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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
Does it work for conservation ? Our proposal is best suited for re/afforestation. The economics of the conservation is very different & the flow benefits are smaller. Maybe w/ blended finance. 6/6
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
How does this differ from other emerging nature-shares proposals? We do not count on the marketable nature benefits (logging etc) to be enough to support demand. These slns may be ok to finance transitions to regenerative ag in the Global North, not for forests in the South. 5/6
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
Our proposal spurred interesting conversations. Is it Art. 6 compatible ? Yes. Countries could use the market to buy nature shares that deliver carbon dividends for their NDCs. How do you ensure a liquid secondary mkt? Using the info generated during the primary mkt (see paper for details). 4/6
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
Jurisdictions (rather than project developers) are on the supply side. A larger size reduces leakage, monitoring costs, risks, etc. To create demand, we consider a mandate on pension funds to be Paris-and Montreal-aligned. The carbon and biodiversity dividends reduce the funds’ footprint. 3/6
picture of proposed market design
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
We propose to view nature as equity which generates carbon and biodiversity dividends. Viewing nature as a risky asset recognizes its impermanence. Using dividends to distribute its benefits = doing so prudently. But it requires to rethink the value of a market and how we create & support it. 2/6
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

estellecantillon.bsky.social
I had the pleasure to work with Bea and Eric on scaling finance for forests in the Global South. Our starting point: the nature-based VCM is broken. Higher standards and better monitoring will not fix it. It can’t serve as a template for nature. Why? It can’t deal with nature’s impermanence. 🧵1/6
Abstract: We argue for a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits: one that takes shares in projects as the main asset to be traded, rather than credits. In our mechanism, jurisdictions propose nature-positive large-scale projects. Investors buy shares in these projects. Shares do not affect land ownership but produce carbon and biodiversity dividends. Prices in the primary market are used to pin down investor preferences over project attributes and generate conversion rates for different projects in the secondary market, thereby fostering liquidity for investors. Compared to existing credit-based approaches, our mechanism accounts for the unavoidable non-permanence of forests and fosters long-term thinking for market participants. Additionally, our mechanism lowers transaction costs, encourages additionality, and reduces leakage. We propose several venues to support demand for this new market and discuss options available to adapt the mechanism to pure conservation projects, which are essential but less amenable to be turned into dividend-producing assets because they generate lower climate and biodiversity flow benefits.
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

cepr.org
New CEPR #PolicyInsight 145 Designing and scaling up nature-based markets
@estellecantillon.bsky.social, E Lambin & @wederdim.bsky.social describe a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits through shares instead of credits.
cepr.org/publications...
#EconSky
In this Policy Insight, drawn from the 2025 Paris Report, the authors argue for a new approach to finance nature-based provision of carbon and biodiversity benefits: one that takes shares in projects as the main asset to be traded, rather than credits. In our mechanism, jurisdictions propose nature-positive large-scale projects. Investors buy shares in these projects. Shares do not affect land ownership but produce carbon and biodiversity dividends. Prices in the primary market are used to pin down investor preferences over project attributes and generate conversion rates for different projects in the secondary market, thereby fostering liquidity for investors. Compared to existing credit-based approaches, our mechanism accounts for the unavoidable non-permanence of forests and fosters long-term thinking for market participants. Additionally, our mechanism lowers transaction costs, encourages additionality, and reduces leakage. The Insight proposes several venues to support demand for this new market and discuss options available to adapt the mechanism to pure conservation projects, which are essential but less amenable to be turned into dividend-producing assets because they generate lower climate and biodiversity flow benefits.
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro

cepr.org
New CEPR #PolicyInsight 144 Building coalitions for climate transition & nature restoration
@pisaniferry.bsky.social @wederdim.bsky.social & @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social advocate for pragmatic coalitions of the willing to align climate, biodiversity, trade & finance objectives.
cepr.org/publications...
The global effort to combat climate change and biodiversity loss increasingly hinges on the choices made by emerging and developing economies. While advanced economies retain influence through emissions, trade, and technology, their relative share in global greenhouse gas emissions is declining. Rapid, inclusive, and low-carbon development pathways in countries like India, Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, and especially China, are now pivotal. However, geopolitical tensions and waning leadership - particularly from the United States - threaten progress toward the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. To maintain momentum, this Policy Brief advocates for pragmatic “coalitions of the willing” that align climate, biodiversity, trade, and finance objectives. The European Union, with its leadership on climate policy and credibility in international negotiations, must spearhead these alliances, working closely with emerging markets to deliver systemic, cooperative solutions for a sustainable future.
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Reposted by Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Jean P. Ferry

bruegel.org
📘 Find the full Paris Report 3, a joint initiative by @cepr.org and Bruegel here: buff.ly/xYd7tPv

Edited by @jzettelmeyer.bsky.social, @pisaniferry.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
Paris Report 3: Global Action Without Global Governance: Building coalitions for climate transition and nature restoration
Global Action Without Global Governance: Building Coalitions for Climate Transition and Nature Restoration, is the second output from the ITCEI initiative. It is a response to a sobering geopolitical…
cepr.org
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