Andrew Lyons
@twisterkid34.bsky.social
Forecaster. Storm and sky enthusiast. Occasional adult.
forecast.twodogswx.net
https://github.com/adlyons
For Pics &
Youtube.com/twisterkidmedia
For tornado videos
Bad opinions are my own.
forecast.twodogswx.net
https://github.com/adlyons
For Pics &
Youtube.com/twisterkidmedia
For tornado videos
Bad opinions are my own.
Time lapse from my Lumix also turned out pretty well for minimal setup
November 12, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Time lapse from my Lumix also turned out pretty well for minimal setup
Last night still doesn't feel real. Visible aurora from 35° N over my backyard city lights. Insane!
November 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Last night still doesn't feel real. Visible aurora from 35° N over my backyard city lights. Insane!
Another big finding was that QLCS events have changed drastically in the last decade and are not distributed uniformly. This is likely the result of dual pol implementation, different warning/reporting philosophy, changes in population/urban bullseye and some decades variability.
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Another big finding was that QLCS events have changed drastically in the last decade and are not distributed uniformly. This is likely the result of dual pol implementation, different warning/reporting philosophy, changes in population/urban bullseye and some decades variability.
I was able to successfully recreate Smiths results using decadal KDEs and expand the sample to a large more representative climo window.
Some findings:
Dixie Alley is king for tornado occurance, but the Plains win for supercell mode!
The Ohio Valley is QLCS central but supercells not so much!
Some findings:
Dixie Alley is king for tornado occurance, but the Plains win for supercell mode!
The Ohio Valley is QLCS central but supercells not so much!
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
I was able to successfully recreate Smiths results using decadal KDEs and expand the sample to a large more representative climo window.
Some findings:
Dixie Alley is king for tornado occurance, but the Plains win for supercell mode!
The Ohio Valley is QLCS central but supercells not so much!
Some findings:
Dixie Alley is king for tornado occurance, but the Plains win for supercell mode!
The Ohio Valley is QLCS central but supercells not so much!
This is an update to the well known Smith et al., 2012 dataset. We added an additional 11,000 subjectively analyzed convective mode cases from 2012-2023, VROT, TDS depth/intensity, TDS motion, near-storm environment and other metadata.
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
This is an update to the well known Smith et al., 2012 dataset. We added an additional 11,000 subjectively analyzed convective mode cases from 2012-2023, VROT, TDS depth/intensity, TDS motion, near-storm environment and other metadata.
October 26, 2025 at 3:22 AM
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 16 17 and 18 of ??
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
October 18, 2025 at 7:29 AM
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 16 17 and 18 of ??
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie days 13 and 14 of ??
I just like this one because of the tounges.
I just like this one because of the tounges.
October 15, 2025 at 1:38 AM
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie days 13 and 14 of ??
I just like this one because of the tounges.
I just like this one because of the tounges.
#shutdown sammy #restorefunding ralphie day 11 and 12 of ?? Pups in the pool. Where's our pool of money?
October 13, 2025 at 3:04 AM
#shutdown sammy #restorefunding ralphie day 11 and 12 of ?? Pups in the pool. Where's our pool of money?
#shutdown Sammy and #restorefunding Ralphie for days 8 and 9 of ?? The dogs and I took a nice walk to get our minds off silly appropriations. They attempted to investigate the local creek turtles.
October 10, 2025 at 4:48 PM
#shutdown Sammy and #restorefunding Ralphie for days 8 and 9 of ?? The dogs and I took a nice walk to get our minds off silly appropriations. They attempted to investigate the local creek turtles.
#Shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 4 and 5 of ?? Forgot to post yesterday so here's a twofur.
October 6, 2025 at 1:06 AM
#Shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 4 and 5 of ?? Forgot to post yesterday so here's a twofur.
In case anyone was wondering what's new for Federal Employees ahead of the looming shutdown, we just found out our yearly performance bonuses have been rescinded because of the chaos around performance plan quotas.
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
September 24, 2025 at 5:38 PM
In case anyone was wondering what's new for Federal Employees ahead of the looming shutdown, we just found out our yearly performance bonuses have been rescinded because of the chaos around performance plan quotas.
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
I challenged myself to build a web app that you can use to tag a severe report and automatically generate a message to send the info to the proper NWS office. For now its optimized for X but hopefully can be used here in the future.
For those curious its hosted:
adlyons.github.io/report_buddy...
For those curious its hosted:
adlyons.github.io/report_buddy...
July 12, 2025 at 11:28 PM
I challenged myself to build a web app that you can use to tag a severe report and automatically generate a message to send the info to the proper NWS office. For now its optimized for X but hopefully can be used here in the future.
For those curious its hosted:
adlyons.github.io/report_buddy...
For those curious its hosted:
adlyons.github.io/report_buddy...
SO to me: "what's up?"
Me: "nuance and critical thinking are dead nothing new."
Me: "nuance and critical thinking are dead nothing new."
July 6, 2025 at 6:03 PM
SO to me: "what's up?"
Me: "nuance and critical thinking are dead nothing new."
Me: "nuance and critical thinking are dead nothing new."
There are a few moments in life that are etched permanently into your memory when they happen. Listening to the otherworldly roar of the wind from the Arnett tornado a hundred yards away will forever be one of my moments.
May 20, 2025 at 9:53 PM
There are a few moments in life that are etched permanently into your memory when they happen. Listening to the otherworldly roar of the wind from the Arnett tornado a hundred yards away will forever be one of my moments.
Back to back. 4 tors west of Arnett today.
May 19, 2025 at 4:32 AM
Back to back. 4 tors west of Arnett today.
Current obs in Woodward
May 18, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Current obs in Woodward