Maggie Perry
@maggieperry.bsky.social
- Election Reporter for 6 News - she/her - Transgender 🏳️⚧️ - Central QLD - 16
I think it's gone unnoticed how many indies just barely missed out this time.
0.05% off Bradfield (?)
0.1% off Goldstein
0.3% off Bean
~1% off Forrest
~1% off Monash
1% off Fremantle
~1% off Grey
~2% off Fisher
2% off Flinders
2.5% off in Cowper
3% off Wannon
~3% off in Lyne
Calwell still unknown
0.05% off Bradfield (?)
0.1% off Goldstein
0.3% off Bean
~1% off Forrest
~1% off Monash
1% off Fremantle
~1% off Grey
~2% off Fisher
2% off Flinders
2.5% off in Cowper
3% off Wannon
~3% off in Lyne
Calwell still unknown
May 17, 2025 at 5:24 AM
I think it's gone unnoticed how many indies just barely missed out this time.
0.05% off Bradfield (?)
0.1% off Goldstein
0.3% off Bean
~1% off Forrest
~1% off Monash
1% off Fremantle
~1% off Grey
~2% off Fisher
2% off Flinders
2.5% off in Cowper
3% off Wannon
~3% off in Lyne
Calwell still unknown
0.05% off Bradfield (?)
0.1% off Goldstein
0.3% off Bean
~1% off Forrest
~1% off Monash
1% off Fremantle
~1% off Grey
~2% off Fisher
2% off Flinders
2.5% off in Cowper
3% off Wannon
~3% off in Lyne
Calwell still unknown
Goodenough has run a strong election campaign here, but so have multiple other candidates - Including fellow independent Nathan Barton, backed by "Voices of Moore".
Labor, who were just 0.6% from winning last time, are running their candidate Tom French once again.
22/24 🧵
Labor, who were just 0.6% from winning last time, are running their candidate Tom French once again.
22/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Goodenough has run a strong election campaign here, but so have multiple other candidates - Including fellow independent Nathan Barton, backed by "Voices of Moore".
Labor, who were just 0.6% from winning last time, are running their candidate Tom French once again.
22/24 🧵
Labor, who were just 0.6% from winning last time, are running their candidate Tom French once again.
22/24 🧵
🔵⚪️ MOORE (WA)
Lastly, the seat of Moore, where a staggering 4-cornered contest has developed.
Incumbent MP Ian Goodenough lost Liberal preselection to former MP Vince Connelly last year, and has since quit the party, posing a serious threat to the Liberals.
21/24 🧵
Lastly, the seat of Moore, where a staggering 4-cornered contest has developed.
Incumbent MP Ian Goodenough lost Liberal preselection to former MP Vince Connelly last year, and has since quit the party, posing a serious threat to the Liberals.
21/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
🔵⚪️ MOORE (WA)
Lastly, the seat of Moore, where a staggering 4-cornered contest has developed.
Incumbent MP Ian Goodenough lost Liberal preselection to former MP Vince Connelly last year, and has since quit the party, posing a serious threat to the Liberals.
21/24 🧵
Lastly, the seat of Moore, where a staggering 4-cornered contest has developed.
Incumbent MP Ian Goodenough lost Liberal preselection to former MP Vince Connelly last year, and has since quit the party, posing a serious threat to the Liberals.
21/24 🧵
⚪️ CURTIN (WA)
Onto Curtin! A safe liberal seat for most of its entire existence, Curtin voted for Kate Chaney in 2022, a "teal independent", along with a string of affluent upper class seats across the country.
19/24 🧵
Onto Curtin! A safe liberal seat for most of its entire existence, Curtin voted for Kate Chaney in 2022, a "teal independent", along with a string of affluent upper class seats across the country.
19/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
⚪️ CURTIN (WA)
Onto Curtin! A safe liberal seat for most of its entire existence, Curtin voted for Kate Chaney in 2022, a "teal independent", along with a string of affluent upper class seats across the country.
19/24 🧵
Onto Curtin! A safe liberal seat for most of its entire existence, Curtin voted for Kate Chaney in 2022, a "teal independent", along with a string of affluent upper class seats across the country.
