Jesse
ember42.bsky.social
Jesse
@ember42.bsky.social
2K followers 1K following 1.6K posts
Process engineer. Energy, infrastructure, industrial decarbonisation, P(🌎net0|☢️📉) << P(🌎net0|☢️📈), Sulphur. Views my own. Ember421 at x
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How do we make nuclear the anchor for flexibility and firm capacity?
Here is my basic proposal.
Let’s start with a 350MW Gen IV reactor. This is basically the Natrium in round numbers, but we could use others, and we can adjust the ratios of turbine / core etc to suit the system.
*ANY* ~500C+ works
The big challenge for Ontario is that with extensive access to the gas network, there is no real coat savings on the table...
Would be huge for Quebec's peak load *iff* they are cold wearer down to a rating where they avoid resistance backup at the coldest temperatures...
We should probably look for more EW facing vertical installs that leave rows easy to access.
Or even just EW facing vertical installs as wind breaks at field edges...
Doesn't that risk decomposing it into methane?
"Oh, the year was 1778!". Gesture to go next...
And that might actually be competative, unlike hair-brained schemes to build a 2000km+ pipeline from AB to the Atlantic coast to make LNG...
So gas can backup gas!
The main reliability risk is in the common cause failure of the gas delivery system.
That can be mitigated by making then dual-fuel, with onside liquid fuels storage.
But of course, a reserve margin is needed to cover that they are individually imperfect.
The important thing here though is that their failures tend to be uncorlelated (outside that near design weather aspect, which needs to be accounted for in their reliability ratings), and their scheduled downtime is anti-corrleated (schedules are staggered, and tend to be in shoulder season).
This only works if Ukraine gets a substantial nuclear deterrent.
If we don't like that alternative, maybe something else should be on the table...
And anouther is the common cause failure risk of relying too much on the just in time fuel delivery of natural gas (or hydrogen if we were to ever consider that).
Anouther big factor is a lot of the cost saving is illusory, as there a lot of fixed costs that are being recouped on volumtric basis, that will end out as some form of fixed charges, and that will end out going to the capacity value of the fuel supply system.
The idle systems issue.
And this is a big chunk of why I'm not enthused about the 'default plan' of a natural gas firm system, with solar and wind 'fuel saving' as much as they economically can...
It's true that lowering capacity factors for fossil gas generators helps, but I think even most energy wonks don't appreciate how much methane is emitted from the supply chain that feeds those generators. It's enormous and the leaks are about the same whether the plant runs 80% or 20% of the time.
Furthermore, the primary way that transitions happen is by lowering the capacity factors of FF sources. Not shutting down resources, but utilizing them less and less. This isn't a horrible thing from the standpoint of maintaining stability for rare climactic events. ...
Lounges are best for medium to long connections on international flights...
especially the kind with showers.
The alien equivalent of viruses would likely be effectively inert, or at least non-spreading(works by hijacking biomachenery, if the bimachinery is different, unlikely to do replaicate, may kill a few cells).
Alien bacteria equivalent, on the other hand, could be terrifying.
Anywhere that is using resistance backup for a heat pump would have this issue...
The main problem with that is it becomes the grid worst case capacity requirement, right when solar is at a minimum, and wind typically under-performes.
For a highly cyclic service, like FCAS, would that mean you should have an 'A' and 'B' side of your battery, where one side would stay in a charging state, the other in a discharging state (just varrying between 'stipped' and max rate) until they get to their max/min charge levels, then switch?
Does that mean switching the polarity of the cell (my terminology may be off, but going to a voltage lower than open circuit cell voltage to higher than, or vice versa) is a large driver of wear? Along with charge/discharge near the ends of the range are the main drivers?
Yes, lifetime Watt-hours should mean that you have 18x the 60-55 cycles as 100->10 cycles, but both would count as 1x? Say if you get 1111 100->10 cycles (1000 full cycles equivalent), you would get 20k 60->55 cycles (same total WH) but 30k 75->25 cycles (at 15x). So MORE actual cycles even.
Wait, does that mean that short cycles (say 60->55->60) is just as bad for wear as over deep cycles? This is very bad for balancing / grid services applications, no?
Engagement in terms of meaningful responses has collapsed here...
"Find all inspection reports that include line xxx-yyy and link to the relevant page" would actually be time saving if it works, and if linked through, each result can be validated.
My understanding from interviews on these was it was more a way to help do things like "find all regulatory references to topic X", or "find all plant data relevant to topic X", and largely save the time for searching, not do the analysis.
To the extent it's used as a fancy search engine, it's probably fine...
Just not revolutionary...
By 'averaging out' I really mean maxing out the connection whenever the price level is vaguely attractive.
As opposed to occasionally hitting that output only when prices are high (peaking).
Of course there should be some storage on the solar gen side, but should we have more than needed to 'near average' the output? There, probably not as you get back into underutilizing the connection capacity like with standalone PV.