Elias Eythorsson
@eliaseythorsson.bsky.social
Hospitalist. PhD in Epidemiology. Amateur statistician & prognostic modeler. Hope to grow up to be a trialist.
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
If you have a manuscript ready to submit in mid-December do you:
a) Submit in December (when editors are bombarded with manuscripts)
b) Hold off until mid-January to let the editors have a damn holiday already
a) Submit in December (when editors are bombarded with manuscripts)
b) Hold off until mid-January to let the editors have a damn holiday already
November 28, 2025 at 11:30 AM
If you have a manuscript ready to submit in mid-December do you:
a) Submit in December (when editors are bombarded with manuscripts)
b) Hold off until mid-January to let the editors have a damn holiday already
a) Submit in December (when editors are bombarded with manuscripts)
b) Hold off until mid-January to let the editors have a damn holiday already
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
{DAGassist} let's you process a DAG and estimate models giving {dagitty} input and baseline model #CausalSky #rstats
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
October 30, 2025 at 7:16 PM
{DAGassist} let's you process a DAG and estimate models giving {dagitty} input and baseline model #CausalSky #rstats
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
cran.r-project.org/web/packages... I think {ggdag} has more to offer for analysis of a DAG, while {DAGassist} is a one-stop package for classifying variables and getting estimates
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
every single tech idea is like “soon our robots will be capable of playing catch with your kid, freeing you up to spend more time working on your employers’ spreadsheets”
October 11, 2025 at 2:07 PM
every single tech idea is like “soon our robots will be capable of playing catch with your kid, freeing you up to spend more time working on your employers’ spreadsheets”
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
you know what fair
October 10, 2025 at 9:35 AM
you know what fair
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
CHATGPT: I understand where you're coming from. You worked really hard to get here, and now it's time to enjoy the fruit of your labors.
ISILDUR: So I should keep it? Elrond says I shouldn't
CHATGPT: The ring is precious. Sometimes friends don't have your best interests at heart.
ISILDUR: true
ISILDUR: So I should keep it? Elrond says I shouldn't
CHATGPT: The ring is precious. Sometimes friends don't have your best interests at heart.
ISILDUR: true
October 6, 2025 at 1:58 PM
CHATGPT: I understand where you're coming from. You worked really hard to get here, and now it's time to enjoy the fruit of your labors.
ISILDUR: So I should keep it? Elrond says I shouldn't
CHATGPT: The ring is precious. Sometimes friends don't have your best interests at heart.
ISILDUR: true
ISILDUR: So I should keep it? Elrond says I shouldn't
CHATGPT: The ring is precious. Sometimes friends don't have your best interests at heart.
ISILDUR: true
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
We didn't randomize, and there was no allocation concealment or blinding, and we can't really be sure what intervention they got or how the outcomes were measured, but we emulated a trial by drawing a DAG.
August 31, 2025 at 3:21 PM
We didn't randomize, and there was no allocation concealment or blinding, and we can't really be sure what intervention they got or how the outcomes were measured, but we emulated a trial by drawing a DAG.
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Perfectly stated Darren. Don’t anyone think this is an exaggeration. I’ve seen this in supposedly reputable cardiology journals, sometimes even with omission of “by drawing a DAG”.
We didn't randomize, and there was no allocation concealment or blinding, and we can't really be sure what intervention they got or how the outcomes were measured, but we emulated a trial by drawing a DAG.
September 1, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Perfectly stated Darren. Don’t anyone think this is an exaggeration. I’ve seen this in supposedly reputable cardiology journals, sometimes even with omission of “by drawing a DAG”.
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
So, the Cuban studies reporting near complete block of #SARSCOV2 / #COVID19 infection after high-risk exposures with 1M units may have been valid after all.
40k units were used once a day and cut infections by 40% 👇
academic.oup.com/cid/advance-...
The Nazoferon studies are also nice
40k units were used once a day and cut infections by 40% 👇
academic.oup.com/cid/advance-...
The Nazoferon studies are also nice
August 30, 2025 at 3:42 PM
So, the Cuban studies reporting near complete block of #SARSCOV2 / #COVID19 infection after high-risk exposures with 1M units may have been valid after all.
