I've got a piece in the Independent arguing why that is a misreading both of Brexit history and economics.
www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexi...
I've got a piece in the Independent arguing why that is a misreading both of Brexit history and economics.
www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexi...
This can be split into three key trends...
This can be split into three key trends...
But I argue that this brings new challenges - around how to deliver closer alignment. Govt faces a choice between two paths: 'replication' and 'integration'
But I argue that this brings new challenges - around how to deliver closer alignment. Govt faces a choice between two paths: 'replication' and 'integration'
It shows that there is a clear and unavoidable trade-off between sovereignty and ease of trade. If you want to remove most trade barriers (e.g. on SPS) the price you pay is 'dynamic alignment' with EU rules.
It shows that there is a clear and unavoidable trade-off between sovereignty and ease of trade. If you want to remove most trade barriers (e.g. on SPS) the price you pay is 'dynamic alignment' with EU rules.
EU-led divergence remains a problem, as this creates trade friction with EU/NI.
Govt is developing powers to mirror EU laws which will help offset unwanted 'passive' divergence in future (especially on product regs).
EU-led divergence remains a problem, as this creates trade friction with EU/NI.
Govt is developing powers to mirror EU laws which will help offset unwanted 'passive' divergence in future (especially on product regs).
It finds that the UK has delivered very little meaningful divergence bar a few symbolic changes (champagne in pint-sized bottles!)
Why? Divergence adds trade cost. Gov lacked a plan. Little state capacity.
It finds that the UK has delivered very little meaningful divergence bar a few symbolic changes (champagne in pint-sized bottles!)
Why? Divergence adds trade cost. Gov lacked a plan. Little state capacity.
observer.co.uk/news/opinion...
observer.co.uk/news/opinion...
⬆️ UK catches are up post-Brexit, but only in Scotland and NI.
⬇️ But UK fish exports are down, due to Brexit bureaucracy.
🎣 Sector has more to gain from an SPS deal than larger fish quotas.
⬆️ UK catches are up post-Brexit, but only in Scotland and NI.
⬇️ But UK fish exports are down, due to Brexit bureaucracy.
🎣 Sector has more to gain from an SPS deal than larger fish quotas.
FWIW I think the UK could become more 'Swiss', with some selective access to the EU market, *if* it can think strategically about where to do it, swallow EU rules, and not upset things by getting into bed with Trump
FWIW I think the UK could become more 'Swiss', with some selective access to the EU market, *if* it can think strategically about where to do it, swallow EU rules, and not upset things by getting into bed with Trump
This section stood out for me. Signs that London is ready to accept the necessary trade offs to achieve its key asks (by no means a given in the past...)
This section stood out for me. Signs that London is ready to accept the necessary trade offs to achieve its key asks (by no means a given in the past...)
Though we always talk about the TCA providing tariff-free trade between the UK and EU, in fact many exporters face tariffs because they can't meet the technical requirements. A customs union would negate those costs.
Though we always talk about the TCA providing tariff-free trade between the UK and EU, in fact many exporters face tariffs because they can't meet the technical requirements. A customs union would negate those costs.
Most voters won't read up on 'diagonal accumulation' - they will just hear the words 'customs' 'agreement' and 'Europe', and that gives a rejoiny vibe
Most voters won't read up on 'diagonal accumulation' - they will just hear the words 'customs' 'agreement' and 'Europe', and that gives a rejoiny vibe
Vague promises about a "distinctively British" approach unleashing "national renewal" are normally a sign that there's no clear plan beneath.
on.ft.com/42ahKPS
Vague promises about a "distinctively British" approach unleashing "national renewal" are normally a sign that there's no clear plan beneath.
on.ft.com/42ahKPS
The actual question: would you allow EU citizens to "travel, live & work" in the UK (many do already, doesn't mean free movement) in exchange for "special access to" (not membership of) the EU market.
Might as well have asked would you like to have your cake and eat it?
The actual question: would you allow EU citizens to "travel, live & work" in the UK (many do already, doesn't mean free movement) in exchange for "special access to" (not membership of) the EU market.
Might as well have asked would you like to have your cake and eat it?
We are of course open to funding offers from Big Baking.
We are of course open to funding offers from Big Baking.