Tim Duy
timduy.bsky.social
Tim Duy
@timduy.bsky.social
Husband, father, Chief U.S. Economist, @sghmacro, @uoregon economist, Tim Duy's Fed Watch, former columnist for @bopinion
New “bench top workbench” to bring the work up so I don’t need to bend over so much.
January 28, 2025 at 4:59 AM
Reposted by Tim Duy
Thoughtful piece by Ritchie Torres: www.thefp.com/p/ritchie-to...
The Rising Democratic Coalition Fell. Now What?
Representative Ritchie Torres: Why my party started losing voters of color—and how we can win them back.
www.thefp.com
January 20, 2025 at 4:11 PM
Derek doing God's work here.
January 17, 2025 at 1:56 AM
I am confident my daughter will describe this reduction as “mad fire.”
January 1, 2025 at 2:18 AM
Reposted by Tim Duy
Different domain but I’ve become really anti-vocabulary in econ/markets — transitory, stagflation, soft landing, recession, bull market, bear market, I don’t like any of it. Better to just describe the dynamics that are occurring rather than get anchored to a specific term.
Good points here from @schatz.bsky.social about how these little language questions aren’t *just* about language — they are signals as to whether you think for yourself or outsource everything.

www.politico.com/news/magazin...
December 27, 2024 at 4:13 PM
It's an issue of control. The language is used to identify insiders versus outsiders, those who have institutional power and those who do not. The more complicated and frequently changing the language, the more control the insiders exert. It's part of the factional fight within the Democratic Party.
Good points here from @schatz.bsky.social about how these little language questions aren’t *just* about language — they are signals as to whether you think for yourself or outsource everything.

www.politico.com/news/magazin...
December 27, 2024 at 5:05 PM
Reposted by Tim Duy
This @ramitsethi.bsky.social clip where he calls out scammers moving to florida is making my LIFE
youtu.be/MvLinlXiI_A?...

"I'm not saying everyone who lives in Florida is a scammer, but a lotta scammers sure live in Florida!"

🤣🤣🤣
Why You Should Stop Listening to Get-Rich-Quick “Gurus”
YouTube video by I Will Teach You To Be Rich
youtu.be
December 13, 2024 at 10:13 AM
A lot of the soon-to-be-released Baby Boomer housing is massively depreciated and won't be "cheap" supply because of massive renovation costs.
America's housing stock is the oldest it's ever been and just keeps getting older. We don't have enough homes in this country and too much of what we have is dated and decaying.
December 20, 2024 at 5:45 PM
Cat unfazed by Christmas decorating.
December 17, 2024 at 10:32 PM
Reposted by Tim Duy
Wow. Here is one to brighten up your morning. The first images of the restored interior of Notre Dame cathedral. Breathtaking. In just five years France did it
November 29, 2024 at 8:08 AM
Reposted by Tim Duy
Coincidence or not, 10-year yields falling as the Citi economic surprise index slumps:
November 29, 2024 at 2:26 PM
Reposted by Tim Duy
What was the best thing that happened to you today?
November 19, 2024 at 12:16 AM
I started the day by joining my friends for a hard swim.
What was the best thing that happened to you today?
November 19, 2024 at 2:12 AM
This will quickly get interesting.
Spoke to the CEO of a Midwest manufacturing company who said deportations would cripple his production--but he's confident that it won't happen. "It's too extreme," he said.
November 18, 2024 at 11:13 PM
Reposted by Tim Duy
For those of you interested in housing who didn’t already follow Mike’s work (or didn’t realize he was on here), Mike’s a great follow.
This week's Altos Research housing market data is out!

Video is here with full details. youtu.be/m1vHXDbovV4

Thread below with charts.

Looking at this week's data and how 2025 is setting up.

Bluesky gets the thread first!

1/7
Insights into the 2025 housing market
YouTube video by Altos Research
youtu.be
November 18, 2024 at 10:16 PM