Jacqui Broadhead
@jacquibroadhead.bsky.social
Loudly for those at the back, the OBR estimates that every net fewer 100k migrants creates an additional £7bn hole that has to be found from somewhere else.
The government figuring this out slowly over the coming two years is going to be quite something to behold.
I think the government meant to cut net migration but have accidentally overshot the target by a lot. They haven’t realised this yet.
November 28, 2025 at 11:12 AM
Loudly for those at the back, the OBR estimates that every net fewer 100k migrants creates an additional £7bn hole that has to be found from somewhere else.
In the latest 'tackling the asylum backlog' news, this week @privateeyenews.bsky.social reported that the Home Office has cut (CUT!) the number of asylum caseworkers by 407 since 2024, a 16.5% cut (down to 2057.) The backlog is the main reason for hotel use, so this is another baffling decision.
November 28, 2025 at 11:10 AM
In the latest 'tackling the asylum backlog' news, this week @privateeyenews.bsky.social reported that the Home Office has cut (CUT!) the number of asylum caseworkers by 407 since 2024, a 16.5% cut (down to 2057.) The backlog is the main reason for hotel use, so this is another baffling decision.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Today's 70% fall in net migration to 205,000 was not one of the six stories in BBC ten o'clock news.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
November 27, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Today's 70% fall in net migration to 205,000 was not one of the six stories in BBC ten o'clock news.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Ta massive assymetry in whether rises in immigration and falls in immigration are considered newsworthy by broadcasters
Down by 140k isn't thought to be.
Up by 140k undoubtedly would be.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
The UK, where the day after a decision to take half a million children out of poverty, the media & political world has been full of sneering at those same children & their families, labelling them as ‘Benefits Street’, while the same people are moaning about a tax on £2m mansions. Shameful stuff.
November 27, 2025 at 8:22 PM
The UK, where the day after a decision to take half a million children out of poverty, the media & political world has been full of sneering at those same children & their families, labelling them as ‘Benefits Street’, while the same people are moaning about a tax on £2m mansions. Shameful stuff.
One thing that is continually lost in the 2 child limit debate is that annually child poverty costs at least £39.4bn in public spending and lower future earnings. As well as a moral imperative, lifting children out of poverty is also an investment in future economic prosperity.
November 27, 2025 at 9:46 AM
One thing that is continually lost in the 2 child limit debate is that annually child poverty costs at least £39.4bn in public spending and lower future earnings. As well as a moral imperative, lifting children out of poverty is also an investment in future economic prosperity.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
The fundamental political-economy for the government is that is objectively implementing a soft left economic policy on speed whilst being hated by lots of left leaning people because of its other policies and rhetoric.
November 26, 2025 at 5:20 PM
The fundamental political-economy for the government is that is objectively implementing a soft left economic policy on speed whilst being hated by lots of left leaning people because of its other policies and rhetoric.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Most of the public think net migration increased last year, when in fact numbers halved.
New findings from the Ipsos/British Future Immigration Attitudes Tracker show that 56% of the public thinks immigration increased last year. Just 1 in 6 realise it was down
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
New findings from the Ipsos/British Future Immigration Attitudes Tracker show that 56% of the public thinks immigration increased last year. Just 1 in 6 realise it was down
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
November 27, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Most of the public think net migration increased last year, when in fact numbers halved.
New findings from the Ipsos/British Future Immigration Attitudes Tracker show that 56% of the public thinks immigration increased last year. Just 1 in 6 realise it was down
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
New findings from the Ipsos/British Future Immigration Attitudes Tracker show that 56% of the public thinks immigration increased last year. Just 1 in 6 realise it was down
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
Taking massive numbers of children out of poverty is unequivocally a good thing.
November 26, 2025 at 4:52 PM
Taking massive numbers of children out of poverty is unequivocally a good thing.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Why the two-child limit has to go, in a chart.
November 25, 2025 at 4:28 PM
Why the two-child limit has to go, in a chart.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
The Chancellor has scrapped the two-child limit, benefitting more than half a million families.
In April 2025, out of families impacted by the limit:
- 6 in 10 had 3 children.
- 6 in 10 had at least one person in work.
- And 6 in 10 are receiving a health or disability benefit.
In April 2025, out of families impacted by the limit:
- 6 in 10 had 3 children.
- 6 in 10 had at least one person in work.
- And 6 in 10 are receiving a health or disability benefit.
November 26, 2025 at 1:45 PM
The Chancellor has scrapped the two-child limit, benefitting more than half a million families.
