Guilherme Dornelles
@gdornelles.bsky.social
PhD candidate in Public Policy at @ufrgs.br | Researching prison inspection policies, actors, and instruments | Interested in criminology, sociology of punishment, public policy, mixed methods & QCA | F1 fan | 🇧🇷 based
Pinned
Hey friends at #policysky #pasky #polisky #crimsky #criminology
Do you know of any compelling examples where Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) has been used in public policy research?
Do you know of any compelling examples where Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) has been used in public policy research?
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
🚨 “Good Description” with @annagbusse.bsky.social 🚨
What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description?
We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers.
Two main contributions...
🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc
What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description?
We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers.
Two main contributions...
🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc
good_description/good_description_ddk_agb.pdf at main · ddekadt/good_description
Homepage of "Good Description" by Daniel de Kadt & Anna Grzymala-Busse - ddekadt/good_description
tinyurl.com
May 14, 2025 at 9:52 PM
🚨 “Good Description” with @annagbusse.bsky.social 🚨
What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description?
We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers.
Two main contributions...
🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc
What sets 'good' description apart from 'mere' description?
We develop a framework for evaluating descriptive research, whether we are doing it as scholars or assessing it as readers.
Two main contributions...
🔗📄 tinyurl.com/gooddesc
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
'Measuring sentence inflation England & Wales', with @sentencingacademy.bsky.social
We estimate that 87% of the increase in sentence severity experienced over the last 2 decades is due to a genuine change in the sentencing practice (sentence inflation).
www.sentencingacademy.org.uk/measuring-se...
We estimate that 87% of the increase in sentence severity experienced over the last 2 decades is due to a genuine change in the sentencing practice (sentence inflation).
www.sentencingacademy.org.uk/measuring-se...
Measuring Sentence Inflation in England and Wales – Sentencing Academy
www.sentencingacademy.org.uk
April 27, 2025 at 1:29 PM
'Measuring sentence inflation England & Wales', with @sentencingacademy.bsky.social
We estimate that 87% of the increase in sentence severity experienced over the last 2 decades is due to a genuine change in the sentencing practice (sentence inflation).
www.sentencingacademy.org.uk/measuring-se...
We estimate that 87% of the increase in sentence severity experienced over the last 2 decades is due to a genuine change in the sentencing practice (sentence inflation).
www.sentencingacademy.org.uk/measuring-se...
New research from Brazil on a critical issue: torture within the juvenile justice system. The Conselho Nacional de Justiça (National Council of Justice) recently released a comprehensive study, and it's a must-read for anyone working in criminology, human rights, or juvenile justice.
February 9, 2025 at 6:36 PM
New research from Brazil on a critical issue: torture within the juvenile justice system. The Conselho Nacional de Justiça (National Council of Justice) recently released a comprehensive study, and it's a must-read for anyone working in criminology, human rights, or juvenile justice.
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
ChatGPT, #DeepSeek, Gemini, Claude & Co - les performances des différentes #IA génératives en #dataviz
Qu’entend-on au juste par «performances»? Que révèlent ces évaluations sur la bataille des IA? 👇🏼
www.letemps.ch/cyber/en-gra...
Qu’entend-on au juste par «performances»? Que révèlent ces évaluations sur la bataille des IA? 👇🏼
www.letemps.ch/cyber/en-gra...
January 29, 2025 at 9:26 AM
ChatGPT, #DeepSeek, Gemini, Claude & Co - les performances des différentes #IA génératives en #dataviz
Qu’entend-on au juste par «performances»? Que révèlent ces évaluations sur la bataille des IA? 👇🏼
www.letemps.ch/cyber/en-gra...
Qu’entend-on au juste par «performances»? Que révèlent ces évaluations sur la bataille des IA? 👇🏼
www.letemps.ch/cyber/en-gra...
Esse carro (2023) não correu em Ímola oficialmente, logo, não tem parâmetro, mas dá para comparar com o carro do ano anterior. 1/3 #f1
F1: Bortoleto completa testes em Ímola; Sauber classifica desempenho como "excelente"
#F1noMotorsport
motorsport.uol.com.br/f1/news/f1-b...
#F1noMotorsport
motorsport.uol.com.br/f1/news/f1-b...
