Teal
@tealemery.bsky.social
I turn complex information & messy data into actionable insights. Trying to make the world a little bit better. * Views solely my own, RTs not endorsements.
@emollick.bsky.social Found a perfect example of your "jagged frontier" concept:
Current AI image generation can paint a gorgeous dumpster fire in Monet's style in seconds, but completely fails when I ask it to create a helpful diagram explaining the jagged frontier itself. Meta! 🎨📊
Current AI image generation can paint a gorgeous dumpster fire in Monet's style in seconds, but completely fails when I ask it to create a helpful diagram explaining the jagged frontier itself. Meta! 🎨📊
July 15, 2025 at 9:02 PM
@emollick.bsky.social Found a perfect example of your "jagged frontier" concept:
Current AI image generation can paint a gorgeous dumpster fire in Monet's style in seconds, but completely fails when I ask it to create a helpful diagram explaining the jagged frontier itself. Meta! 🎨📊
Current AI image generation can paint a gorgeous dumpster fire in Monet's style in seconds, but completely fails when I ask it to create a helpful diagram explaining the jagged frontier itself. Meta! 🎨📊
Just delivered "AI for the Skeptical Scholar" to 50+ SOAS researchers.
Put all materials online for free - hoping it gives folks allergic to AI hype a realistic resource for learning actually useful skills.
📖 teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_training
Put all materials online for free - hoping it gives folks allergic to AI hype a realistic resource for learning actually useful skills.
📖 teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_training
July 15, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Just delivered "AI for the Skeptical Scholar" to 50+ SOAS researchers.
Put all materials online for free - hoping it gives folks allergic to AI hype a realistic resource for learning actually useful skills.
📖 teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_training
Put all materials online for free - hoping it gives folks allergic to AI hype a realistic resource for learning actually useful skills.
📖 teal-insights.github.io/soas_llm_training
This was not that long ago
May 7, 2025 at 9:27 PM
This was not that long ago
In DC for the IMF/WB meetings.
Wearing my finest DC evening wear to my last meeting of the day.
Wearing my finest DC evening wear to my last meeting of the day.
April 23, 2025 at 9:39 PM
In DC for the IMF/WB meetings.
Wearing my finest DC evening wear to my last meeting of the day.
Wearing my finest DC evening wear to my last meeting of the day.
Research on Chinese overseas lending is politically charged, making transparency crucial.
We're raising the bar with version control, documented code, and pinned packages - empowering others to scrutinize or build on our work.
We're raising the bar with version control, documented code, and pinned packages - empowering others to scrutinize or build on our work.
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Research on Chinese overseas lending is politically charged, making transparency crucial.
We're raising the bar with version control, documented code, and pinned packages - empowering others to scrutinize or build on our work.
We're raising the bar with version control, documented code, and pinned packages - empowering others to scrutinize or build on our work.
Our network analysis revealed two separate worlds:
Policy-driven banks are key to financing new Green projects. Limited overlap with commercial lenders, whose main Green co-financing is for brownfield Hydro projects.
Chinese SOCBs like ICBC could bridge these ecosystems - but haven't yet.
Policy-driven banks are key to financing new Green projects. Limited overlap with commercial lenders, whose main Green co-financing is for brownfield Hydro projects.
Chinese SOCBs like ICBC could bridge these ecosystems - but haven't yet.
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Our network analysis revealed two separate worlds:
Policy-driven banks are key to financing new Green projects. Limited overlap with commercial lenders, whose main Green co-financing is for brownfield Hydro projects.
Chinese SOCBs like ICBC could bridge these ecosystems - but haven't yet.
Policy-driven banks are key to financing new Green projects. Limited overlap with commercial lenders, whose main Green co-financing is for brownfield Hydro projects.
Chinese SOCBs like ICBC could bridge these ecosystems - but haven't yet.
But can you trust LLMs?
We developed a practical validation approach, comparing multiple models against human evaluations on a 300-project sample.
Our chosen model (DeepSeek v3) achieved 91.8% agreement with human raters.
We published a detailed methodological note + GitHub repo with more info
We developed a practical validation approach, comparing multiple models against human evaluations on a 300-project sample.
Our chosen model (DeepSeek v3) achieved 91.8% agreement with human raters.
We published a detailed methodological note + GitHub repo with more info
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
But can you trust LLMs?
We developed a practical validation approach, comparing multiple models against human evaluations on a 300-project sample.
Our chosen model (DeepSeek v3) achieved 91.8% agreement with human raters.
We published a detailed methodological note + GitHub repo with more info
We developed a practical validation approach, comparing multiple models against human evaluations on a 300-project sample.
Our chosen model (DeepSeek v3) achieved 91.8% agreement with human raters.
We published a detailed methodological note + GitHub repo with more info
Using LLMs, we processed 18,000 project descriptions in 15 hours for $1.58. Less than a cup of coffee.
