Steven Hamilton
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shamilton.bsky.social
Steven Hamilton
@shamilton.bsky.social
2.3K followers 380 following 160 posts
Junior economist
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shamilton.bsky.social
Steven Hamilton @shamilton.bsky.social · Dec 17
Here's a new version of our paper on Australia's pandemic pension withdrawals, our third major revision. This revision brings a new title, a narrative reframing, and a major overhaul of our calibration exercise. 🧵

static1.squarespace.com/static/59b0b...
shamilton.bsky.social
We need to immediately abolish the eSafety Commissioner.
mmasnick.bsky.social Mike Masnick @mmasnick.bsky.social · Dec 20
I... am going to suggest some vendor sold a load of bullshit to Australia's eSafety Commissioner.

www.npr.org/2024/12/19/n...
But we do want to make sure there is not discrimination, or bias, and some of these technologies are less accurate depending on the kind of face being scanned. I met with an age assurance provider last week in Washington, D.C., who is using an AI-based system that looks at hand movements and has a 99% success rate. Wait, what? Using hand movements to confirm someone's age? Grant: Yes. Say you do a peace sign then a fist to the camera. It follows your hand movements. And medical research has shown based on your hand movement, it can identify your age. So there are some innovative solutions out there. But whatever social media companies end up using, it's going to be balanced against privacy, and it must ensure it does not undermine a user's security.
December 20, 2024 at 2:12 AM
Reposted by Steven Hamilton
mmasnick.bsky.social
I... am going to suggest some vendor sold a load of bullshit to Australia's eSafety Commissioner.

www.npr.org/2024/12/19/n...
But we do want to make sure there is not discrimination, or bias, and some of these technologies are less accurate depending on the kind of face being scanned. I met with an age assurance provider last week in Washington, D.C., who is using an AI-based system that looks at hand movements and has a 99% success rate. Wait, what? Using hand movements to confirm someone's age? Grant: Yes. Say you do a peace sign then a fist to the camera. It follows your hand movements. And medical research has shown based on your hand movement, it can identify your age. So there are some innovative solutions out there. But whatever social media companies end up using, it's going to be balanced against privacy, and it must ensure it does not undermine a user's security.
December 20, 2024 at 12:03 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
Here's a new version of our paper on Australia's pandemic pension withdrawals, our third major revision. This revision brings a new title, a narrative reframing, and a major overhaul of our calibration exercise. 🧵

static1.squarespace.com/static/59b0b...
December 17, 2024 at 5:20 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
The coalition's nuclear plan released on Friday achieves its claimed cost savings not primarily by nuclear being cheaper than firmed renewables but by replacing firmed renewables with existing coal power. That results in an additional 1 billion tonnes of emissions (worth ~$180b).
December 15, 2024 at 4:10 AM
Reposted by Steven Hamilton
tomiscrowley.bsky.social
Opening a book on Chalmers RBA Board appointments. Taking submissions (this is not a real thing):

Jeff Borland $1.50
Cherelle Murphy $3.50
Stephen Koukoulas $5.20
Angela Jackson $6.00
Craig Emerson $9.00
Nicki Hutley $21.00
Zac Gross $51.00
Richard Holden $51.00
Steve Hamilton $1001.00
December 11, 2024 at 3:19 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
My piece in today's Australian Financial Review on the public sector's crowding out of the private sector. In the past two calendar years 87% of employment growth occurred in the non-market sector despite its accounting for just 30% of jobs. In September it was 91%!

www.afr.com/policy/econo...
December 8, 2024 at 8:28 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
Credentialism is bad. One should always engage with the substance of an argument rather than questioning the qualifications of the person making it. The one permissible exception is to remind everyone that Greg Jericho has a PhD in English literature.
November 27, 2024 at 3:39 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
Greg is referring here to the RBA Governor Michele Bullock as an economic simpleton.
November 27, 2024 at 1:37 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
I might be a junior economist but even junior economists know about the fundamental problem of causal inference. Unfortunately that basic concept escapes The Australia Institute’s Chief Economist. Regardless, it would be a strange theory that suggests government spending has no effect on inflation.
November 27, 2024 at 12:10 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
What’s a place in DC with an excellent and eclectic beer selection?
July 6, 2023 at 4:42 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
I asked the guy at Whole Foods to pick the 10 plumpest scallops he could find as it’s my wife’s and my anniversary of getting together and scallops are her favorite. He asked how long we’d been together. When I told him the year, he replied that’s when he was born. 💀
July 5, 2023 at 2:07 PM
Reposted by Steven Hamilton
bengolub.bsky.social
my anchor tenants remain fantastic - follow them if you haven't yet
July 4, 2023 at 5:40 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
This was fun!
July 2, 2023 at 12:28 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
I’ve got an invite code on here so if you have anyone you want to invite let me know. No point announcing this on twitter!
July 1, 2023 at 8:57 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
Enjoying an Eden Valley Riesling on this beautiful spring day.
May 12, 2023 at 8:01 PM
Reposted by Steven Hamilton
jrhennessy.com
i like the vibe here. it's like when you strategically plan to arrive at a house party 30 minutes late and yet you're still the first person there so you drink a beer while walking around in circles and pretending to look at the stuff on their bookcase
May 12, 2023 at 4:48 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
@andrewbaker.bsky.social you will be happy to know I don’t tweet about Australian stuff here because I am fairly sure I am not yet followed by any Australians
May 10, 2023 at 2:36 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
Yaaaaay @ryancbriggs.bsky.social let’s turn this place exclusively into a food and cocktails hive
May 7, 2023 at 10:08 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
I have never eaten cottage cheese. Honestly I don’t really know what it is. Cheese made in a cottage?
upzoneca.bsky.social S.H. @upzoneca.bsky.social · May 6
cottage cheese is one of the best all-around food items
aoc.bsky.social Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · May 6
I would like to hear some controversial culinary opinions.

My (relatively mild) one is that anchovies are good 🐟

Also no pineapple on pizza takes please, because that debate always takes over everything 🙅🏽‍♀️
May 7, 2023 at 4:07 AM
shamilton.bsky.social
Love to see full pass-through.
May 4, 2023 at 6:13 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
Academics cannot be corralled.
May 4, 2023 at 3:04 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
@andrewbaker.bsky.social too cool to follow us on here
May 4, 2023 at 1:13 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
Computer modern is terrible and you all should stop using it.
inerati.bsky.social liz @inerati.bsky.social · May 4
I heavily dislike both times new Roman and computer modern fonts. They should go away.
May 4, 2023 at 1:06 PM
shamilton.bsky.social
This website is far more sexual than I expected.
May 4, 2023 at 3:20 AM