Nicolas Fulghum
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Nicolas Fulghum
@nicolasfulghum.bsky.social
Senior Energy and Climate Data Analyst @emberenergy.bsky.social
Finding, curating and explaining the data behind the global energy⚡️transition.
Today, we published our Q3 global power report which also found that 2025 is likely to be the first year since the Covid-19 pandemic without an increase in fossil generation

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NEW | No growth for fossil fuels in global electricity generation expected in 2025 🔥❌

Ember forecasts no increase in fossil generation as wind and solar are growing fast enough to meet all new electricity demand.
November 13, 2025 at 11:12 AM
The central player so far in 2025 is once again solar, dwarfing changes from other sources ☀️

The yoy increase of 498 TWh in Q1-Q3 was three times larger than the next biggest increase from wind.

Solar's rise is in stark contrast to stagnating fossil generation.
November 13, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Our latest power sector analysis out today shows that in the first three quarters of 2025, solar and wind exceeded the growth in electricity demand globally.

Combined with an increase in nuclear generation and falls in hydro power, fossil generation saw a minor decline in Q1-Q3.
November 13, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Check out the latest data in our @ember_energy Electricity Data Explorer: ember-energy.org/data/electri...
Electricity Data Explorer | Ember
Explore national and state level fossil and renewable electricity generation and carbon emissions data for the United States
ember-energy.org
November 10, 2025 at 11:08 AM
We will see more records as we are now moving into the shoulder months where solar output remains high, but demand is lower than in summer months.

The previous record for battery share of load was set in April.
October 13, 2025 at 3:28 PM
You can get the latest data in our @ember-energy.org Electricity Data Explorer ember-energy.org/data/electri...
Electricity Data Explorer | Ember
Explore national and state level fossil and renewable electricity generation and carbon emissions data for the United States
ember-energy.org
October 9, 2025 at 5:52 PM
You can read the full @ember-energy.org report on global electricity generation in the first half of 2025 out today: ember-energy.org/latest-insig...
Global Electricity Mid-Year Insights 2025 | Ember
Solar and wind outpaced demand growth in the first half of 2025, as renewables overtook coal’s share in the global electricity mix.
ember-energy.org
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
However, even periods of low demand growth would have not led to substantial fossil fuel falls in the past in India.

The difference now? Record growth in wind and solar generation.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
The slow demand growth was caused by temperature differences between 2025 and 2024.

2024 saw record heatwaves push up cooling demand, but 2025 has been much milder. This moderated demand growth, sometimes even dropping below 2024 levels, a rare sight in India's steadily growing power sector.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
In India, record solar and wind growth combined with favourable hydro conditions to drive fossil generation down substantially. However, electricity demand increased by just 1.3% compared to a 9% increase in H1-2024.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
The first half of 2025 is the continuation of a flattening out of fossil generation in China.

Fossil power has plateaued since early 2024 as solar and wind have been matching or growing faster than electricity demand.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
The fall in fossil generation in India and China had slightly different reasons.

In China, low-carbon power growth from solar, wind (and some nuclear) was higher than the increase in electricity demand, despite a small fall in hydro generation. This led to a decline in coal.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM
The continued rapid growth of solar generation meant that renewables overtook coal for the first time.

Coal generation dipped slightly compared to the first half of 2024, with renewables continuing to grow.
October 7, 2025 at 7:16 AM