Formula Data Analysis
@fdataanalysis.bsky.social
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⚙️ Performance Engineer, PhD in Motorcycle Dynamics
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⚙️ Performance Engineer, PhD in Motorcycle Dynamics
Unlock extra content: buymeacoffee.com/f1dataanalysis
Places to find me: linktr.ee/fdataanalysis
🚀 With a fresh power unit, Verstappen hit the highest top speed (346 km/h, same as low-drag Sauber) in his stunning charge from pit lane to the podium, despite an early puncture!
Reminiscent of Hamilton’s 2017/2021 Brazil comebacks
🏁 Fastest race pace too, even in traffic; full analysis tomorrow!
Reminiscent of Hamilton’s 2017/2021 Brazil comebacks
🏁 Fastest race pace too, even in traffic; full analysis tomorrow!
November 10, 2025 at 1:37 PM
🚀 With a fresh power unit, Verstappen hit the highest top speed (346 km/h, same as low-drag Sauber) in his stunning charge from pit lane to the podium, despite an early puncture!
Reminiscent of Hamilton’s 2017/2021 Brazil comebacks
🏁 Fastest race pace too, even in traffic; full analysis tomorrow!
Reminiscent of Hamilton’s 2017/2021 Brazil comebacks
🏁 Fastest race pace too, even in traffic; full analysis tomorrow!
AERO SETUP INFO FROM QUALIFYING (cannot be changed for the race)
Red Bull ran the least drag, Sauber the most
McL was quickest through excellent aero efficiency (low drag with high downforce)
What's your prediction for the race?
Red Bull ran the least drag, Sauber the most
McL was quickest through excellent aero efficiency (low drag with high downforce)
What's your prediction for the race?
November 8, 2025 at 9:58 PM
AERO SETUP INFO FROM QUALIFYING (cannot be changed for the race)
Red Bull ran the least drag, Sauber the most
McL was quickest through excellent aero efficiency (low drag with high downforce)
What's your prediction for the race?
Red Bull ran the least drag, Sauber the most
McL was quickest through excellent aero efficiency (low drag with high downforce)
What's your prediction for the race?
🏁#F1 SPRINT PACE
1)NOR
2)ANT +0.07s/lap
3)RUS +0.24
4)VER +0.35
5)LEC +0.72
6)HAM +0.85
7)ALO +0.90
Highest top speed: 351km/h (BEA)
Best off the line: OCO / Worst: STR
Aero setup info for qualifying/race in the first comment👇
1)NOR
2)ANT +0.07s/lap
3)RUS +0.24
4)VER +0.35
5)LEC +0.72
6)HAM +0.85
7)ALO +0.90
Highest top speed: 351km/h (BEA)
Best off the line: OCO / Worst: STR
Aero setup info for qualifying/race in the first comment👇
November 8, 2025 at 9:58 PM
🏁#F1 SPRINT PACE
1)NOR
2)ANT +0.07s/lap
3)RUS +0.24
4)VER +0.35
5)LEC +0.72
6)HAM +0.85
7)ALO +0.90
Highest top speed: 351km/h (BEA)
Best off the line: OCO / Worst: STR
Aero setup info for qualifying/race in the first comment👇
1)NOR
2)ANT +0.07s/lap
3)RUS +0.24
4)VER +0.35
5)LEC +0.72
6)HAM +0.85
7)ALO +0.90
Highest top speed: 351km/h (BEA)
Best off the line: OCO / Worst: STR
Aero setup info for qualifying/race in the first comment👇
NOR was just 0.014s behind VER in Sector 1, and quickest in the other 2. VER lost over 4 tenths in S2 alone!
Teams by ideal lap/sector
1)🟠McL/NOR (quick everywhere)
2)🟢Aston/ALO (well-rounded)
3)⚫️Merc (Struggled in S2, good S3)
4)🔵RBR/VER (Fantastic S1, disaster S2)
...
7)🔴Ferrari! Worst in S3
#F1
Teams by ideal lap/sector
1)🟠McL/NOR (quick everywhere)
2)🟢Aston/ALO (well-rounded)
3)⚫️Merc (Struggled in S2, good S3)
4)🔵RBR/VER (Fantastic S1, disaster S2)
...
7)🔴Ferrari! Worst in S3
#F1
November 7, 2025 at 10:21 PM
NOR was just 0.014s behind VER in Sector 1, and quickest in the other 2. VER lost over 4 tenths in S2 alone!
