Franz-Stefan Gady
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Franz-Stefan Gady
@hoanssolo.bsky.social
Modern Warfare | Defense & Military Analyst | Author of ‚How the United States Would Fight China: The Risks of Pursuing a Rapid Victory‘ (September 2025) Link: https://www.gady-consulting.com/
Moreover, deterrence is partly about perception and credibility; therefore, even the mere perception in Russia that the transatlantic security architecture is beginning to erode could invite nuclear–conventional military brinkmanship.
December 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM
This will likely be felt in any larger-scale security crisis involving Russia on the continent. So it is unclear to me whether the broad division between US nuclear deterrence & European conventional deterrence (despite the UK/French arsenals), regardless of US administrations, is a useful framing.
December 7, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Ultimately, the true test of military leadership is not the willingness to sacrifice troops for strategically insignificant terrain, but the wisdom to preserve combat power for operations that can shape a more favorable end to a military conflict.
December 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
…prevent commanders from conducting the tactical withdrawals needed to preserve their forces and maintain operational effectiveness.
December 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
But it becomes disastrous for an overstretched military when political imperatives—combined with an inflexible, centralized command structure—override sound military judgment and…
December 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
The two sieges of Przemyśl highlight a fundamental principle of static defense doctrine: it can serve a legitimate strategic purpose when it buys time for operational maneuver or enables the relief of a defending force.
December 2, 2025 at 2:32 PM
The Donbas can’t be abandoned without a fight, yet fighting threatens the same concessions—only under far uglier conditions—while the promise of western support grows shakier and the prospects of a truly just peace recede after the war.
November 29, 2025 at 6:29 AM
Ukraine, like Yossarian, finds itself trapped in a logic where every rational choice could lead to the same catastrophic result.
November 29, 2025 at 6:29 AM
Umgekehrt kann die Ukraine derzeit keine festen Sicherheitsgarantien vom Westen erwarten, weil Europa nicht bereit ist, im Ernstfall in den Krieg gegen Russland für die Ukraine zu ziehen.
November 26, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Printversion 👇
November 23, 2025 at 6:47 AM