Hubertine Auclert
@sabine34.bsky.social
Aime se perdre dans la littérature pour échapper aux horreurs de ce monde. Ce qui n'empêche pas d'avoir des opinions, parfois décalées, rarement tranchées.
And what will she do if the SNP decides to hold a referendum against her wishes and against the wishes of the central government? Will they send in the army, the day of the referendum, to stop it? Will they arrest the SNP representatives and put them in jail ?
November 28, 2025 at 7:42 PM
And what will she do if the SNP decides to hold a referendum against her wishes and against the wishes of the central government? Will they send in the army, the day of the referendum, to stop it? Will they arrest the SNP representatives and put them in jail ?
"Children under 16 should be banned from using social media unless their parents decide otherwise, the EU parliement says.
MEPs passed a resolution on age restrictions on Wednesday by a large majority. Although not legally binding"
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
MEPs passed a resolution on age restrictions on Wednesday by a large majority. Although not legally binding"
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
European parliament calls for social media ban on under-16s
MEPs pass resolution to help parents tackle growing dangers of addictive internet platforms
www.theguardian.com
November 27, 2025 at 4:49 PM
"Children under 16 should be banned from using social media unless their parents decide otherwise, the EU parliement says.
MEPs passed a resolution on age restrictions on Wednesday by a large majority. Although not legally binding"
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
MEPs passed a resolution on age restrictions on Wednesday by a large majority. Although not legally binding"
www.theguardian.com/technology/2...
I'm curious to see the votes. Those in favor and those against
November 27, 2025 at 4:47 PM
I'm curious to see the votes. Those in favor and those against
Microeconomic estimates for the 2023/24 financial year predict a 12% decline in investment.
Comparison of Brexit Impacts Across Different Countries
International comparisons show that the UK's GDP per capita is declining compared to other countries such as the United States and Canada.
Comparison of Brexit Impacts Across Different Countries
International comparisons show that the UK's GDP per capita is declining compared to other countries such as the United States and Canada.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Microeconomic estimates for the 2023/24 financial year predict a 12% decline in investment.
Comparison of Brexit Impacts Across Different Countries
International comparisons show that the UK's GDP per capita is declining compared to other countries such as the United States and Canada.
Comparison of Brexit Impacts Across Different Countries
International comparisons show that the UK's GDP per capita is declining compared to other countries such as the United States and Canada.
Estimates of Brexit's Impacts on the Economy
Macroeconomic estimates predict an 18% decline in investment by 2025.
Employment across the economy could decrease by 4%, and productivity by 4%.
Macroeconomic estimates predict an 18% decline in investment by 2025.
Employment across the economy could decrease by 4%, and productivity by 4%.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Estimates of Brexit's Impacts on the Economy
Macroeconomic estimates predict an 18% decline in investment by 2025.
Employment across the economy could decrease by 4%, and productivity by 4%.
Macroeconomic estimates predict an 18% decline in investment by 2025.
Employment across the economy could decrease by 4%, and productivity by 4%.
Impact of Brexit Preparation on Businesses
The average weekly hours spent by CFOs on Brexit planning are 4,012.
An interaction between Brexit preparation and TFP growth shows a decrease of 0.264%.
Companies with high exposure to the EU tend to increase their inventories.
The average weekly hours spent by CFOs on Brexit planning are 4,012.
An interaction between Brexit preparation and TFP growth shows a decrease of 0.264%.
Companies with high exposure to the EU tend to increase their inventories.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Impact of Brexit Preparation on Businesses
The average weekly hours spent by CFOs on Brexit planning are 4,012.
An interaction between Brexit preparation and TFP growth shows a decrease of 0.264%.
Companies with high exposure to the EU tend to increase their inventories.
The average weekly hours spent by CFOs on Brexit planning are 4,012.
An interaction between Brexit preparation and TFP growth shows a decrease of 0.264%.
Companies with high exposure to the EU tend to increase their inventories.
The results show a significant decrease in total factor productivity (TFP) and sales after the referendum.
Post-referendum EU exposure coefficients indicate a 5.1% decline in sales.
Post-referendum EU exposure coefficients indicate a 5.1% decline in sales.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
The results show a significant decrease in total factor productivity (TFP) and sales after the referendum.
Post-referendum EU exposure coefficients indicate a 5.1% decline in sales.