F1-Sauber:Desempenho de Bortoleto em teste de Ímola é "excelente"
Além do brasileiro, Ayumu Iwasa estava testando o carro da Racing Bulls no circuito italiano
motorsport.uol.com.br
January 26, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Esse carro (2023) não correu em Ímola oficialmente, logo, não tem parâmetro, mas dá para comparar com o carro do ano anterior. 1/3 #f1
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
Not every study needs super-complicated statistics, sometimes all you need is a contingency table. Now, thanks to Yasin Altinisik, Rebecca Kuiper et al, you can test informative hypotheses for contingency tables with the gorica R-package! link.springer.com/epdf/10.3758...
An AIC-type information criterion evaluating theory-based hypotheses for contingency tables
link.springer.com
January 23, 2025 at 8:38 AM
Not every study needs super-complicated statistics, sometimes all you need is a contingency table. Now, thanks to Yasin Altinisik, Rebecca Kuiper et al, you can test informative hypotheses for contingency tables with the gorica R-package! link.springer.com/epdf/10.3758...
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.
January 15, 2025 at 10:39 PM
Are Democratic leaders making cities more dangerous than Republicans? Trump + others have repeatedly made claims like this. New paper in Science Advances w/ @chriswarshaw.bsky.social, Dan Jones & Matt Harvey shows that, in short, the answer is no.
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
It's fascinating to learn about decarceration efforts and outcomes in other countries. This new article (open access) charts a history of decarceration in Italy in the 2010s and provides insight into the limits of decarcerating for purely fiscal reasons: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Concepts and conditions of penal moderation: Penal policy, public philosophy, and political ideologies. Theoretical reflections from Italy (2010–2018) - Zelia Gallo, 2025
This article analyses the meaning and conditions of penal moderation, conceptualizing it as a spectrum between non-punitiveness and a public penal philosophy. I...
journals.sagepub.com
January 15, 2025 at 12:59 AM
It's fascinating to learn about decarceration efforts and outcomes in other countries. This new article (open access) charts a history of decarceration in Italy in the 2010s and provides insight into the limits of decarcerating for purely fiscal reasons: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
#rstats friends, check this out!
1a versão do {geocodebr} pronta para testes
ipeagit.github.io/geocodebr/
Usem a versão dev pq o pacote ainda não está no CRAN. Todo feedback seria muito bem vindo ! #geocodebr
ipeagit.github.io/geocodebr/
Usem a versão dev pq o pacote ainda não está no CRAN. Todo feedback seria muito bem vindo ! #geocodebr
Geocode Brazilian Addresses with CNEFE
Simple and efficient way to geocode data in Brazil. The package provides functions to geocode from addresses to spatial coordinates and to (soon) reverse-geocode from spatial coordinates to addresses....
ipeagit.github.io
January 12, 2025 at 9:07 AM
#rstats friends, check this out!
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
Le débat contradictoire est essentiel à la démocratie
Les insultes, les attaques personnelles, les moqueries odieuses et les comportements antisociaux non seulement ne permettent pas le débat, mais l’empêche même d’avoir lieu
Bloquer, c’est aussi permettre au désaccord de s’épanouir
Les insultes, les attaques personnelles, les moqueries odieuses et les comportements antisociaux non seulement ne permettent pas le débat, mais l’empêche même d’avoir lieu
Bloquer, c’est aussi permettre au désaccord de s’épanouir
January 11, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Le débat contradictoire est essentiel à la démocratie
Les insultes, les attaques personnelles, les moqueries odieuses et les comportements antisociaux non seulement ne permettent pas le débat, mais l’empêche même d’avoir lieu
Bloquer, c’est aussi permettre au désaccord de s’épanouir
Les insultes, les attaques personnelles, les moqueries odieuses et les comportements antisociaux non seulement ne permettent pas le débat, mais l’empêche même d’avoir lieu
Bloquer, c’est aussi permettre au désaccord de s’épanouir
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
I'm trying to find more example studies for my Quant 2 Master's class this semester. Can someone please point me toward international development articles with field experiments and replication files that credibly analyze:
1) attrition
2) non-compliance
3) interference/spillover
Thank you!
