And (6) "How Crises Shape Circles of Solidarity: Evidence From the COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy" by Jeremy Ferwerda, Gabriele Magni @gabrielemagni.bsky.social , Liesbet Hooghe @liesbethooghe.bsky.social , and Gary Marks

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Thank you, Quinn!

TL;DR: Group identity drives LGBTQ+ political behavior. Linked fate boosts turnout, liberal ideology, & Democratic support

LGBTQ+ voters are a key electoral bloc

11/11

Future studies should further explore political diversity within LGBTQ+ communities

They should explore barriers to voting, especially for trans individuals, who face ID & legal hurdles. Lower turnout in this group suggests systemic challenges

10/n

LGBTQ+ voters already leaned Democratic in 2020, but those with high linked fate were 3 percentage points more likely to vote for Biden

9/n

LGBTQ+ individuals with stronger linked fate are 8 percentage points more likely to identify as strong Democrats

GOP alignment is much lower in this group

8/n

LGBTQ+ linked fate correlates with liberal ideology

Even controlling for demographics and political attitudes, those with high linked fate lean significantly more liberal

7/n

LGBTQ+ voters with a strong sense of linked fate are more likely to vote

We found a 29 percentage point gap in turnout between those with high vs. low linked fate

6/n

LGBTQ+ linked fate is strongest among white, cisgender, gay and lesbian individuals, as well as those who have experienced discrimination

5/n

We develop the empirical analysis with an oversample of ∼2,000 LGBTQ+ Americans from the 2020 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Survey

4/n

We examine both the determinants of LGBTQ+ linked and its political consequences, including its impact on ideology, party ID, voter turnout, and vote choice

3/n

LGBTQ+ political behavior is shaped by group identity

Building on work in race and ethnic politics, we develop the concept of "LGBTQ+ linked fate," showing how a shared sense of destiny influences voting and ideology

2/n