Geoff Garin
@geoffgarin.bsky.social
Hart Research Associates, proudly Kamala Harris 2024.
There are close to 40 Republican-held seats are vulnerable based on this calculation, and Trump's mid-cycle redistricting gambit probably adds to the number.
November 26, 2025 at 4:13 PM
There are close to 40 Republican-held seats are vulnerable based on this calculation, and Trump's mid-cycle redistricting gambit probably adds to the number.
Plus the immunity clause in Article I protects Senator Kelly and the others from efforts by the executive branch to silence them.
November 24, 2025 at 8:21 PM
Plus the immunity clause in Article I protects Senator Kelly and the others from efforts by the executive branch to silence them.
The acid test for Rubio will be how the Ukraine proposal moves from Putin’s terms to Europe’s.
November 23, 2025 at 7:37 PM
The acid test for Rubio will be how the Ukraine proposal moves from Putin’s terms to Europe’s.
What has Rubio actually done or stopped that suggests anyone else who the Senate might confirm would be worse? Confirmation hearings would be a chance to shine a spotlight on Trump’s dangerous and failed approach to foreign policy. I recognize he’s not going anywhere but Rubio needs to be called out
November 23, 2025 at 7:18 PM
What has Rubio actually done or stopped that suggests anyone else who the Senate might confirm would be worse? Confirmation hearings would be a chance to shine a spotlight on Trump’s dangerous and failed approach to foreign policy. I recognize he’s not going anywhere but Rubio needs to be called out
And in that regard voters are not buying Trump’s and Bessent’s pitch that Biden is to blame for today’s high prices. Voters knows the (inflated) buck stops with Trump.
November 23, 2025 at 3:29 PM
And in that regard voters are not buying Trump’s and Bessent’s pitch that Biden is to blame for today’s high prices. Voters knows the (inflated) buck stops with Trump.
If you take the chart back a few months further it would show the inflation rate is higher today under Trump than it was a year ago under Biden.
November 23, 2025 at 3:16 PM
If you take the chart back a few months further it would show the inflation rate is higher today under Trump than it was a year ago under Biden.
If they showed him a graph of poll results it must have been upside down.
November 23, 2025 at 2:58 AM
If they showed him a graph of poll results it must have been upside down.
The Rev. Billy Graham, still agile and eloquent at the age of 136, was billed as the main speaker
November 21, 2025 at 6:41 PM
The Rev. Billy Graham, still agile and eloquent at the age of 136, was billed as the main speaker
There is a good chance that Trump will take Joe Lombardo down with him in the 2026 Nevada governor's election, in which Lombardo's weakness in standing up for Nevadans against Trump is likely to be a factor.
November 21, 2025 at 5:27 PM
There is a good chance that Trump will take Joe Lombardo down with him in the 2026 Nevada governor's election, in which Lombardo's weakness in standing up for Nevadans against Trump is likely to be a factor.