Teams by ideal lap/sector
1)🟠McL/NOR (quick everywhere)
2)🟢Aston/ALO (well-rounded)
3)⚫️Merc (Struggled in S2, good S3)
4)🔵RBR/VER (Fantastic S1, disaster S2)
...
7)🔴Ferrari! Worst in S3
#F1
Teams by ideal lap/sector
1)🟠McL/NOR (quick everywhere)
2)🟢Aston/ALO (well-rounded)
3)⚫️Merc (Struggled in S2, good S3)
4)🔵RBR/VER (Fantastic S1, disaster S2)
...
7)🔴Ferrari! Worst in S3
#F1
#BrazilGP WINGS 🇧🇷
Medium-load setups on average, but with plenty of variety:
• Medium-low: Mercedes, Racing Bulls (better if dry)
• Medium-high: Aston, Alpine, Haas (better if wet)
Big design contrasts: ‘V’-shaped lower plane for McL/Ferrari vs full-width for Red Bull
📸 @albertfabrega.bsky.social
Medium-load setups on average, but with plenty of variety:
• Medium-low: Mercedes, Racing Bulls (better if dry)
• Medium-high: Aston, Alpine, Haas (better if wet)
Big design contrasts: ‘V’-shaped lower plane for McL/Ferrari vs full-width for Red Bull
📸 @albertfabrega.bsky.social
November 6, 2025 at 4:25 PM
#BrazilGP WINGS 🇧🇷
Medium-load setups on average, but with plenty of variety:
• Medium-low: Mercedes, Racing Bulls (better if dry)
• Medium-high: Aston, Alpine, Haas (better if wet)
Big design contrasts: ‘V’-shaped lower plane for McL/Ferrari vs full-width for Red Bull
📸 @albertfabrega.bsky.social
Medium-load setups on average, but with plenty of variety:
• Medium-low: Mercedes, Racing Bulls (better if dry)
• Medium-high: Aston, Alpine, Haas (better if wet)
Big design contrasts: ‘V’-shaped lower plane for McL/Ferrari vs full-width for Red Bull
📸 @albertfabrega.bsky.social
What’s going on with Alpine? 🤔
In Mexico, every team went quicker in quali than last year - except for Alpine, which was 0.654s SLOWER!
GAS qualified 18th (8th last year)
They currently sit dead last in the WCC, their worst showing since 1978!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
In Mexico, every team went quicker in quali than last year - except for Alpine, which was 0.654s SLOWER!
GAS qualified 18th (8th last year)
They currently sit dead last in the WCC, their worst showing since 1978!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
November 4, 2025 at 1:42 PM
What’s going on with Alpine? 🤔
In Mexico, every team went quicker in quali than last year - except for Alpine, which was 0.654s SLOWER!
GAS qualified 18th (8th last year)
They currently sit dead last in the WCC, their worst showing since 1978!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
In Mexico, every team went quicker in quali than last year - except for Alpine, which was 0.654s SLOWER!
GAS qualified 18th (8th last year)
They currently sit dead last in the WCC, their worst showing since 1978!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
I performed a nonlinear regression using a simplified model of longitudinal dynamics:
P = m*v*a + 0.5*CxA*ρ^v^3
So:
P = (m*a+k*v2)*v
P = m*v*a + k^v^3
Engine power P and car mass m don’t change with DRS
I estimated k twice: first using instants without DRS, then with DRS (in quali→no tow)
P = m*v*a + 0.5*CxA*ρ^v^3
So:
P = (m*a+k*v2)*v
P = m*v*a + k^v^3
Engine power P and car mass m don’t change with DRS
I estimated k twice: first using instants without DRS, then with DRS (in quali→no tow)
November 1, 2025 at 1:19 PM
I performed a nonlinear regression using a simplified model of longitudinal dynamics:
P = m*v*a + 0.5*CxA*ρ^v^3
So:
P = (m*a+k*v2)*v
P = m*v*a + k^v^3
Engine power P and car mass m don’t change with DRS
I estimated k twice: first using instants without DRS, then with DRS (in quali→no tow)
P = m*v*a + 0.5*CxA*ρ^v^3
So:
P = (m*a+k*v2)*v
P = m*v*a + k^v^3
Engine power P and car mass m don’t change with DRS
I estimated k twice: first using instants without DRS, then with DRS (in quali→no tow)
So… I discovered something while digging through some old code of mine...
Remember 🔵Red Bull's 'godly' DRS from 2023? It's back!
In Mexico it reduced drag by an estimated 34.7% ✅
Others:
🟢Merc 34.0% ✅
🟠McL 27.1%
🔴Ferrari 21.4% ❌
Read on 👇 #F1
Remember 🔵Red Bull's 'godly' DRS from 2023? It's back!
