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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 1m

Where treaties (not just CEDAW but also CRPD and CERD) exist that have a specific group focus, that focus is not to grant additional, special rights to those groups that others are not granted, but to recognise the specific need to address barriers to rights realisation that others do not face

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 1m

Whatever the rest of that MP's thread says is immaterial, it falls at that first hurdle because she evidently does not know the first thing about human rights!

The fundamental principle of human rights is they are universal! No group has more or fewer rights than another!

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 1m

There are no obligations under CEDAW to uphold "sex-based rights" as international human rights law does not include the concept of "sex-based rights" and indeed that concept is incompatible with the principles of human rights which are afforded to everyone on the basis of being human

Jordan @jordanpfot.bsky.social · 12m

I agree that human rights cannot be applied selectively! This is why it was curious, to say the least, that the Supreme Court opted not to consider human rights at all in their judgment.

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 2h

Obviously, the time it'll take to get to the ECtHR is a pain, the ongoing risk to the UK's continued adherence to the ECHR itself is serious, things are shit and getting worse in the interim, but genuinely, there's hope here: the UK is so obviously in breach of human rights that it will not stand.

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 2h

Said it before and saying it again but there's no way the Supreme Court's anti-trans ruling survives contact with European/International human rights law, and here's yet another example of an actual human rights expert/body effectively setting the stage for that.

rm.coe.int/letter-to-pa...

rm.coe.int

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 5h

Mfer said "Liz Truzz"

Anyway what a perfect way to turn a good point - "SNP leadership turnover was chaotic and a bad sign for them" - into a reminder of how unfit you are for the job you have - "wow 3 leaders in 14 months! That's worse than the Tories who had, um, 3 in 3 months!"

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 5h

Gods Chris Mason really is just Not Good At This, is he. Chris, petal, if you have one Boris Johnson, one Liz Truzz, and one Rishi Sunak, how many Conservative Prime Ministers do you have? And if Johnson is August, Truss is September, and Sunak is October, how many months is that?

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

Also the Lib Dems winning the Inverness inclusive Westminster seat is almost certainly down to the inclusion of large parts of what was once Kennedy Land; the Holyrood seat is much more Inverness and the rural bit is Nairn, not Kennedy Land!

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

Yes, to be clear in this case I am throwing models out the window and just working on basis such as "look the Tories still won the Borders seat by 15% last year, no chance the Nats get it at Holyrood" and "the Lib Dems are the only established party clearly on the up and have CSR in the bag"

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

I'm basically discounting list seats as an at all possible contributor to a majority: unless the SNP *beat their 2021 performance* they will not be proportionally due list seats *except* if they lose so many constituencies in a given region as to, in itself, make a majority impossible

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

I was giving my boss this spiel on the bus back from SNP conference earlier, I'm very practiced at it today

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

So they cannot afford to lose a single constituency beyond that. The new EdN? Lib Dems very good shot at winning. East Lothian? SNP so marginal over Labour in 2021 that even at this point a Labour win likely. Even Dumfriesshire, very unlikely to go SNP! In other words, I think they cap out circa 62.

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 19h

So to disagree with Mark slightly here I don't believe a majority is on the cards; the SNP can afford to not win 8 of the 73 constituencies.

The 4 LD ones? They'll hold. They'll also gain CSR. The 2 Lab ones? They've held so far and will again now. From Con? SNP are not winning ERB. That's the 8.

Mark McGeoghegan @markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social · 20h

Something that's gone under the radar ahead of the 2026 Holyrood elections is the % of voters who are undecided, & who they are.

Around an eighth of likely voters don't know who they'd vote for. Over half of those voted SNP in 2021. If they go back to the SNP, a majority isn't off the cards.

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Allan Faulds @afaulds.bsky.social · 22h

We had an hour between leaving SNP conference and getting the train back so I made my colleagues walk around Aberdeen city centre and ooh at things (my boss is actually from here so it wasn't like it was new to her!)