1) attrition
2) non-compliance
3) interference/spillover
Thank you!
mikedenly.com
January 10, 2025 at 12:14 AM
I'm trying to find more example studies for my Quant 2 Master's class this semester. Can someone please point me toward international development articles with field experiments and replication files that credibly analyze:
1) attrition
2) non-compliance
3) interference/spillover
Thank you!
1) attrition
2) non-compliance
3) interference/spillover
Thank you!
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
Por que continuar em uma rede social que notória e publicamente se orgulha de difundir notícias falsas e criminosas?
Qual é a lógica por trás de continuar batendo a cabeça na parede (metaforicamente)? O público tá lá e só lá? Será mesmo?
Que tal a gente refletir sobre isso? 💡
Qual é a lógica por trás de continuar batendo a cabeça na parede (metaforicamente)? O público tá lá e só lá? Será mesmo?
Que tal a gente refletir sobre isso? 💡
January 9, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Por que continuar em uma rede social que notória e publicamente se orgulha de difundir notícias falsas e criminosas?
Qual é a lógica por trás de continuar batendo a cabeça na parede (metaforicamente)? O público tá lá e só lá? Será mesmo?
Que tal a gente refletir sobre isso? 💡
Qual é a lógica por trás de continuar batendo a cabeça na parede (metaforicamente)? O público tá lá e só lá? Será mesmo?
Que tal a gente refletir sobre isso? 💡
No Brasil, quem não tem receio da falta de uma regulação consistente das redes antes das eleições de 2026 é porque não está prestando atenção no que já está acontecendo em democracias consolidadas e com regulação em vigor.
In case you were wondering how things are going in Germany & on X, after Elon Musk announced his support for the far-right "Alternative für Deutschland" (AfD) in the upcoming Federal election:
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️
The chart below shows sums of tweets x impressions by members of parliament over the past 7 days...🧵⤵️
January 9, 2025 at 1:18 PM
No Brasil, quem não tem receio da falta de uma regulação consistente das redes antes das eleições de 2026 é porque não está prestando atenção no que já está acontecendo em democracias consolidadas e com regulação em vigor.
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
The course websites for my Spring 2025 causal inference and data visualization classes (both with #rstats) are live!
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
datavizsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
datavizsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
Program Evaluation for Public Service – Program Evaluation
Combine research design, causal inference, and econometric tools to measure the effects of social programs
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
January 8, 2025 at 6:11 PM
The course websites for my Spring 2025 causal inference and data visualization classes (both with #rstats) are live!
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
datavizsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
evalsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
datavizsp25.classes.andrewheiss.com
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
A few facts and thoughts on fact-checking 🧵
• Fact-checking is NOT in opposition to free speech and debates. It is a significant contribution to public discourse.
• Fact-checking works. Research shows how fact-checking can affect public perceptions and contribute to corrective mechanisms. [1/4]
• Fact-checking is NOT in opposition to free speech and debates. It is a significant contribution to public discourse.
• Fact-checking works. Research shows how fact-checking can affect public perceptions and contribute to corrective mechanisms. [1/4]
January 8, 2025 at 6:32 AM
A few facts and thoughts on fact-checking 🧵
• Fact-checking is NOT in opposition to free speech and debates. It is a significant contribution to public discourse.
• Fact-checking works. Research shows how fact-checking can affect public perceptions and contribute to corrective mechanisms. [1/4]
• Fact-checking is NOT in opposition to free speech and debates. It is a significant contribution to public discourse.
• Fact-checking works. Research shows how fact-checking can affect public perceptions and contribute to corrective mechanisms. [1/4]
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
🚨 Help, please, #RStats people!
What R functions do you tell students *not* to use?
e.g. I tell students not to use `attach()` or `setwd()`, and to use `read_csv()` (from readr) instead of `read.csv()`. What other functions should students avoid like the plague?
What R functions do you tell students *not* to use?
e.g. I tell students not to use `attach()` or `setwd()`, and to use `read_csv()` (from readr) instead of `read.csv()`. What other functions should students avoid like the plague?
January 7, 2025 at 2:55 PM
🚨 Help, please, #RStats people!
What R functions do you tell students *not* to use?
e.g. I tell students not to use `attach()` or `setwd()`, and to use `read_csv()` (from readr) instead of `read.csv()`. What other functions should students avoid like the plague?
