Author | Lightnews

Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 1h

And thanks to all the medical staff 🫡

I counted 14 people sleeping on beds parked around the central ED desk area 😭

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Anyway, kid is all clear for measles so that’s the end of my thread and I’m off to bed 😴

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

The left needs to move from the single issue comms approach to an embrace a broader strategic narrative to achieve its aims.

You can see this need in this survey on CGT, where only 27% of Maori support it, 47% in Labour but Green voters are 70% in favour.

www.rnz.co.nz/news/politic...

RNZ-Reid Research poll: Where the public stands on capital gains tax

The latest RNZ-Reid Research poll shows voters are much less firm in their positions than politicians seem to be.

www.rnz.co.nz

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

I actually don’t think the curriculum reforms will be implemented, because teachers just absolutely hate it. So it’s not all bad!

But it’s one of many battles and the left has got to get its shit together if we don’t want that boot stamping on our face forever.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

They’re winning on other fronts.

The Taits and the moan-osphere, - coupled with a YouTube algorithm that will, with almost 100% certainty, show this to kids - is shifting values.

The latest gender equality survey has 1-in-3 young NZ men (18-34) thinking gender equality has gone too far.

2025 Gender Attitude Survey results released – with concerning trends

Working towards a gender equal New Zealand

www.ncwnz.org.nz

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Rewriting history is common a fascist pastime, alongside starving the poor and fuelling hatred against minorities.

Now they’re crowing about it.

But they got there through a concerted control of the cultural narrative and this is just the start.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

If you do anything after reading this thread, just read that article!

So like a white person proudly declaring that they don’t see colour, today ACT is claiming to have removed politics from history.

Facebook post

David Seymour
11h

Wonderful news today that the highly politicised 'Aotearoa New Zealand Histories Curriculum' has been fixed. The Marxist 'big ideas' such as 'Mãori history is the foundational and continuous history of Aotearoa New Zealand!' and 'The course of Aotearoa New Zealand's histories has been shaped by the use of power' are GONE.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Now if you haven’t read it, my friend Jessie researched and wrote a fantastic deep dive into the white supremacist roots of this endeavour in great detail, which was published a few days ago.

e-tangata.co.nz/comment-and-...

The imported ideology behind education reform | E-Tangata

e-tangata.co.nz

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Now interestingly, one of the big global strategies is to change school curriculums to promote ‘Western Culture'.

This is one core aims for National, the ideology center piece of this government.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

They were prepared for the election win and are executing as much of their plan as fast as possible.

This is not just “ACT getting its way” in a coalition agreement, it’s full throated support across National, Act and NZ First.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Now the Right in NZ are organised, with very well funded think tanks, initiatives, media platforms and seem to be working together on the same goals (Atlas)

The Left have a raft of single issue groups, trying to do comms while also doing frontline advocacy. All with little cohesion or strategy.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

They’re just the result of existing strong cultural values of being fair and nice. There’s no long game strategy, it’s what’s been allowed by - dare I say it - liberal elites.

Who share those values, up until the point where being fair or inclusive means they might have less.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

They’re winning online because they don’t play fair and are literally ’flooding the zone with shit’. And online is where we live now.

Now all of the “cultural wins” of the left, such as DEI are kind of identity politics based successes. I don’t think there’s a coherent ideology strategy here.

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Take cannabis law reform. Made total sense, didn’t pass the referendum.

Now the thing is, the ideological Right and billionaire lobby groups are winning this cultural war.

If you think otherwise, I’m glad you are living your best goat herd life in the mountains, far away from the internet!

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

Chloe Swarbrick at the conf talked about her shift in political thinking from ‘getting a law passed’ to realising that political happens first in culture.

Laws - even good ones that make complete rational sense - only get passed when they’re seen as culturally ok. (If you care about democracy!)

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 2h

A bit of a long thread on the strategy and cultural war the right is surging ahead with here in Aotearoa (while I’m tired and awake at a hospital bedside).

Fermenting from a few things, including a NZ democracy conference in Wellington last week and good chats with friends #NZPol

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 4h

Oops, link:

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Global climate mode resonance due to rapidly intensifying El Niño-Southern Oscillation - Nature Communications

The authors of this study perform simulations with a high-resolution climate model and show that global warming may trigger an abrupt shift in the tropical climate system towards stronger and more pre...

www.nature.com

Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 4h

New modelling out this week shows that El Niño is gonna oscillate with much more strength and actual kinda phase lock with the North Atlantic Oscillation, increasing its ‘amplitude’ by 20% more than the current models predict.

So even more crazy weather!

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 4h

Instead of a new Medicard we should just use a “One Card”*

*which should have all our state-issued numbers on it, along with a holographic Sauron’s Eye that winks seductively at you when you tilt it

Remain In Hell Without Despair @daphnelawless.com · 12h

Kiwis love cards? Am I hallucinating or was the introduction of the Community Services Card fraught with opposition, that it was a "branding poor people card"?

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 7h

Possible measles (living with a Yr11 "close contact" at Wellington College) but double vaccinated so 🤷‍♂️... No symptoms but a few spots on his knee appearing today 🤔

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 7h

Very well actually. Gave us very good masks and in a seperate room with the doors shut. Nurse came in wearing the full face shield + yellow suit gear

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Reposted by Ira

AFN Network+ @afnnetwork.bsky.social · 5d

This week, we’re diving into what our Roadmap for Resilience report says about land. How do we need to transform land use to support a resilient, sustainable food system & healthy diets? Our digest breaks it down.
👉 tinyurl.com/2xtynfs5

#UKFoodPlan2050 #AFNRoadmap

DIGEST: Roadmap for Resilience; land transition - AFN Network+

In this Digest, we’re looking at the transformation the Roadmap report says needs to happen to our land, to ensure a more resilient and sustainable sector that supports healthy diets.

tinyurl.com

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 8h

The difference a few years in underfunding makes… 😑

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 8h

At Wellington Hospital with a suspected measles case and the ED department is absolutely packed.

Patients in beds all along the corridors in every possible space. Last time I came a few years ago there was no one at all outside rooms?!

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Ira @ira.bailey.nz · 9h

As always, put on a watchlist by Autocorrect 😅