Emmy Probasco
@emmyprobasco.bsky.social
Technology and national security.
Something to consider when trying to use an LLM to summarize intel reports?
May 19, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Something to consider when trying to use an LLM to summarize intel reports?
There are lots of shades of gray between a coach and enforcer, I acknowledge, but regardless we must ask: Should AI override humans in combat? Could it prevent war crimes like My Lai — or create new dangers?
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
There are lots of shades of gray between a coach and enforcer, I acknowledge, but regardless we must ask: Should AI override humans in combat? Could it prevent war crimes like My Lai — or create new dangers?
Outside the U.S., enforcer-style AI may come sooner. China and Russia are exploring AI to make up for perceived weaknesses in junior leadership.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Outside the U.S., enforcer-style AI may come sooner. China and Russia are exploring AI to make up for perceived weaknesses in junior leadership.
Alternatively, a leader could deploy an AI as an enforcer in a way that might prevent or stop the next My Lai. But by using AI as an enforcer, they are diminishing the agency of the operators in the field.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Alternatively, a leader could deploy an AI as an enforcer in a way that might prevent or stop the next My Lai. But by using AI as an enforcer, they are diminishing the agency of the operators in the field.
A leader could deploy AI as a coach to try to prevent a violation of the laws of war, but that coach could be ignored and the leader may be criticized for not taking more decisive action.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
A leader could deploy AI as a coach to try to prevent a violation of the laws of war, but that coach could be ignored and the leader may be criticized for not taking more decisive action.
Choosing how to deploy AI: as a tool, coach, or enforcer is fundamentally a leadership issue. And leaders should think about the ethical dimensions of their choices. For example:
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Choosing how to deploy AI: as a tool, coach, or enforcer is fundamentally a leadership issue. And leaders should think about the ethical dimensions of their choices. For example:
But AI could also be deployed as an 🚓 enforcer: preventing or overriding human decisions when they run contrary to some specified goal.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
But AI could also be deployed as an 🚓 enforcer: preventing or overriding human decisions when they run contrary to some specified goal.
AI can also be thought of as a 🏋️ coach. Especially when it’s able to fuse information or interact with natural language to help an operator achieve a goal (for an easy comparison, think of something like an advanced nutrition or diet app on your phone).
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
AI can also be thought of as a 🏋️ coach. Especially when it’s able to fuse information or interact with natural language to help an operator achieve a goal (for an easy comparison, think of something like an advanced nutrition or diet app on your phone).
The thought experiment makes us consider how AI can be deployed. Most of the time, AI is thought of as a 🛠tool. A relatively limited assistant that can, for example, recognize objects and bring them to the attention of an operator.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
The thought experiment makes us consider how AI can be deployed. Most of the time, AI is thought of as a 🛠tool. A relatively limited assistant that can, for example, recognize objects and bring them to the attention of an operator.
Imagine a "Thompson drone" — flying overhead, spotting civilians, and warning troops in real time using voice alerts or text messages. This idea is an emerging technological possibility.
May 16, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Imagine a "Thompson drone" — flying overhead, spotting civilians, and warning troops in real time using voice alerts or text messages. This idea is an emerging technological possibility.
You can see their launch market analysis here. They will have another paper on the advanced tech market very soon! cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Shaping the U.S. Space Launch Market | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
The United States leads the world in space launch by nearly every measure: number of launches, total mass to orbit, satellite count, and more. SpaceX’s emergence has provided regular, reliable, and re...
cset.georgetown.edu
March 31, 2025 at 1:51 PM
You can see their launch market analysis here. They will have another paper on the advanced tech market very soon! cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Commercial space has come a long way, thanks in large part to early government investments (DOD and NASA) as well as federal action to promote innovation and competition. All credit to Michael O'Conner and @kathleencurlee.bsky.social for this analysis: cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...
Eyes Wide Open: Harnessing the Remote Sensing and Data Analysis Industries to Enhance National Security | Center for Security and Emerging Technology
The U.S. government has an opportunity to seize strategic advantages by working with the remote sensing and data analysis industries. Both grew rapidly over the last decade alongside technology improv...
cset.georgetown.edu
March 31, 2025 at 1:51 PM
Commercial space has come a long way, thanks in large part to early government investments (DOD and NASA) as well as federal action to promote innovation and competition. All credit to Michael O'Conner and @kathleencurlee.bsky.social for this analysis: cset.georgetown.edu/publication/...