Traditional approaches: 1,500 hours and $22,500 (i.e., would not have happened)
This isn't just efficiency; it's expanding what's possible in policy research.
Traditional approaches: 1,500 hours and $22,500 (i.e., would not have happened)
This isn't just efficiency; it's expanding what's possible in policy research.
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Using LLMs, we processed 18,000 project descriptions in 15 hours for $1.58. Less than a cup of coffee.
Traditional approaches: 1,500 hours and $22,500 (i.e., would not have happened)
This isn't just efficiency; it's expanding what's possible in policy research.
Traditional approaches: 1,500 hours and $22,500 (i.e., would not have happened)
This isn't just efficiency; it's expanding what's possible in policy research.
Key findings:
Despite "Green Belt and Road" rhetoric, only 5.8% ($86.5B) of China's $1.5T overseas lending went to green projects.
As policy bank infrastructure financing fades, co-financing remains resilient - but hasn't pivoted to green projects.
Despite "Green Belt and Road" rhetoric, only 5.8% ($86.5B) of China's $1.5T overseas lending went to green projects.
As policy bank infrastructure financing fades, co-financing remains resilient - but hasn't pivoted to green projects.
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Key findings:
Despite "Green Belt and Road" rhetoric, only 5.8% ($86.5B) of China's $1.5T overseas lending went to green projects.
As policy bank infrastructure financing fades, co-financing remains resilient - but hasn't pivoted to green projects.
Despite "Green Belt and Road" rhetoric, only 5.8% ($86.5B) of China's $1.5T overseas lending went to green projects.
As policy bank infrastructure financing fades, co-financing remains resilient - but hasn't pivoted to green projects.
Greener on the other side?
My new paper with @yunnanchen.bsky.social uses AI to analyze China's green lending portfolio.
We aimed to demonstrate practical LLM applications for policy research while sharing transparent methods others can build upon.
#China #BRI #Databs #Rstats #EconSky #Climate
My new paper with @yunnanchen.bsky.social uses AI to analyze China's green lending portfolio.
We aimed to demonstrate practical LLM applications for policy research while sharing transparent methods others can build upon.
#China #BRI #Databs #Rstats #EconSky #Climate
April 15, 2025 at 8:30 PM
"They said the measures replicate those used on trips to Ukraine and China, where standard IT kit cannot be brought into the countries for fear of Russian or Chinese surveillance."
April 14, 2025 at 9:11 PM
"They said the measures replicate those used on trips to Ukraine and China, where standard IT kit cannot be brought into the countries for fear of Russian or Chinese surveillance."
Excellent and timely explanation of the Treasury basis trade by @robinwigglesworth.ft.com
April 9, 2025 at 1:33 PM
Excellent and timely explanation of the Treasury basis trade by @robinwigglesworth.ft.com
On modern Turkish history with a focus on politics, this is a great start
March 22, 2025 at 10:27 PM
On modern Turkish history with a focus on politics, this is a great start
“Let’s Take the Con Out of Econometrics” is one of my all time favorite economics papers.
A personal favorite quote:
"There are two things you are better off not watching in the making: sausages and econometric estimates."
#econsky
A personal favorite quote:
"There are two things you are better off not watching in the making: sausages and econometric estimates."
#econsky
March 15, 2025 at 3:12 AM
“Let’s Take the Con Out of Econometrics” is one of my all time favorite economics papers.
A personal favorite quote:
"There are two things you are better off not watching in the making: sausages and econometric estimates."
#econsky
A personal favorite quote:
"There are two things you are better off not watching in the making: sausages and econometric estimates."
#econsky
+1 Roboto Consensed.
It’s my default font in my personal data viz package.
It’s my default font in my personal data viz package.
March 10, 2025 at 2:52 AM
+1 Roboto Consensed.
It’s my default font in my personal data viz package.
It’s my default font in my personal data viz package.
Yeah, Moritz knows what he's talking about as he was one of the key folks at S&P during the first US downgrade. Good article.
March 2, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Yeah, Moritz knows what he's talking about as he was one of the key folks at S&P during the first US downgrade. Good article.
Business in the front, party in the back.
The world is falling apart. Why not return to this age of glory?
The world is falling apart. Why not return to this age of glory?
February 28, 2025 at 4:12 AM
Business in the front, party in the back.
The world is falling apart. Why not return to this age of glory?
The world is falling apart. Why not return to this age of glory?
A lovely boutique, just for Karens.
February 23, 2025 at 3:49 PM
A lovely boutique, just for Karens.
I bought myself a Baja Blast colored Beamer so I can fit in.
February 22, 2025 at 9:47 PM
I bought myself a Baja Blast colored Beamer so I can fit in.
February 7, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Hmmm…. I wonder who will have more global influence?
February 6, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Hmmm…. I wonder who will have more global influence?