Post-referendum EU exposure coefficients indicate a 5.1% decline in sales.
EU Exposure and Economic Outcomes
EU exposure is calculated using six measures, including the share of sales to the EU and the share of import costs.
EU exposure is calculated using six measures, including the share of sales to the EU and the share of import costs.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
EU Exposure and Economic Outcomes
EU exposure is calculated using six measures, including the share of sales to the EU and the share of import costs.
EU exposure is calculated using six measures, including the share of sales to the EU and the share of import costs.
Uncertainty data was collected between August 2016 and April 2024, while the impacts on sales were measured between February 2017 and April 2024.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Uncertainty data was collected between August 2016 and April 2024, while the impacts on sales were measured between February 2017 and April 2024.
Brexit Uncertainty and its Impact on Sales
Brexit uncertainty is measured on a scale of 0 to 3, with an average of 1.25.
The expected long-term reduction in sales due to Brexit is 2.5%.
Brexit uncertainty is measured on a scale of 0 to 3, with an average of 1.25.
The expected long-term reduction in sales due to Brexit is 2.5%.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Brexit Uncertainty and its Impact on Sales
Brexit uncertainty is measured on a scale of 0 to 3, with an average of 1.25.
The expected long-term reduction in sales due to Brexit is 2.5%.
Brexit uncertainty is measured on a scale of 0 to 3, with an average of 1.25.
The expected long-term reduction in sales due to Brexit is 2.5%.
Comparison of Macro and Micro Estimates
Macroeconomic estimates of Brexit are generally higher than microeconomic estimates, with an impact on GDP of 8% versus 6%.
The effects on investment are estimated at 18% using the macro approach and 12% using the micro approach.
Macroeconomic estimates of Brexit are generally higher than microeconomic estimates, with an impact on GDP of 8% versus 6%.
The effects on investment are estimated at 18% using the macro approach and 12% using the micro approach.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Comparison of Macro and Micro Estimates
Macroeconomic estimates of Brexit are generally higher than microeconomic estimates, with an impact on GDP of 8% versus 6%.
The effects on investment are estimated at 18% using the macro approach and 12% using the micro approach.
Macroeconomic estimates of Brexit are generally higher than microeconomic estimates, with an impact on GDP of 8% versus 6%.
The effects on investment are estimated at 18% using the macro approach and 12% using the micro approach.
Results on Productivity
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 3.5% decline in total factor productivity (TFP) after the referendum.
The effects on productivity are attributed to uncertainty, reduced innovation, and the costs of preparing for Brexit.
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 3.5% decline in total factor productivity (TFP) after the referendum.
The effects on productivity are attributed to uncertainty, reduced innovation, and the costs of preparing for Brexit.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Results on Productivity
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 3.5% decline in total factor productivity (TFP) after the referendum.
The effects on productivity are attributed to uncertainty, reduced innovation, and the costs of preparing for Brexit.
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 3.5% decline in total factor productivity (TFP) after the referendum.
The effects on productivity are attributed to uncertainty, reduced innovation, and the costs of preparing for Brexit.
This uncertainty had a lasting impact on firms' investment decisions.
Results on Investment and Employment
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 12% decline in investment and a 3.5% decrease in employment by 2023. Uncertainty had a greater impact on investment than future demand.
Results on Investment and Employment
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 12% decline in investment and a 3.5% decrease in employment by 2023. Uncertainty had a greater impact on investment than future demand.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
This uncertainty had a lasting impact on firms' investment decisions.
Results on Investment and Employment
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 12% decline in investment and a 3.5% decrease in employment by 2023. Uncertainty had a greater impact on investment than future demand.
Results on Investment and Employment
Firms with greater exposure to the EU experienced a 12% decline in investment and a 3.5% decrease in employment by 2023. Uncertainty had a greater impact on investment than future demand.
Brexit Uncertainty
A Brexit uncertainty index was created, showing that nearly 40% of firms considered Brexit a major source of uncertainty after the referendum.
A Brexit uncertainty index was created, showing that nearly 40% of firms considered Brexit a major source of uncertainty after the referendum.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Brexit Uncertainty
A Brexit uncertainty index was created, showing that nearly 40% of firms considered Brexit a major source of uncertainty after the referendum.
A Brexit uncertainty index was created, showing that nearly 40% of firms considered Brexit a major source of uncertainty after the referendum.
