Joost
@almodozo.bsky.social
1.4K followers 810 following 4.4K posts
Holland > Hungary > Spain Same @almodozo as on Twitter, just without the Országház. Worked at OSF and CEU, but that's a long while ago. Studied East-European History, but that's even longer ago. Now, somehow, I ended up in Extremadura.
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almodozo.bsky.social
Not going to update my ancient Twitter bio, but I mostly post about:
— Elections and polls
— Central/East-European politics
— The war in Ukraine
— Maps and charts
— Dutch and Spanish politics
— Budapest memories, life in Extremadura
— The left, a love/hate relationship
— Media, archiving, minorities
almodozo.bsky.social
Nice book placement
almodozo.bsky.social
Huh. Enig idee waarom het aantal opeens zo toenam in die laatste twee jaar?
almodozo.bsky.social
They just keep digging and digging
almodozo.bsky.social
Counting down the days until we get a poll where Labour, the Tories, the LibDems and the Greens all get the exact same vote share.

Cool? Kinda. Except for the part where it probably translates into a parliamentary majority for Reform on less than 30% of the vote
europeelects.bsky.social
UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 27%
LAB-S&D: 20%
CON~ECR: 17%
LDEM-RE: 16% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 5-6 October 2025

Fieldwork: 13-14 October 2025
Sample size: 2,321

➤ europeelects.eu/uk
almodozo.bsky.social
Not the main point here I know, but he's a *Young* Republican?
almodozo.bsky.social
Sure, no, I feel ya. It all sucks.
almodozo.bsky.social
It's like clickbait journalism. That career is cursed, so you know that esp young journos do it cos they've gotta start somewhere, and they gotta eat. And some end up doing good work later. But also, people shouldn't stop pointing out that clickbait journalism sucks. Hate the game, not the player &c
almodozo.bsky.social
We all do whatever we gotta do to get by in our respective fucked up job markets, even if it does make things objectively worse. Easy to empathise with that. But I dunno. It's also okay for people to point out that it's making things objectively worse, and want it all to stop
almodozo.bsky.social
From a Facebook memory. Still true.
almodozo.bsky.social
Do you think there's anything to the various suggestions about who might be "behind" these new revelations? Besides the obvious claims of an attack to sabotage the coalition talks, I've also seen speculation that the leak might have come from ANO itself, trying to clear out awkward prospects
almodozo.bsky.social
TikTok's take-over by Trump allies completes the right's hegemony over social media in the U.S. But there's a global problem too. Take Spain, where Vox has around 750,000 followers on TikTok: more than double *the combined following of all other main parties*.

english.elpais.com/technology/2...
almodozo.bsky.social
Previously, Turek "has been investigated over an image that appeared to show him making a Nazi salute and also over allegations by his ex-girlfriend, who accused him of rape and abuse."

www.politico.eu/article/czec...

Speaking of the latter, is this guy a dead ringer for Pete Hegseth?
almodozo.bsky.social
Some context about Turek's party: bsky.app/profile/almo...
almodozo.bsky.social
AUTO rails against "green fanatics," gender ideologues "who question our biological nature," and Fiala's "leftwing" (read: centre-right) government — and the supposed moral bankruptcy and industrial decline they caused. Unsurprisingly, the party has joined Orbán's Patriots for Europe group.
almodozo.bsky.social
Babiš will almost certainly have to rely on the "Motorists" party to govern, but now faces more revelations about would-be Foreign Minister Filip Turek's track record of vile social media posts in which, for example, he applauded the injuries a two-year-old Romani girl suffered in an arson attack.
almodozo.bsky.social
Ken Loach and others wrote an open letter to sound the alarm about recent developments in Your Party: "Unless immediate steps are taken to ensure transparency, accountability and real democracy, the credibility of the whole project is at risk."

docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
An open letter to the leadership of Your Party
Please complete this form if you would like to sign the open letter. See full text below.
docs.google.com
almodozo.bsky.social
Labour is struggling in Caerphilly, presaging a historic defeat in Wales next year. “To understand the magnitude of this collapse," consider this: it has been 102 years "since Labour was not the largest party in a major Welsh election – the longest such streak of any party anywhere in the world.”
Watching Caerphilly: Welsh byelection may be bellwether for political transformation in UK
Plaid Cymru and Reform are polling above Welsh Labour in race for Senedd seat experts say may be ‘canary in the coalmine’
www.theguardian.com
almodozo.bsky.social
And an older thread:
almodozo.bsky.social
Context: as of June last year, CIS had overestimated the left-wing vote in 41 of the most recent 42 elections. This helps nobody. Chart by Kiko Llaneras:
almodozo.bsky.social
CIS, Spain's government-affiliated polling agency, is plumbing new depths of improbability.

On the left: CIS polling this past year. On the right: overall polling average for the same period.
almodozo.bsky.social
"Leaderless movements are explicitly branding themselves as gen Z and adopting the emblems of protesters elsewhere as a statement of solidarity."

This global, viral exchange of protest motifs has been a fascinating phenomenon in recent years, doubtlessly supercharged by social media:
almodozo.bsky.social
From Morocco, Kenya and Madagascar to Nepal, Indonesia, the Philippines and even Peru, the jaunty flag of anime hero Monkey D Luffy's pirate crew is being flown at youth protests against whatever forces are in power in these respective countries:

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The Guardian view on gen Z protests: these movements share more than an interest in anime | Editorial
Editorial: A new global wave of unrest is unfolding, driven by generational discontents and taking cues from each other
www.theguardian.com
almodozo.bsky.social
To be fair, there *was* always a little notebook with phone numbers next to the phone. With little pages by letter
almodozo.bsky.social
It's the speed of it all which is sobering too. When was ChatGPT launched, less than three years ago? And we're already putting it on charge of our love life. That's a pretty stunning trajectory
almodozo.bsky.social
This is the closest, in the whole article, to a rationalisation that makes any of it seem *halfway* excusable, but it also just underlines how dystopian dating must have become (and it's still an insane thing to do)