Giorgio Nicoletti
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giorgionicoletti.bsky.social
Giorgio Nicoletti
@giorgionicoletti.bsky.social
Physics of Complex Systems, from StatMech to Ecology and Neuroscience

Currently a postdoc at ICTP 🇺🇳 working on information processing and decision making in biological systems - previously at EPFL🇨🇭and UniPD 🇮🇹

🔗 giorgionicoletti.github.io
Thanks for sticking around! If you want to know more, check out our paper in PNAS and stay tuned for even more results about spatial ecosystems!

www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...
Landscape and environmental heterogeneity support coexistence in competitive metacommunities | PNAS
Metapopulation models have been instrumental in quantifying the ecological impact of landscape structure on the survival of a focal species. Howeve...
www.pnas.org
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
We believe that our framework will enable the systematic study of how landscape structure shapes the dynamics of interacting ecological niches - a crucial point, because a sufficient level of landscape heterogeneity is essential for sustaining biodiversity in spatially extended ecosystems

9/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Finally, we connect landscape and habitat heterogeneity by introducing spatial correlation between nearby habitats, using models of aquatic and terrestrial landscapes. Correlations increase the total population and strengthen the buffering effect due to the spatial clustering of niches

8/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
What is going on? The crucial idea is that the spatial structure helps to buffer competition, increasing diversity and population - species that thrive in one landscape may go extinct in another. Hence, species coexistence is fundamentally entangled with the spatial structure of the ecosystem

7/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Then, we add landscape heterogeneity by introducing complex dispersal networks! We find that the fraction of coexisting species increases with habitat heterogeneity, and at the same time landscape heterogeneity allows for more species to coexist while increasing the total population

6/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
We first study a "mean-field case" where all habitat patches are connected to focus on the effect of habitat heterogeneity alone. If it's large enough, coexistence of all species becomes possible thanks to the emergence of ecological niches in different habitats - species start to "localize"

5/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
And this is where we use the physics of disordered systems! We obtain exact results for an ecosystem where the landscape-mediated fitness is random and follows a generic probability distribution: a spatially disordered landscape where we can tune its spatial heterogeneity and see its effects

4/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
To quantify habitat heterogeneity, we measure the balance between colonization and extinction via a local “landscape-mediated fitness”: species with large colonization and low extinction rates in a patch have high fitness, and vice-versa. This is akin to the classical metapopulation capacity

3/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Without heterogeneity, when all habitats are equivalent, we find that the only possible solution is monodominance - the fittest species overtakes the entire ecosystem, regardless of the underlying dispersal network! But what happens if not all habitats are equally good for different species?

2/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
We start by generalizing the seminal metapopulation model by Hanski and Ovaskainen. Species explore and settle on a complex landscape described by a network of habitat patches. Each habitat has a finite amount of colonizable space, generating an effective competition term between species

1/9
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
Take-at-home message: we study a general model of spatially extended ecosystems where species compete for spaces in different habitat patches. We find that spatial heterogeneity is the key mechanism allowing the coexistence of a large number of species, and fosters the emergence of ecological niches
March 16, 2025 at 10:41 AM
And finally a bonus for reading the whole thread: another cool video of metapop dynamics using a DEM from the Himalayas!
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
A cool application is elevation-based networks obtained from Digital Elevation Maps (DEMs). By imposing that exploring uphill is harder than downward one, our model captures the dendritic features of complex topographic landscapes

9/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Overall, our approach is highly interpretable and extremely flexible, allowing for changes in both the local node dynamics and the exploration ones. Not only that: it works for directed networks as well!

8/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
We can study network fragmentation, showing that our model perfectly captures segregation in modular networks and the detrimental effects of landscape fragmentation. Further, we can prove analytically that survival is generally favored in more dense network

7/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
And of course, network topology influences everything - in particular, the survival of the population, quantified by the metapopulation capacity. We find that multiple short paths and hubs in general favor survival and strong localization of the surviving individuals

6/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
The topological contribution of the underlying networks is naturally encoded in the metapopulation kernel, depending on the species' dispersal. Our model can reproduce classical exponential distance-based kernels, but can capture much more complex network structures

5/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM
But where did the topology go? Our model features an exact all-to-all kernel that quantifies the influence of one node to the other - and it does so by naturally taking into account all possible paths the explorers may have taken to move between the two nodes!

4/9
February 10, 2025 at 9:33 AM