In Mexico it reduced drag by an estimated 34.7% ✅
Others:
🟢Merc 34.0% ✅
🟠McL 27.1%
🔴Ferrari 21.4% ❌
Read on 👇 #F1
November 1, 2025 at 1:19 PM
So… I discovered something while digging through some old code of mine...
Remember 🔵Red Bull's 'godly' DRS from 2023? It's back!
In Mexico it reduced drag by an estimated 34.7% ✅
Others:
🟢Merc 34.0% ✅
🟠McL 27.1%
🔴Ferrari 21.4% ❌
Read on 👇 #F1
Remember 🔵Red Bull's 'godly' DRS from 2023? It's back!
In Mexico it reduced drag by an estimated 34.7% ✅
Others:
🟢Merc 34.0% ✅
🟠McL 27.1%
🔴Ferrari 21.4% ❌
Read on 👇 #F1
Gap to race winner through the laps: notice how close PIA was to the driver in front throughout the race!
October 30, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Gap to race winner through the laps: notice how close PIA was to the driver in front throughout the race!
⚪️BEA had the 2nd-best pace in his final stint, behind only PIA (though NOR, LEC, and VER had much more worn tyres by then)
PIA's was indeed slower than NOR, but his potential pace was way closer than it looked like 😉
PIA's was indeed slower than NOR, but his potential pace was way closer than it looked like 😉
October 30, 2025 at 2:47 PM
⚪️BEA had the 2nd-best pace in his final stint, behind only PIA (though NOR, LEC, and VER had much more worn tyres by then)
PIA's was indeed slower than NOR, but his potential pace was way closer than it looked like 😉
PIA's was indeed slower than NOR, but his potential pace was way closer than it looked like 😉
🟠Piastri’s race was ruined by traffic: was P9 after a poor quali and bad start, and only ran in free air during parts of the last stint!
In my view, a one-stopper would have helped, letting him pass those ahead (all on two stops) as they pitted
Can PIA reverse course? Can VER recover? 👀
In my view, a one-stopper would have helped, letting him pass those ahead (all on two stops) as they pitted
Can PIA reverse course? Can VER recover? 👀
October 30, 2025 at 2:47 PM
🟠Piastri’s race was ruined by traffic: was P9 after a poor quali and bad start, and only ran in free air during parts of the last stint!
In my view, a one-stopper would have helped, letting him pass those ahead (all on two stops) as they pitted
Can PIA reverse course? Can VER recover? 👀
In my view, a one-stopper would have helped, letting him pass those ahead (all on two stops) as they pitted
Can PIA reverse course? Can VER recover? 👀
MEXICO’S MOST COMPREHENSIVE PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
⛽️Fuel-corrected laptimes vs 🛞tyre age
Mediums or softs, fresh or worn - it didn’t matter: NOR had a huge ~0.4s advantage all else being equal!
Only exception: end of the soft stint, when VER and SAI were quickest!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
⛽️Fuel-corrected laptimes vs 🛞tyre age
Mediums or softs, fresh or worn - it didn’t matter: NOR had a huge ~0.4s advantage all else being equal!
Only exception: end of the soft stint, when VER and SAI were quickest!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
October 28, 2025 at 2:23 PM
MEXICO’S MOST COMPREHENSIVE PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
⛽️Fuel-corrected laptimes vs 🛞tyre age
Mediums or softs, fresh or worn - it didn’t matter: NOR had a huge ~0.4s advantage all else being equal!
Only exception: end of the soft stint, when VER and SAI were quickest!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
⛽️Fuel-corrected laptimes vs 🛞tyre age
Mediums or softs, fresh or worn - it didn’t matter: NOR had a huge ~0.4s advantage all else being equal!
Only exception: end of the soft stint, when VER and SAI were quickest!
Via JMP #YesJMPcan
🟠NOR was quickest… despite using one less tyre set than most! 😳
🟠PIA lost 0.15s/lap despite pitting twice
⚪️BEA was 3rd fastest, but not quick enough vs 🔵VER /🔴 LEC to offset the extra stop
Alpine slowest by far… no surprise!
#F1
🟠PIA lost 0.15s/lap despite pitting twice
⚪️BEA was 3rd fastest, but not quick enough vs 🔵VER /🔴 LEC to offset the extra stop
Alpine slowest by far… no surprise!