Firm Exposure to the EU
Firms' pre-referendum exposure to the EU is measured by six indicators, including exports and imports.
Approximately 20% of firms had no direct exposure to the EU, while 80% had some form of exposure.
Firms' pre-referendum exposure to the EU is measured by six indicators, including exports and imports.
Approximately 20% of firms had no direct exposure to the EU, while 80% had some form of exposure.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Firm Exposure to the EU
Firms' pre-referendum exposure to the EU is measured by six indicators, including exports and imports.
Approximately 20% of firms had no direct exposure to the EU, while 80% had some form of exposure.
Firms' pre-referendum exposure to the EU is measured by six indicators, including exports and imports.
Approximately 20% of firms had no direct exposure to the EU, while 80% had some form of exposure.
Methodology of the Analysis
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's economic performance to that of comparable countries. The microeconomic approach uses data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey to assess the causal effects of Brexit.
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's economic performance to that of comparable countries. The microeconomic approach uses data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey to assess the causal effects of Brexit.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Methodology of the Analysis
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's economic performance to that of comparable countries. The microeconomic approach uses data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey to assess the causal effects of Brexit.
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's economic performance to that of comparable countries. The microeconomic approach uses data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey to assess the causal effects of Brexit.
Impact of Brexit on the UK Economy
The economic analysis of Brexit shows a significant impact on GDP, investment, employment, and productivity.
Estimates indicate that the UK's GDP was approximately 8% lower in 2025 compared to a scenario without Brexit.
The economic analysis of Brexit shows a significant impact on GDP, investment, employment, and productivity.
Estimates indicate that the UK's GDP was approximately 8% lower in 2025 compared to a scenario without Brexit.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Impact of Brexit on the UK Economy
The economic analysis of Brexit shows a significant impact on GDP, investment, employment, and productivity.
Estimates indicate that the UK's GDP was approximately 8% lower in 2025 compared to a scenario without Brexit.
The economic analysis of Brexit shows a significant impact on GDP, investment, employment, and productivity.
Estimates indicate that the UK's GDP was approximately 8% lower in 2025 compared to a scenario without Brexit.
Businesses exposed to the EU experienced heterogeneous impacts, reflecting the diverse effects of Brexit.
The results show a significant decline in investment and employment in the most exposed businesses.
The results show a significant decline in investment and employment in the most exposed businesses.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Businesses exposed to the EU experienced heterogeneous impacts, reflecting the diverse effects of Brexit.
The results show a significant decline in investment and employment in the most exposed businesses.
The results show a significant decline in investment and employment in the most exposed businesses.
The results show that the #UK's GDP has grown less than that of other countries since 2016.
The microeconomic analysis uses data from the Decision Maker Panel survey to assess the impact of Brexit on businesses.
The microeconomic analysis uses data from the Decision Maker Panel survey to assess the impact of Brexit on businesses.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
The results show that the #UK's GDP has grown less than that of other countries since 2016.
The microeconomic analysis uses data from the Decision Maker Panel survey to assess the impact of Brexit on businesses.
The microeconomic analysis uses data from the Decision Maker Panel survey to assess the impact of Brexit on businesses.
Macroeconomic Estimation Methodology
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's performance to that of 33 comparable countries.
Five weighting approaches were used, including synthetic control and simple averages.
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's performance to that of 33 comparable countries.
Five weighting approaches were used, including synthetic control and simple averages.
November 26, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Macroeconomic Estimation Methodology
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's performance to that of 33 comparable countries.
Five weighting approaches were used, including synthetic control and simple averages.
The macroeconomic analysis compares the UK's performance to that of 33 comparable countries.
Five weighting approaches were used, including synthetic control and simple averages.
The negative impacts stem from increased uncertainty, reduced demand, and the misallocation of resources.
www.nber.org/system/files...
www.nber.org/system/files...
November 26, 2025 at 4:02 PM
The negative impacts stem from increased uncertainty, reduced demand, and the misallocation of resources.
www.nber.org/system/files...
www.nber.org/system/files...
full video here
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SV7-...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SV7-...
New Study Reveals Brexit's True Price Tag Is Staggering
YouTube video by A Different Bias
www.youtube.com
November 26, 2025 at 3:57 PM
full video here
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SV7-...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SV7-...