19/24 🧵
She performed well in the state seat of Fremantle, but the federal seat is much bigger, taking in suburbs like Cockburn, which are probably less friendly to independents. Though, if she can overtake the Greens, it's quite possible she catches up to Labor on preferences.
18/24 🧵
18/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
She performed well in the state seat of Fremantle, but the federal seat is much bigger, taking in suburbs like Cockburn, which are probably less friendly to independents. Though, if she can overtake the Greens, it's quite possible she catches up to Labor on preferences.
18/24 🧵
18/24 🧵
Notably, Hulett has differentiated herself from other independent candidates this election - Notably, her platform is considerably to the left of "teal" independents - With policies like free TAFE, universal healthcare, opposing AUKUS, and even a ban on HTV cards.
17/24 🧵
17/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Notably, Hulett has differentiated herself from other independent candidates this election - Notably, her platform is considerably to the left of "teal" independents - With policies like free TAFE, universal healthcare, opposing AUKUS, and even a ban on HTV cards.
17/24 🧵
17/24 🧵
Combine that with polls showing Labor may get a swing towards them in WA, and the "sophomore surge" for the Labor MP Sam Lim, I think it's safe to say that Labor must be feeling pretty good about their chances here now.
(image from pollbludger.net)
15/24 🧵
(image from pollbludger.net)
15/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Combine that with polls showing Labor may get a swing towards them in WA, and the "sophomore surge" for the Labor MP Sam Lim, I think it's safe to say that Labor must be feeling pretty good about their chances here now.
(image from pollbludger.net)
15/24 🧵
(image from pollbludger.net)
15/24 🧵
🔴 TANGNEY (WA)
Back to a more "traditional contest", Tangney has generally been considered one of the closest seats this election.
Formerly a safe Liberal seat, Tangney fell to Labor in one of the biggest shocks of the 2022 election.
13/24 🧵
Back to a more "traditional contest", Tangney has generally been considered one of the closest seats this election.
Formerly a safe Liberal seat, Tangney fell to Labor in one of the biggest shocks of the 2022 election.
13/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
🔴 TANGNEY (WA)
Back to a more "traditional contest", Tangney has generally been considered one of the closest seats this election.
Formerly a safe Liberal seat, Tangney fell to Labor in one of the biggest shocks of the 2022 election.
13/24 🧵
Back to a more "traditional contest", Tangney has generally been considered one of the closest seats this election.
Formerly a safe Liberal seat, Tangney fell to Labor in one of the biggest shocks of the 2022 election.
13/24 🧵
Adam Bandt recently named it as one of the Greens' most winnable seats this election, and for good reason.
If the final count were to finish between the Greens and Liberals, Greens candidate and local councillor Sophie Greer could very well pick up the seat.
11/24 🧵
If the final count were to finish between the Greens and Liberals, Greens candidate and local councillor Sophie Greer could very well pick up the seat.
11/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Adam Bandt recently named it as one of the Greens' most winnable seats this election, and for good reason.
If the final count were to finish between the Greens and Liberals, Greens candidate and local councillor Sophie Greer could very well pick up the seat.
11/24 🧵
If the final count were to finish between the Greens and Liberals, Greens candidate and local councillor Sophie Greer could very well pick up the seat.
11/24 🧵
🔴 PERTH (WA)
Anyways, lets move onto the seat of Perth!
Traditionally a marginal seat, Labor's margin expanded to 15% last election, seeing incumbent Patrick Gorman easily re-elected against the Libs. Rather, instead of the Libs, it's the Greens looking for a gain.
10/24 🧵
Anyways, lets move onto the seat of Perth!
Traditionally a marginal seat, Labor's margin expanded to 15% last election, seeing incumbent Patrick Gorman easily re-elected against the Libs. Rather, instead of the Libs, it's the Greens looking for a gain.
10/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
🔴 PERTH (WA)
Anyways, lets move onto the seat of Perth!
Traditionally a marginal seat, Labor's margin expanded to 15% last election, seeing incumbent Patrick Gorman easily re-elected against the Libs. Rather, instead of the Libs, it's the Greens looking for a gain.
10/24 🧵
Anyways, lets move onto the seat of Perth!
