Jamil Civitarese
@jamilkpc.bsky.social
PhD Student at NYU Politics. Mostly Latin American Politics.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Ursula le Guin, on the accusation that fantasy is an escape from reality
![[“Fantasy is escapist, and that is its glory. If a soldier is imprisoned by the enemy, don’t we consider it his duty to escape? The moneylenders, the know-nothings, the authoritarians have us all in prison; if we value the freedom of the mind and soul, if we’re partisans of liberty, then it’s our plain duty to escape, and to take as many people with us as we can.”]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hppum4l25hcczzffastsicpq/bafkreihuubdwcftfkvvlnepoaf6pfxqulryfp7ydrydi5fe2pflwz63wgm@jpeg)
February 23, 2025 at 11:44 PM
Ursula le Guin, on the accusation that fantasy is an escape from reality
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
In modern history, what is the least popular that party leaders have ever been to their OWN voters? Second place was the GOP in 2009, where their net approval with Republican voters was only +6.
Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.
Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.
February 22, 2025 at 6:18 PM
In modern history, what is the least popular that party leaders have ever been to their OWN voters? Second place was the GOP in 2009, where their net approval with Republican voters was only +6.
Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.
Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism
February 14, 2025 at 3:42 PM
New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
I wrote about how particularly ridiculous it is that Senate Democrats, led by Dick Durbin, think the priority should be repealing Section 230 and undermining the very open internet we need more than ever right now. www.techdirt.com/2025/02/21/w...
While Democracy Burns, Democrats Prioritize… Demolishing Section 230?
While an unelected tech billionaire is effectively orchestrating a coup of the US government, violating federal law with apparent impunity, and disclaiming all responsibility for the chaos he’…
www.techdirt.com
February 21, 2025 at 7:43 PM
I wrote about how particularly ridiculous it is that Senate Democrats, led by Dick Durbin, think the priority should be repealing Section 230 and undermining the very open internet we need more than ever right now. www.techdirt.com/2025/02/21/w...
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fec...
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fec...
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
February 21, 2025 at 4:41 AM
We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fec...
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fec...
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Make this @OfficialUoM press release viral
“Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.”
www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...
“Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.”
www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...
Trump is making false claims about Zelensky's popularity, say experts
US President Donald Trump has once again echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%. In reality, polling by ex...
www.manchester.ac.uk
February 19, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Make this @OfficialUoM press release viral
“Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.”
www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...
“Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.”
www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
NEW -
Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN
- @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse
#OpenAccess
Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN
- @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse
#OpenAccess
February 19, 2025 at 1:45 PM
NEW -
Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN
- @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse
#OpenAccess
Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN
- @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
President Javier Milei blames the people who fell for the crypto scam, saying that "I didn't promote it, just shared it".
February 18, 2025 at 1:39 AM
President Javier Milei blames the people who fell for the crypto scam, saying that "I didn't promote it, just shared it".
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Our new paper is out! In Brazil, election-driven family conflicts are rare, but affect LGB voters disproportionately. LGB voters’ heightened political engagement and strong opposition to Bolsonaro seem to underpin their greater propensity to face election-driven family conflicts.
Some headlines suggest political disagreements are destroying families. Are election-driven family conflicts common? @malugatto.bsky.social , J. G. Leal & @deborathome.bsky.social find that election-driven family conflicts are uncommon but disproportionately impact LGB voters.
What explains election-driven family conflicts? - Malu A. C. Gatto, João Gabriel Leal, Débora Thomé, 2025
As affective polarisation rises worldwide, so do concerns about how political disagreements affect social relationships, including families – a core building bl...
doi.org
February 17, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Our new paper is out! In Brazil, election-driven family conflicts are rare, but affect LGB voters disproportionately. LGB voters’ heightened political engagement and strong opposition to Bolsonaro seem to underpin their greater propensity to face election-driven family conflicts.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Critical support to El Presidente as he picks the pockets of the stupidest Silicon Valley venture capitalists with the oldest crypto scam in the book. Historically progressive
Argentina’s president, Javier Milei, has caused a political firestorm by promoting an unknown cryptocurrency token that shot up in value after his endorsement — then quickly plummeted. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/15/w...
February 16, 2025 at 10:04 PM
Critical support to El Presidente as he picks the pockets of the stupidest Silicon Valley venture capitalists with the oldest crypto scam in the book. Historically progressive
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
These are the vaccination rates of kindergartners by state. It takes 95% coverage of MMR vaccine to prevent measles outbreaks & most states are not achieving it. I fear that under the new administration rates will drop even further and we will start to see preventable illness, disability, and death
November 15, 2024 at 12:05 AM
These are the vaccination rates of kindergartners by state. It takes 95% coverage of MMR vaccine to prevent measles outbreaks & most states are not achieving it. I fear that under the new administration rates will drop even further and we will start to see preventable illness, disability, and death
I am fine, but I want to declare today was the first (possibly not the last) time I suffered xenophobia in the US. If the government wants to enable the worst of people, fine. I’ll do whatever I can just to finish my PhD and go to a country that still cares about civics and dignity. What a hellhole.
February 16, 2025 at 2:04 AM
I am fine, but I want to declare today was the first (possibly not the last) time I suffered xenophobia in the US. If the government wants to enable the worst of people, fine. I’ll do whatever I can just to finish my PhD and go to a country that still cares about civics and dignity. What a hellhole.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
🧵 Knowing which questions to ask is one of the most critical aspects of survey design, but we often rely on guesswork to devise questionnaires. What if we were to rely directly on participants?
