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Reposted by Mike Beuoy

Ryan Nanni @celebrityhottub.bsky.social · 4d

baseball is the best preparation for death because it does not come with a clock that tells you when your suffering will end one way or the other

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

I'm assuming this is why the phonograph worked. Because on its surface it seems ridiculous that a needle wiggling against some wax could reproduce sound with any fidelity.

But it probably does it just good enough for your brain to tease out the pattern and fill in the blanks.

Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

Where I learned this (highly recommend): www.audible.com/pd/How-Music...

How Music and Mathematics Relate

Check out this great listen on Audible.com. Great minds have long sought to understand the relationship between music and mathematics. Both involve patterns, structures, and relationships. Both genera...

www.audible.com

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

Because the speaker CAN play the higher harmonic frequencies that always accompany the low bass notes, your brain, being the expert evolution-optimized pattern matcher that it is, detects those higher harmonics and assumes the fundamental bass note is there, so that's what you "hear".

2/

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

I recently learned about the "missing fundamental" auditory illusion.

Apparently, your cell phone speaker isn't capable of playing low bass frequencies, even though you think you're hearing them (e.g. a typical male voice).

1/

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

Correct conclusion: You need to control for selection bias first. Selecting teams that scored means your sample is biased towards better teams - which is the likely explanation for why they are more likely to score in the future.

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 5d

I've seen two academic papers in two separate sports make the same mistake related to momentum:

The evidence: Teams that have scored recently are more likely to score again

Incorrect conclusion: This is evidence for momentum in sports

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Reposted by Mike Beuoy

Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 6d

Open role with our Football/Media Data & Analytics teams at the NFL - please reach out if this seems like a good fit

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

x.com/Acyn/status/...

Acyn on X: "Watters forced to read a correction on a statement he made previously https://t.co/P4aOHnDKYf" / X

Watters forced to read a correction on a statement he made previously https://t.co/P4aOHnDKYf

x.com

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

Jesse Water is vile for many many reasons, but I'm not sure why you're misrepresenting that clip. It has nothing to do with Judge Goodstein.

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

of course. very sustainable.

Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

Ha. Nope. Using Apple Watch.

Me checking the Strava half marathon prediction time: “This app is trying to kill me”

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

it may just be me, but its predictions always seem wildly optimistic

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 8d

believe in yourself like the strava run time prediction algorithm believes in you

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 9d

"But if you keep proving stuff that others have done, getting confidence, increasing the complexities of your solutions - for the fun of it - then one day you'll turn around and discover that nobody actually did that one!"

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 9d

Some good advice on the value of grappling with problems on your own, from the Feynman Lectures on Computation:

"What one fool can do, so can another, and the fact that some other fool beat you to it shouldn't disturb you: you should get a kick out of having discovered something"

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Reposted by Mike Beuoy

Evollve @evollve.net · 10d

🚨new stat alert🚨

We've added points scored to our site!

You can now see player points scored on their page, on the team pages, or in the Dig In tool!

For example, Ana Burilović is the only player in the country to score 40+ points in a match so far this season!

evollve.net/stats/ncaa/w...

NCAA Dig In | Player Single Games NCAA

Find the NCAA games that meet the search criteria

evollve.net

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Reposted by Mike Beuoy

Kevin Pelton @kpelton.bsky.social · 14d

"How is this a tie game?" A documentary on 2025 Indianapolis playoff basketball

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 16d

Here is the code. Review the instructions for parameter selections and team id. It can take 5-10 minutes for the code to cycle through all the games.

gist.github.com/boooeee/38d1...

high school volleyball simple ranking system

high school volleyball simple ranking system. GitHub Gist: instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

gist.github.com

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 16d

The code iterates through a team's schedule to build out a sufficient network of games. Non-league games can count towards the SRS rating, but the output table is restricted to just league teams.

Disclaimer: I coded this by hand but then had an LLM help clean up the code and add documentation.

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 16d

The SRS rating of a team is the expected number of sets one would expect it to win (or lose) by to a league average team.

For now, home court advantage is not considered, but that would be fun to explore.

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 16d

The rankings use the Simple Rating System method, which is a regression approach that factors in both strength of schedule and set margin.

You get more credit for playing good teams, and more credit for dominant victories (e.g. winning 3-0 counts for more than winning 3-2)

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 16d

🧵 for any stat-obsessed volleyball moms or dads (or students):

I've created some code that will pull publicly available high school data and then use them to create a strength of schedule adjusted team ranking for your league (see thread).

Example for Marymount (a top CA team):

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Reposted by Mike Beuoy

Dan Devine @yourmandevine.bsky.social · 17d

I hate why I have spent part of this afternoon reading things Kaleb wrote, but if you ever needed an example of why so many people have been so effusive about his writing, a mission statement for what writing's supposed to be, or both, well, you could do a hell of a lot worse than this.

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Mike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 20d

The only downside?

If someone sees what you're typing, you look like a crazy person:

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