Traditionally a marginal seat, Labor's margin expanded to 15% last election, seeing incumbent Patrick Gorman easily re-elected against the Libs. Rather, instead of the Libs, it's the Greens looking for a gain.
10/24 🧵
🔵 CANNING (WA)
Here's another formerly safe Liberal seat - Canning, currently held by Andrew Hastie, has entered the spotlight in the past few weeks, with polls showing Labor possibly making *gains* in WA.
4/24 🧵
Here's another formerly safe Liberal seat - Canning, currently held by Andrew Hastie, has entered the spotlight in the past few weeks, with polls showing Labor possibly making *gains* in WA.
4/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
🔵 CANNING (WA)
Here's another formerly safe Liberal seat - Canning, currently held by Andrew Hastie, has entered the spotlight in the past few weeks, with polls showing Labor possibly making *gains* in WA.
4/24 🧵
Here's another formerly safe Liberal seat - Canning, currently held by Andrew Hastie, has entered the spotlight in the past few weeks, with polls showing Labor possibly making *gains* in WA.
4/24 🧵
This time, long time MP Nola Marino is retiring, and a new figure has entered the race - Sue Chapman, backed by local group "Voices for Forrest".
With the Liberals failing to regain in polls after their landslide loss in 2022, Chapman could be in with a shot.
3/24 🧵
With the Liberals failing to regain in polls after their landslide loss in 2022, Chapman could be in with a shot.
3/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
This time, long time MP Nola Marino is retiring, and a new figure has entered the race - Sue Chapman, backed by local group "Voices for Forrest".
With the Liberals failing to regain in polls after their landslide loss in 2022, Chapman could be in with a shot.
3/24 🧵
With the Liberals failing to regain in polls after their landslide loss in 2022, Chapman could be in with a shot.
3/24 🧵
🔵 FORREST (WA)
Starting off with Forrest today - located in WA's south west corner, covering areas like Bunbury, Busselton and Margaret River.
It's voted for the Libs since 1972, and has generally been safe until 2022, when Labor cut Nola Marino's margin to 4%.
2/24 🧵
Starting off with Forrest today - located in WA's south west corner, covering areas like Bunbury, Busselton and Margaret River.
It's voted for the Libs since 1972, and has generally been safe until 2022, when Labor cut Nola Marino's margin to 4%.
2/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
🔵 FORREST (WA)
Starting off with Forrest today - located in WA's south west corner, covering areas like Bunbury, Busselton and Margaret River.
It's voted for the Libs since 1972, and has generally been safe until 2022, when Labor cut Nola Marino's margin to 4%.
2/24 🧵
Starting off with Forrest today - located in WA's south west corner, covering areas like Bunbury, Busselton and Margaret River.
It's voted for the Libs since 1972, and has generally been safe until 2022, when Labor cut Nola Marino's margin to 4%.
2/24 🧵
8 days until election day, can you believe it! Here's another thread on interesting seats to keep track of as the election approaches - this time focusing on electorates in WA.
1/24 🧵
1/24 🧵
April 25, 2025 at 11:22 AM
8 days until election day, can you believe it! Here's another thread on interesting seats to keep track of as the election approaches - this time focusing on electorates in WA.
1/24 🧵
1/24 🧵
"Teal" candidate Verity Cooper is also running, but it's hard to see her making headway in a 4-cornered contest like Sturt.
Chances are, we'll see Labor end up gaining this seat, but one of the other contenders (namely the Liberals) could pull off a surprise.
25/26 🧵
Chances are, we'll see Labor end up gaining this seat, but one of the other contenders (namely the Liberals) could pull off a surprise.
25/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
"Teal" candidate Verity Cooper is also running, but it's hard to see her making headway in a 4-cornered contest like Sturt.
Chances are, we'll see Labor end up gaining this seat, but one of the other contenders (namely the Liberals) could pull off a surprise.
25/26 🧵
Chances are, we'll see Labor end up gaining this seat, but one of the other contenders (namely the Liberals) could pull off a surprise.
25/26 🧵
But the Greens have also made a big effort to win the seat, with Adam Bandt naming Sturt as one of the Greens' main target seats this election, having been encouraged by a strong result in the Dunstan state by-election, within the electorate.