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social -
Crowdsourced Adaptive Surveys - cup.org/4aY2OH4
- @yamilrvelez.bsky.social
"This paper introduces a crowdsourced adaptive survey methodology (CSAS) that unites advances in natural language processing and adaptive algorithms..."
#FirstView
Crowdsourced Adaptive Surveys - cup.org/4aY2OH4
- @yamilrvelez.bsky.social
"This paper introduces a crowdsourced adaptive survey methodology (CSAS) that unites advances in natural language processing and adaptive algorithms..."
#FirstView
February 12, 2025 at 5:41 PM
🧵 Knowing which questions to ask is one of the most critical aspects of survey design, but we often rely on guesswork to devise questionnaires. What if we were to rely directly on participants?
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
one thing I am moderately confident on now is that China is the leading global scientific power by 2030.
February 9, 2025 at 12:12 AM
one thing I am moderately confident on now is that China is the leading global scientific power by 2030.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
🚨FREE BOOK ALERT! Download "Gendered Jobs and Local Leaders: Women, Work, and the Pipeline to Local Political Office" by two of my favorite authors: @mirya.bsky.social & @rivb.bsky.social. Rich data showing occupational gendered segregation is a powerful source of 🚺's political underrepresentation.
February 8, 2025 at 5:41 PM
🚨FREE BOOK ALERT! Download "Gendered Jobs and Local Leaders: Women, Work, and the Pipeline to Local Political Office" by two of my favorite authors: @mirya.bsky.social & @rivb.bsky.social. Rich data showing occupational gendered segregation is a powerful source of 🚺's political underrepresentation.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Here's my new working paper w/ Aaron Kaufman & Chris Celaya.
Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development
ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...
Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development
ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...
February 7, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Here's my new working paper w/ Aaron Kaufman & Chris Celaya.
Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development
ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...
Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development
ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Aaron Swartz, whose throwaway projects brought more value to the world than FB ever did, was a tech prodigy who killed himself because he was facing 35 yrs in prison for downloading academic articles from an academic institution. Zuck stole far more and did so for profit. What charges will he face?
“Torrenting from a corporate laptop doesn’t feel right”: Meta emails unsealed
Meta’s alleged torrenting and seeding of pirated books complicates copyright case.
arstechnica.com
February 7, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Aaron Swartz, whose throwaway projects brought more value to the world than FB ever did, was a tech prodigy who killed himself because he was facing 35 yrs in prison for downloading academic articles from an academic institution. Zuck stole far more and did so for profit. What charges will he face?
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
New at Political Research Quarterly: Our latest study analyzing Latino political engagement & activity on social media, from Marisa Abrajano & Marianna Garcia from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, and Aaron Pope, @robertvidigal.bsky.social, Edwin Kamau, @jatucker.bsky.social, & Jonathan Nagler of CSMaP.
February 4, 2025 at 2:59 PM
New at Political Research Quarterly: Our latest study analyzing Latino political engagement & activity on social media, from Marisa Abrajano & Marianna Garcia from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, and Aaron Pope, @robertvidigal.bsky.social, Edwin Kamau, @jatucker.bsky.social, & Jonathan Nagler of CSMaP.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Please share / RT:
***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"***
Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt...
Please direct any questions to [email protected].
***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"***
Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt...
Please direct any questions to [email protected].
January 29, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Please share / RT:
***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"***
Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt...
Please direct any questions to [email protected].
***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"***
Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt...
Please direct any questions to [email protected].
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Today we're highlighting Danilo Freire, @mgaldino.bsky.social & @umbertomig.bsky.social 's work exploring whether bottom-up, citizen-based monitoring improves public service delivery in Brazil.
Read more here: https://buff.ly/4gFBb7b
Read more here: https://buff.ly/4gFBb7b
Brief 69: Bottom-up accountability and public service provision in Brazil – EGAP
EGAP researchers: Danilo Freire, Manoel Galdino, Umberto Mignozzetti
buff.ly
January 30, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Today we're highlighting Danilo Freire, @mgaldino.bsky.social & @umbertomig.bsky.social 's work exploring whether bottom-up, citizen-based monitoring improves public service delivery in Brazil.
Read more here: https://buff.ly/4gFBb7b
Read more here: https://buff.ly/4gFBb7b
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Latin America's response to U.S. policy won't be pretty for the U.S. right wing and poetic for the left wing. I don't think folks get what a bipartisan mess it has been: myopically focused on drugs and migrants, neglect of infrastructure projects and targetted investments, and allowing China in.
January 29, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Latin America's response to U.S. policy won't be pretty for the U.S. right wing and poetic for the left wing. I don't think folks get what a bipartisan mess it has been: myopically focused on drugs and migrants, neglect of infrastructure projects and targetted investments, and allowing China in.
Reposted by Jamil Civitarese
Ok, quick thread on why DeepSeek is blowing up assumptions about LLMs and maybe the whole (U.S.) AI industry. DeepSeek is an AI lab funded by a Chinese hedge fund, their AI code is open source, meaning freely available to use, which most big U.S. models (aside from Meta’s) are not. That’s the start…
January 27, 2025 at 1:04 PM
Ok, quick thread on why DeepSeek is blowing up assumptions about LLMs and maybe the whole (U.S.) AI industry. DeepSeek is an AI lab funded by a Chinese hedge fund, their AI code is open source, meaning freely available to use, which most big U.S. models (aside from Meta’s) are not. That’s the start…