Daniel Mangrum
@danielmangrum.com
1.6K followers 290 following 450 posts
Economist at NY Fed studying consumer finance, household debt, education, and urban topics. Occasional NBA and NYC/BK content. Views are all mine. www.danielmangrum.com
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Reposted by Daniel Mangrum
Reposted by Daniel Mangrum
Very cool new paper from @danielmangrum.com and others at the NY Fed investigating BNPL. Conclusion: BNPLs are negatively-selected to consumers with worth credit, meaning the space is generally expanding credit with its growth.

www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary...
I did this once with a verbal description of my methodology (using a voice memo) in mostly plain language and I was amazed at how well it hashed things out.
Same. It’s a champ for travel. Flight attendants constantly question whether it will fit in the overhead but it even fits in an E175 overhead bin.
We went with my 3 year old in April and only used the tube once (too many elevator transfers) but used the bus constantly. It was fantastic. What is your travel stroller of choice?
We did not refer to them by name but they are included in the 20 million borrowers not in repayment. It is unclear when they will be required to make payments, but mechanically they can’t be reported as delinquent until 90 days of missed payments. Earliest that could be is 2026.
At the bank, we get coffee cups made with the image from the show + the quote. Highly recommend you do the same!
What an insane amount of campaigning and mailers (from both) for such a lopsided outcome.
Hands down best example of AI enhanced productivity. Shoutout to peach puff
ChatGPT output listing 25 RGB color values
We are SO back
The Grand Army Plaza long national fence nightmare is over.
6. Nearly 2 million IDR applications are pending as of the end of April. 80k were processed during April. Also 50k PSLF buyback requests pending.

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
5. (this one is a bit in the weeds) The delinquency rate on the FFEL portfolio (in repayment) held by ED is 50%! For reference, the overall ED portfolio DQ rate is 27%.

studentaid.gov/sites/defaul...
studentaid.gov
4. 45% of student loan borrowers with a payment due in Mississippi are past due
Map of student loan delinquency rates. Data available in the link
3. Under 30s are the only group with a student loan delinquency rate below pre-pandemic (conditional on having a payment due).
A few student loan stats.

First 4 from our new blog post, last 2 from ED.

1. Nearly 1 in 4 student loan borrowers with a payment due was past due at the end of the first quarter

libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2025/05/stud...
I’m thinking the same.…
Mostly unrelated but Careless People was fantastic
It’s Bushwick, isn’t it?
Is there a defaulted loan servicer under contract yet? Or are these only for those borrowers who were already defaulted when there was last a servicer?