24/26 🧵
24/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
But the Greens have also made a big effort to win the seat, with Adam Bandt naming Sturt as one of the Greens' main target seats this election, having been encouraged by a strong result in the Dunstan state by-election, within the electorate.
24/26 🧵
24/26 🧵
🔵 STURT (SA)
The last seat for today is the complex contest of Sturt, located in Adelaide's east.
James Stevens' holds the seat by just 0.5% for the Liberals after a 6% swing away from them in 2022, despite a fairly low quality candidate from Labor last election.
22/26 🧵
The last seat for today is the complex contest of Sturt, located in Adelaide's east.
James Stevens' holds the seat by just 0.5% for the Liberals after a 6% swing away from them in 2022, despite a fairly low quality candidate from Labor last election.
22/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔵 STURT (SA)
The last seat for today is the complex contest of Sturt, located in Adelaide's east.
James Stevens' holds the seat by just 0.5% for the Liberals after a 6% swing away from them in 2022, despite a fairly low quality candidate from Labor last election.
22/26 🧵
The last seat for today is the complex contest of Sturt, located in Adelaide's east.
James Stevens' holds the seat by just 0.5% for the Liberals after a 6% swing away from them in 2022, despite a fairly low quality candidate from Labor last election.
22/26 🧵
🔴 BOOTHBY (SA)
Over to SA! Here we have the southern Adelaide seat of Boothby, which voted Labor in 2022 for the first time since 1946.
It's a marginal seat for Labor (3%), but a particularly popular state government will likely deliver this seat to Labor again.
20/26 🧵
Over to SA! Here we have the southern Adelaide seat of Boothby, which voted Labor in 2022 for the first time since 1946.
It's a marginal seat for Labor (3%), but a particularly popular state government will likely deliver this seat to Labor again.
20/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔴 BOOTHBY (SA)
Over to SA! Here we have the southern Adelaide seat of Boothby, which voted Labor in 2022 for the first time since 1946.
It's a marginal seat for Labor (3%), but a particularly popular state government will likely deliver this seat to Labor again.
20/26 🧵
Over to SA! Here we have the southern Adelaide seat of Boothby, which voted Labor in 2022 for the first time since 1946.
It's a marginal seat for Labor (3%), but a particularly popular state government will likely deliver this seat to Labor again.
20/26 🧵
Gavin Pearce is retiring after only a 6-year tenure representing the seat, and Labor are fielding senator Anne Urquhart, who has stepped down mid-term to contest the seat. it's a big margin though, which will be hard to overturn.
18/26 🧵
18/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
Gavin Pearce is retiring after only a 6-year tenure representing the seat, and Labor are fielding senator Anne Urquhart, who has stepped down mid-term to contest the seat. it's a big margin though, which will be hard to overturn.
18/26 🧵
18/26 🧵
🔵 BRADDON (TAS)
The last Tasmanian seat is Braddon, based around Tassie's north-west coast.
Braddon has generally been very conservative at the state level, and federal results changed to reflect this, with MP Gavin Pearce receiving a 5% swing towards him in 2022.
17/26 🧵
The last Tasmanian seat is Braddon, based around Tassie's north-west coast.
Braddon has generally been very conservative at the state level, and federal results changed to reflect this, with MP Gavin Pearce receiving a 5% swing towards him in 2022.
17/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔵 BRADDON (TAS)
The last Tasmanian seat is Braddon, based around Tassie's north-west coast.
Braddon has generally been very conservative at the state level, and federal results changed to reflect this, with MP Gavin Pearce receiving a 5% swing towards him in 2022.
17/26 🧵
The last Tasmanian seat is Braddon, based around Tassie's north-west coast.
Braddon has generally been very conservative at the state level, and federal results changed to reflect this, with MP Gavin Pearce receiving a 5% swing towards him in 2022.
17/26 🧵
🔵 BASS (TAS)
Our first Liberal seat! Based around Launceston, Bass was once known as the 'ejector' seat, on the basis that it had never re-elected an MP for 2 decades.
Archer broke this streak in 2022, getting re-elected with a 1% swing in her favour.