In April 2025, out of families impacted by the limit:
- 6 in 10 had 3 children.
- 6 in 10 had at least one person in work.
- And 6 in 10 are receiving a health or disability benefit.
In April 2025, out of families impacted by the limit:
- 6 in 10 had 3 children.
- 6 in 10 had at least one person in work.
- And 6 in 10 are receiving a health or disability benefit.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Our @refugeecouncil.bsky.social analysis suggests that by the next election in 2029 the Home Office could need to process around 100,000 status reviews - about the same size as the current asylum backlog.
November 24, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Our @refugeecouncil.bsky.social analysis suggests that by the next election in 2029 the Home Office could need to process around 100,000 status reviews - about the same size as the current asylum backlog.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
The last Labour government had multiple integration strategies - this government appears to be pursuing the opposite.
It’s also a massive administrative challenge. Instead of only processing one ILR application at the 5 year mark, it could be 8 applications over 20 years.
It’s also a massive administrative challenge. Instead of only processing one ILR application at the 5 year mark, it could be 8 applications over 20 years.
November 24, 2025 at 12:56 PM
The last Labour government had multiple integration strategies - this government appears to be pursuing the opposite.
It’s also a massive administrative challenge. Instead of only processing one ILR application at the 5 year mark, it could be 8 applications over 20 years.
It’s also a massive administrative challenge. Instead of only processing one ILR application at the 5 year mark, it could be 8 applications over 20 years.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Since Ella Adoo-Kissi-Debrah became the first person in the UK to have air pollution listed as a cause of death, nationwide progress on air pollution hasn’t happened fast enough.
I urge everyone to back Ella's Law – a healthier, fairer future for Britain’s children is at stake.
I urge everyone to back Ella's Law – a healthier, fairer future for Britain’s children is at stake.
November 21, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Since Ella Adoo-Kissi-Debrah became the first person in the UK to have air pollution listed as a cause of death, nationwide progress on air pollution hasn’t happened fast enough.
I urge everyone to back Ella's Law – a healthier, fairer future for Britain’s children is at stake.
I urge everyone to back Ella's Law – a healthier, fairer future for Britain’s children is at stake.
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Latest piece for the @thehousemag.bsky.social, on the island of strangers speech and similar. Also ft Bob Hawke.
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
The Professor Will See You Now: Island of strangers
Lessons in political science. This week: island of strangers
www.politicshome.com
November 20, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Latest piece for the @thehousemag.bsky.social, on the island of strangers speech and similar. Also ft Bob Hawke.
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
In the UK
75% of ppl with graduate parents attend higher education
42% of ppl with nongraduate parents attend HE
It therefore appears that the social class gap in well paid jobs is primarily driven by different HE participation rates. If more working class kids went to HE, earnings gaps wd narrow
75% of ppl with graduate parents attend higher education
42% of ppl with nongraduate parents attend HE
It therefore appears that the social class gap in well paid jobs is primarily driven by different HE participation rates. If more working class kids went to HE, earnings gaps wd narrow
November 19, 2025 at 9:41 AM
In the UK
75% of ppl with graduate parents attend higher education
42% of ppl with nongraduate parents attend HE
It therefore appears that the social class gap in well paid jobs is primarily driven by different HE participation rates. If more working class kids went to HE, earnings gaps wd narrow
75% of ppl with graduate parents attend higher education
42% of ppl with nongraduate parents attend HE
It therefore appears that the social class gap in well paid jobs is primarily driven by different HE participation rates. If more working class kids went to HE, earnings gaps wd narrow
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Labour will lose in Scotland, Wales to left challengers, and probably heavily in London too, through low turnout, defection to progressives, some losses to populists as a smaller contribution. Rebuilding that with an "but its us or Reform" basis may be harder than the current leadership acknowledges
November 19, 2025 at 9:35 AM
Labour will lose in Scotland, Wales to left challengers, and probably heavily in London too, through low turnout, defection to progressives, some losses to populists as a smaller contribution. Rebuilding that with an "but its us or Reform" basis may be harder than the current leadership acknowledges
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
I’ve written a piece on the curious lack of media and political interest in the issues faced by our national @britishlibrary.bsky.social. This is strange given we live in a world where ideas, knowledge and research are a long-term source of innovation and insight
www.cityam.com/the-british-...
www.cityam.com/the-british-...
The British library is in crisis: why does nobody care?