#F1
October 27, 2025 at 2:28 PM
🟠NOR was quickest… despite using one less tyre set than most! 😳
🟠PIA lost 0.15s/lap despite pitting twice
⚪️BEA was 3rd fastest, but not quick enough vs 🔵VER /🔴 LEC to offset the extra stop
Alpine slowest by far… no surprise!
#F1
🟠PIA lost 0.15s/lap despite pitting twice
⚪️BEA was 3rd fastest, but not quick enough vs 🔵VER /🔴 LEC to offset the extra stop
Alpine slowest by far… no surprise!
#F1
My page’s lore is getting richer and richer 🤣
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
October 27, 2025 at 9:18 AM
My page’s lore is getting richer and richer 🤣
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
My page’s lore is getting richer and richer 🤣
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
October 27, 2025 at 9:18 AM
My page’s lore is getting richer and richer 🤣
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
(By @racingstatistics.bsky.social)
Race pace analysis coming in a few hours: stay tuned!
All the long runs:
October 26, 2025 at 11:13 AM
All the long runs:
October 26, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Teams will run Monaco-like wings… yet reach speeds above Monza’s!
Compounds: C2/C4/C5
McLaren’s main weakness (high drag) will matter less here! #F1
Compounds: C2/C4/C5
McLaren’s main weakness (high drag) will matter less here! #F1
October 23, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Teams will run Monaco-like wings… yet reach speeds above Monza’s!
Compounds: C2/C4/C5
McLaren’s main weakness (high drag) will matter less here! #F1
Compounds: C2/C4/C5
McLaren’s main weakness (high drag) will matter less here! #F1
🇲🇽 Mexico’s 2285m altitude cuts air density by 20.7% ➡️ analogous drop in downforce, drag, cooling and engine air intake!
Keys to performance:
✅Being able to bolt on downforce (efficiently if possible)
✅Strong cooling capability
✅Large turbocharger, which can spin faster to burn the 100kg/h fuel flow
Keys to performance:
✅Being able to bolt on downforce (efficiently if possible)
✅Strong cooling capability
✅Large turbocharger, which can spin faster to burn the 100kg/h fuel flow
October 23, 2025 at 1:03 PM
🇲🇽 Mexico’s 2285m altitude cuts air density by 20.7% ➡️ analogous drop in downforce, drag, cooling and engine air intake!
Keys to performance:
✅Being able to bolt on downforce (efficiently if possible)
✅Strong cooling capability
✅Large turbocharger, which can spin faster to burn the 100kg/h fuel flow
Keys to performance:
✅Being able to bolt on downforce (efficiently if possible)
✅Strong cooling capability
✅Large turbocharger, which can spin faster to burn the 100kg/h fuel flow
Top speeds in quali, which are much better suited to assess which cars ran the most drag as the conditions (DRS + slipstream) are equivalent across the grid
October 21, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Top speeds in quali, which are much better suited to assess which cars ran the most drag as the conditions (DRS + slipstream) are equivalent across the grid
💡In a race, drag does not dictate which car reaches the highest top speed - the slipstream intensity does!
🟠NOR: LOWEST quali top speed (highest drag) yet HIGHEST AVERAGE top speed in the race (stuck behind LEC!)
🟢 STR hit 342 km/h, +19 km/h vs quali, where he was only 12th in the speed traps!
🟠NOR: LOWEST quali top speed (highest drag) yet HIGHEST AVERAGE top speed in the race (stuck behind LEC!)
🟢 STR hit 342 km/h, +19 km/h vs quali, where he was only 12th in the speed traps!
October 21, 2025 at 2:22 PM
💡In a race, drag does not dictate which car reaches the highest top speed - the slipstream intensity does!
🟠NOR: LOWEST quali top speed (highest drag) yet HIGHEST AVERAGE top speed in the race (stuck behind LEC!)
🟢 STR hit 342 km/h, +19 km/h vs quali, where he was only 12th in the speed traps!
🟠NOR: LOWEST quali top speed (highest drag) yet HIGHEST AVERAGE top speed in the race (stuck behind LEC!)
🟢 STR hit 342 km/h, +19 km/h vs quali, where he was only 12th in the speed traps!
Race pace last year, when Ferrari was quickest, clearly in front of McL and VER
Mercedes struggled last year; this year's improvement was far from enough to fight for a podium
Mercedes struggled last year; this year's improvement was far from enough to fight for a podium
October 20, 2025 at 12:24 PM
Race pace last year, when Ferrari was quickest, clearly in front of McL and VER
Mercedes struggled last year; this year's improvement was far from enough to fight for a podium
Mercedes struggled last year; this year's improvement was far from enough to fight for a podium