15/26 🧵
Our first Liberal seat! Based around Launceston, Bass was once known as the 'ejector' seat, on the basis that it had never re-elected an MP for 2 decades.
Archer broke this streak in 2022, getting re-elected with a 1% swing in her favour.
15/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔵 BASS (TAS)
Our first Liberal seat! Based around Launceston, Bass was once known as the 'ejector' seat, on the basis that it had never re-elected an MP for 2 decades.
Archer broke this streak in 2022, getting re-elected with a 1% swing in her favour.
15/26 🧵
Our first Liberal seat! Based around Launceston, Bass was once known as the 'ejector' seat, on the basis that it had never re-elected an MP for 2 decades.
Archer broke this streak in 2022, getting re-elected with a 1% swing in her favour.
15/26 🧵
The Liberals are running Susie Bower again, after she almost won the seat in 2022, with a 4% swing in her favour after preferences.
This seat is trending to the Liberals, but White has a huge personal vote in the area, so this seat could really come down to the wire.
14/26 🧵
This seat is trending to the Liberals, but White has a huge personal vote in the area, so this seat could really come down to the wire.
14/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
The Liberals are running Susie Bower again, after she almost won the seat in 2022, with a 4% swing in her favour after preferences.
This seat is trending to the Liberals, but White has a huge personal vote in the area, so this seat could really come down to the wire.
14/26 🧵
This seat is trending to the Liberals, but White has a huge personal vote in the area, so this seat could really come down to the wire.
14/26 🧵
🔴 LYONS (TAS)
The next seat is the central Tasmanian seat of Lyons, which is held on just 1% against the Liberals. Incumbent Brian Mitchell is retiring, with former Tas Labor leader Rebecca White replacing him as the ALP candidate.
13/26
The next seat is the central Tasmanian seat of Lyons, which is held on just 1% against the Liberals. Incumbent Brian Mitchell is retiring, with former Tas Labor leader Rebecca White replacing him as the ALP candidate.
13/26
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔴 LYONS (TAS)
The next seat is the central Tasmanian seat of Lyons, which is held on just 1% against the Liberals. Incumbent Brian Mitchell is retiring, with former Tas Labor leader Rebecca White replacing him as the ALP candidate.
13/26
The next seat is the central Tasmanian seat of Lyons, which is held on just 1% against the Liberals. Incumbent Brian Mitchell is retiring, with former Tas Labor leader Rebecca White replacing him as the ALP candidate.
13/26
Peter George is running on an environmentalist and anti-salmon farming platform, which could very well make headway in a seat like this.
Notably, the Greens candidate here, Owen Fitzgerald, has suspended campaigning after discovering he was ineligible.
11/26 🧵
Notably, the Greens candidate here, Owen Fitzgerald, has suspended campaigning after discovering he was ineligible.
11/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
Peter George is running on an environmentalist and anti-salmon farming platform, which could very well make headway in a seat like this.
Notably, the Greens candidate here, Owen Fitzgerald, has suspended campaigning after discovering he was ineligible.
11/26 🧵
Notably, the Greens candidate here, Owen Fitzgerald, has suspended campaigning after discovering he was ineligible.
11/26 🧵
🔴 FRANKLIN (TAS)
Heading to Tassie is the seat of Franklin, in Tasmania's south, where Julie Collins has held the seat for 18 years.
The Liberals are weak here - instead, the challenge comes from independent candidate Peter George.
10/26 🧵
Heading to Tassie is the seat of Franklin, in Tasmania's south, where Julie Collins has held the seat for 18 years.
The Liberals are weak here - instead, the challenge comes from independent candidate Peter George.
10/26 🧵
April 23, 2025 at 4:25 AM
🔴 FRANKLIN (TAS)
Heading to Tassie is the seat of Franklin, in Tasmania's south, where Julie Collins has held the seat for 18 years.
The Liberals are weak here - instead, the challenge comes from independent candidate Peter George.
10/26 🧵
Heading to Tassie is the seat of Franklin, in Tasmania's south, where Julie Collins has held the seat for 18 years.
The Liberals are weak here - instead, the challenge comes from independent candidate Peter George.
10/26 🧵