Ivo Bantel
@ivobantel.bsky.social
Head of Research & Data @POLITICOEurope ・polarization, extremism, computational social science, text-as-data・PhD from University of Zurich, previously @Harvard Gov't, @Oxford DPIR & @University of Bremen (he/him)
The reason for this effect?
RR electoral competition decreases both trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy among non-RR supporters. For RR supporters, it has the opposite effect.
As a result, non-RR supporters are less likely to turnout to vote.
RR electoral competition decreases both trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy among non-RR supporters. For RR supporters, it has the opposite effect.
As a result, non-RR supporters are less likely to turnout to vote.
December 5, 2024 at 9:57 AM
The reason for this effect?
RR electoral competition decreases both trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy among non-RR supporters. For RR supporters, it has the opposite effect.
As a result, non-RR supporters are less likely to turnout to vote.
RR electoral competition decreases both trust in politicians and satisfaction with democracy among non-RR supporters. For RR supporters, it has the opposite effect.
As a result, non-RR supporters are less likely to turnout to vote.
Link:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Specifically: RR parties primarily pull existing voters, not mobilize non-voters. At the same time, RR parties demobilize voters who aren't sympathetic to their programme.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Specifically: RR parties primarily pull existing voters, not mobilize non-voters. At the same time, RR parties demobilize voters who aren't sympathetic to their programme.
December 5, 2024 at 9:57 AM
Link:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Specifically: RR parties primarily pull existing voters, not mobilize non-voters. At the same time, RR parties demobilize voters who aren't sympathetic to their programme.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Specifically: RR parties primarily pull existing voters, not mobilize non-voters. At the same time, RR parties demobilize voters who aren't sympathetic to their programme.
Further, it matters in practical terms: a debate about an AfD ban is unfolding. While the AfD is casting itself as having moderated, such reports are providing empirical evidence contradicting this portrayal, and (secretly) supporting such plans could strengthen the case for a party ban.
6/6
6/6
January 10, 2024 at 10:21 AM
Further, it matters in practical terms: a debate about an AfD ban is unfolding. While the AfD is casting itself as having moderated, such reports are providing empirical evidence contradicting this portrayal, and (secretly) supporting such plans could strengthen the case for a party ban.
6/6
6/6
Why does this matter?
First, it fits the wider context or authoritarian attacks on liberal democracy: the short-term goals follow the radical right playbook of weakening liberal democracy and casting itself as the salvation (see e.g. Levitsky, S./Ziblatt, D. 2018: How Democracies Die, Ch 4).
/5
First, it fits the wider context or authoritarian attacks on liberal democracy: the short-term goals follow the radical right playbook of weakening liberal democracy and casting itself as the salvation (see e.g. Levitsky, S./Ziblatt, D. 2018: How Democracies Die, Ch 4).
/5
January 10, 2024 at 10:20 AM
Why does this matter?
First, it fits the wider context or authoritarian attacks on liberal democracy: the short-term goals follow the radical right playbook of weakening liberal democracy and casting itself as the salvation (see e.g. Levitsky, S./Ziblatt, D. 2018: How Democracies Die, Ch 4).
/5
First, it fits the wider context or authoritarian attacks on liberal democracy: the short-term goals follow the radical right playbook of weakening liberal democracy and casting itself as the salvation (see e.g. Levitsky, S./Ziblatt, D. 2018: How Democracies Die, Ch 4).
/5
The goal is accompanied by a short-term plan to prepare this: deliberately weakening democracy by casting doubt on election results, discrediting the constitutional court, suppressing other opinions and fighting public broadcasting services.
/4
/4
January 10, 2024 at 10:19 AM
The goal is accompanied by a short-term plan to prepare this: deliberately weakening democracy by casting doubt on election results, discrediting the constitutional court, suppressing other opinions and fighting public broadcasting services.
/4
/4
While the clarity of formulation is surprising, the goal is not: making Germany ethnically homogeneous by depriving some citizens of their fundamental rights.
Or, in their words, the “remigration” of “not assimilated German citizens” through “high adaption pressure” and “custom-tailored laws.”
/3
Or, in their words, the “remigration” of “not assimilated German citizens” through “high adaption pressure” and “custom-tailored laws.”
/3
January 10, 2024 at 10:18 AM
While the clarity of formulation is surprising, the goal is not: making Germany ethnically homogeneous by depriving some citizens of their fundamental rights.
Or, in their words, the “remigration” of “not assimilated German citizens” through “high adaption pressure” and “custom-tailored laws.”
/3
Or, in their words, the “remigration” of “not assimilated German citizens” through “high adaption pressure” and “custom-tailored laws.”
/3
As the article shows, the “decade-long project” aims to prepare for when “patriots take power in [Germany]”.
The project closely builds on the extreme right Identitarian Movement's ideology and aims to change the general political climate to realize the unifying long-term goal of the far-right.
/2
The project closely builds on the extreme right Identitarian Movement's ideology and aims to change the general political climate to realize the unifying long-term goal of the far-right.
/2
January 10, 2024 at 10:18 AM
As the article shows, the “decade-long project” aims to prepare for when “patriots take power in [Germany]”.
The project closely builds on the extreme right Identitarian Movement's ideology and aims to change the general political climate to realize the unifying long-term goal of the far-right.
/2
The project closely builds on the extreme right Identitarian Movement's ideology and aims to change the general political climate to realize the unifying long-term goal of the far-right.
/2