacts of global warming ..."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
Very interesting remarks by Ireland Minister of Finance Paschal Donohoe at WB / IMF Meetings Coalition of Finance Ministers for Climate Action ministerial where he noted the impact of Storm Éowyn damage on access to insurance & need to take climate into account in insurance sector strategy.
kevincareywb.bsky.social
“Gen-Zers in Madagascar have been on the streets of the country protesting the lack of essential services, especially water and electricity, and the negative impact on their lives for almost a month,” said Olufemi Taiwo, professor of Africana studies at Cornell University ..."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
“My concern is you end up with backroom deals with private investment funds, Egypt, the Palestinian Authority and Israel,” Hugh Lovatt, an expert on Israeli and Palestinian issues for the European Council on Foreign Relations, told DealBook." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/14/b...
What Would It Cost to Rebuild Gaza?
www.nytimes.com
kevincareywb.bsky.social
Madagascar: "He did not reveal his location but some reports said he may have gone to Dubai. Making clear he would not step down, Rajoelina said he was "on a mission to find solutions" to the political crisis & would not let the impoverished nation "destroy itself". sg.news.yahoo.com/military-sei...
Military seizes power in Madagascar as president impeached
An elite Madagascar military unit said Tuesday it had taken power in the Indian Ocean nation after parliamentarians voted to impeach President Andry Rajoelina following weeks of anti-government protes...
sg.news.yahoo.com
kevincareywb.bsky.social
An additional point: there's a disconnect between the IMF global and country level growth narratives. The global one is about lower long-term growth. But the individual country narratives (check the country-specific press releases & staff reports) are all about growth being "resilient."
chrisgiles.ft.com
My newsletter is on the paradox of the resilient and fragile global economy.

Every year economic forecasts get more disappointing - yet the global economy hasn't deteriorated much

How does that work?
www.ft.com/content/ac92...
kevincareywb.bsky.social
"the fiscal primary balance surpassing the program target, inflation remaining contained, external buffers strengthening, and financial conditions improving as sovereign spreads have narrowed significantly."
kevincareywb.bsky.social
"The defaulted bond at the centre of the negotiations fell 1 cent in the dollar following Tuesday's statements, although it remains close to its highest price level since early 2021 at 95 cents to the dollar." www.msn.com/en-us/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
kevincareywb.bsky.social
Ethiopia / announcement of unsuccessful discussions with Eurobond holders. From the statement (via regulatory announcement to Irish Stock Exchange), the govt's final proposal for a value recovery instrument.
kevincareywb.bsky.social
"This complicates debt reworks, in which all borrowers, ostensibly, must get equal treatment. "It raises risks," said Thys Louw, a portfolio manager with Ninety One. "Anything that's marginally opaque adds complexity." www.msn.com/en-gb/money/...
MSN
www.msn.com
kevincareywb.bsky.social
"Sources said governments and advisors underestimated how hard it would be to unpick, determining who holds it [private sovereign debt], on what terms and whether there was collateral which can put one borrower ahead in the queue ... "