The widespread indifference to the British Library's crippling cyberattack demonstrates a perilous failure to value the knowledge infrastructure vital for national prosperity
www.cityam.com
November 18, 2025 at 6:27 AM
I’ve written a piece on the curious lack of media and political interest in the issues faced by our national @britishlibrary.bsky.social. This is strange given we live in a world where ideas, knowledge and research are a long-term source of innovation and insight
www.cityam.com/the-british-...
www.cityam.com/the-british-...
It feels like we are pretty lost when the Home Office publish this data and yet seemingly don't believe it (afaik there is absolutely no reason not to believe it.)
"We have become the destination of choice in Europe" according to the Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood.
Data from Eurostat & the Home Office shows the UK had the fifth largest number of claims of the EU/UK area in 2025, at 108,000... assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/691ae0...
Data from Eurostat & the Home Office shows the UK had the fifth largest number of claims of the EU/UK area in 2025, at 108,000... assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/691ae0...
November 17, 2025 at 6:27 PM
It feels like we are pretty lost when the Home Office publish this data and yet seemingly don't believe it (afaik there is absolutely no reason not to believe it.)
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
Going to leave you with a Home Office chart from their most recent asylum stats so you can decide whether the UK is a magnet for asylum seekers with a uniquely generous asylum system www.gov.uk/government/s...
November 17, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Going to leave you with a Home Office chart from their most recent asylum stats so you can decide whether the UK is a magnet for asylum seekers with a uniquely generous asylum system www.gov.uk/government/s...
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
"Compared with other European countries, the UK received the fifth largest number of asylum seekers in the year ending March 2025, and the seventeenth largest intake when measured per head of population" - Home Office data
www.gov.uk/government/s...
www.gov.uk/government/s...
November 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM
"Compared with other European countries, the UK received the fifth largest number of asylum seekers in the year ending March 2025, and the seventeenth largest intake when measured per head of population" - Home Office data
www.gov.uk/government/s...
www.gov.uk/government/s...
The Home Office actually published a quite good review of the evidence on asylum decision making in May this year which answers some of these very valid questions though there is precious little evidence it has had any impact on policy thinking www.gov.uk/government/p...
November 17, 2025 at 4:06 PM
The Home Office actually published a quite good review of the evidence on asylum decision making in May this year which answers some of these very valid questions though there is precious little evidence it has had any impact on policy thinking www.gov.uk/government/p...
It is hardly the most important facet of the new asylum policy, but who exactly are the Home Office decision makers twiddling their thumbs and in desperate need of tens of thousands of additional decisions to make each year?
November 17, 2025 at 9:18 AM
It is hardly the most important facet of the new asylum policy, but who exactly are the Home Office decision makers twiddling their thumbs and in desperate need of tens of thousands of additional decisions to make each year?
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
@jrf-uk.bsky.social has joined 100+ others to call on the government to fully scrap the two-child limit.
Every child deserves the best start in life. Fully scrapping the two-child will deliver a decisive shift in child poverty, boosting children’s opportunities and the UK's potential.
Every child deserves the best start in life. Fully scrapping the two-child will deliver a decisive shift in child poverty, boosting children’s opportunities and the UK's potential.
November 12, 2025 at 11:23 AM
@jrf-uk.bsky.social has joined 100+ others to call on the government to fully scrap the two-child limit.
Every child deserves the best start in life. Fully scrapping the two-child will deliver a decisive shift in child poverty, boosting children’s opportunities and the UK's potential.
Every child deserves the best start in life. Fully scrapping the two-child will deliver a decisive shift in child poverty, boosting children’s opportunities and the UK's potential.
Remain intrigued by efforts to link up skills planning and migration policy. New Skills England report setting out priority skills needs to 2030 and references link with the Migration Advisory Cttee, but still does not include migration in its estimates. www.gov.uk/government/p...
Assessment of priority skills to 2030
www.gov.uk
November 12, 2025 at 9:26 AM
Remain intrigued by efforts to link up skills planning and migration policy. New Skills England report setting out priority skills needs to 2030 and references link with the Migration Advisory Cttee, but still does not include migration in its estimates. www.gov.uk/government/p...
Reposted by Jacqui Broadhead
New from FM: Epping Council loses challenge to use of hotel as asylum accommodation | Sonia Lenegan
Epping Council loses challenge to use of hotel as asylum accommodation - Free Movement
Epping Forest District Council has lost its legal challenge in which it sought an injunction to prevent the Bell Hotel being used as asylum accommodation. The
freemovement.org.uk
November 11, 2025 at 4:03 PM
New from FM: Epping Council loses challenge to use of hotel as asylum accommodation | Sonia Lenegan