What R functions do you tell students *not* to use?
e.g. I tell students not to use `attach()` or `setwd()`, and to use `read_csv()` (from readr) instead of `read.csv()`. What other functions should students avoid like the plague?
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
A New Complaint System for Prisoners in Belgium - > chapter in Just Prisons - free to read via this link: rdcu.be/d5qcr
link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
A New Complaint System for Prisoners in Belgium
This chapter introduces and reflects on the creation of a new complaint system in the prisons of Belgium. Since 1 October 2020, prisoners can file complaints with the newly created Complaint and Appea...
link.springer.com
January 4, 2025 at 4:03 PM
A New Complaint System for Prisoners in Belgium - > chapter in Just Prisons - free to read via this link: rdcu.be/d5qcr
link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
📢Do you want to have an impact on prison law and policy?
Check out our website for advocacy opportunities & subscribe for monthly updates on #prison news at European & international level! ➡️ https://buff.ly/47OZ6xJ
📖Our latest issue: https://buff.ly/41fbbek
🔍This month ⤵️
Check out our website for advocacy opportunities & subscribe for monthly updates on #prison news at European & international level! ➡️ https://buff.ly/47OZ6xJ
📖Our latest issue: https://buff.ly/41fbbek
🔍This month ⤵️
December 3, 2024 at 8:37 AM
📢Do you want to have an impact on prison law and policy?
Check out our website for advocacy opportunities & subscribe for monthly updates on #prison news at European & international level! ➡️ https://buff.ly/47OZ6xJ
📖Our latest issue: https://buff.ly/41fbbek
🔍This month ⤵️
Check out our website for advocacy opportunities & subscribe for monthly updates on #prison news at European & international level! ➡️ https://buff.ly/47OZ6xJ
📖Our latest issue: https://buff.ly/41fbbek
🔍This month ⤵️
What are the odds that, after not being able to present a paper at an event due to a canceled flight, four months later, on your second attempt to present the same paper at another event, your flight is delayed just enough for you to miss your next connecting flight, and your luggage is lost?
December 3, 2024 at 3:56 AM
What are the odds that, after not being able to present a paper at an event due to a canceled flight, four months later, on your second attempt to present the same paper at another event, your flight is delayed just enough for you to miss your next connecting flight, and your luggage is lost?
Is it just me, or have there been a growing number of follows by accounts that look like bots in the last week?
November 30, 2024 at 1:31 PM
Is it just me, or have there been a growing number of follows by accounts that look like bots in the last week?
Last day of work before a short break to attend the 8th International Prison Research Seminar at Universidade Estadual do Maranhão. Looking forward to discussing findings on judicial prison inspection trends in Brazil over the last two decades and exploring some hypotheses I've been working on.
8º Seminário Internacional de Pesquisa em Prisão - Grupos de Trabalho - GT 18: Monitoramento de locais de detenção: inspeções, controles e abertura dos espaços.
www.prisoes2024.sinteseeventos.com.br
November 29, 2024 at 2:30 PM
Last day of work before a short break to attend the 8th International Prison Research Seminar at Universidade Estadual do Maranhão. Looking forward to discussing findings on judicial prison inspection trends in Brazil over the last two decades and exploring some hypotheses I've been working on.
Reposted by Guilherme Dornelles
♨️ Hot off the press!
.
Here is a fascinating research article by Michel Tantardini & Eli J. Levine, exploring network and organizational factors that helped tackle #COVID19 in Pennsylvania using survey data from directors and analyzed through #QCA
.
🔗 doi.org/10.1002/pad....
.
Here is a fascinating research article by Michel Tantardini & Eli J. Levine, exploring network and organizational factors that helped tackle #COVID19 in Pennsylvania using survey data from directors and analyzed through #QCA
.
🔗 doi.org/10.1002/pad....
November 28, 2024 at 9:31 AM
♨️ Hot off the press!
.
Here is a fascinating research article by Michel Tantardini & Eli J. Levine, exploring network and organizational factors that helped tackle #COVID19 in Pennsylvania using survey data from directors and analyzed through #QCA
.
🔗 doi.org/10.1002/pad....
.
Here is a fascinating research article by Michel Tantardini & Eli J. Levine, exploring network and organizational factors that helped tackle #COVID19 in Pennsylvania using survey data from directors and analyzed through #QCA
.
🔗 doi.org/10.1002/pad....