40k units were used once a day and cut infections by 40% 👇
academic.oup.com/cid/advance-...
The Nazoferon studies are also nice
40k units were used once a day and cut infections by 40% 👇
academic.oup.com/cid/advance-...
The Nazoferon studies are also nice
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Decongestion Secrets ("ammo" for rounds):
In a multi-center study of 283 acute heart failure patients, changes in renal filtration markers (cystatin C or creatinine) with aggressive diuresis were not associated with changes in markers of renal tubular injury (NAG, NGAL, or KIM-1)
In a multi-center study of 283 acute heart failure patients, changes in renal filtration markers (cystatin C or creatinine) with aggressive diuresis were not associated with changes in markers of renal tubular injury (NAG, NGAL, or KIM-1)
August 27, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Decongestion Secrets ("ammo" for rounds):
In a multi-center study of 283 acute heart failure patients, changes in renal filtration markers (cystatin C or creatinine) with aggressive diuresis were not associated with changes in markers of renal tubular injury (NAG, NGAL, or KIM-1)
In a multi-center study of 283 acute heart failure patients, changes in renal filtration markers (cystatin C or creatinine) with aggressive diuresis were not associated with changes in markers of renal tubular injury (NAG, NGAL, or KIM-1)
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
The paper about splines in R that I wish I had known about when I was learning splines in R.
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
A review of spline function procedures in R - BMC Medical Research Methodology
Background With progress on both the theoretical and the computational fronts the use of spline modelling has become an established tool in statistical regression analysis. An important issue in splin...
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com
August 22, 2025 at 4:51 PM
The paper about splines in R that I wish I had known about when I was learning splines in R.
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
ICU #POCUS "Secrets":
This is why some times we achieve perfect alignment of the cardiac probe with the interventricular septum (IVS) & record great 4-chamber clips and other times* we cannot even find the IVS (when there is AIR interposed between the heart apex and the probe):
This is why some times we achieve perfect alignment of the cardiac probe with the interventricular septum (IVS) & record great 4-chamber clips and other times* we cannot even find the IVS (when there is AIR interposed between the heart apex and the probe):
August 21, 2025 at 5:30 PM
ICU #POCUS "Secrets":
This is why some times we achieve perfect alignment of the cardiac probe with the interventricular septum (IVS) & record great 4-chamber clips and other times* we cannot even find the IVS (when there is AIR interposed between the heart apex and the probe):
This is why some times we achieve perfect alignment of the cardiac probe with the interventricular septum (IVS) & record great 4-chamber clips and other times* we cannot even find the IVS (when there is AIR interposed between the heart apex and the probe):
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Now on CRAN, ggdiagram is a #ggplot2 extension that draws diagrams programmatically in #Rstats. Allows for precise control in how objects, labels, and equations are placed in relation to each other.
wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...
wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...
August 20, 2025 at 10:43 AM
Now on CRAN, ggdiagram is a #ggplot2 extension that draws diagrams programmatically in #Rstats. Allows for precise control in how objects, labels, and equations are placed in relation to each other.
wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...
wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
New paper in @annalsofim.bsky.social
"50 ways to misinterpret clinical prediction models for treatment decisions”
--> Published version: www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/...
--> Open access version: arxiv.org/pdf/2402.17366
"50 ways to misinterpret clinical prediction models for treatment decisions”
--> Published version: www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/...
--> Open access version: arxiv.org/pdf/2402.17366
The Risks of Risk Assessment: Causal Blind Spots When Using Prediction Models for Treatment Decisions | Annals of Internal Medicine
Clinicians increasingly rely on prediction models to guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are developed using observational data that include some patients who have already receiv...
www.acpjournals.org
August 11, 2025 at 2:32 PM
New paper in @annalsofim.bsky.social
"50 ways to misinterpret clinical prediction models for treatment decisions”
--> Published version: www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/...
--> Open access version: arxiv.org/pdf/2402.17366
"50 ways to misinterpret clinical prediction models for treatment decisions”
--> Published version: www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/...
--> Open access version: arxiv.org/pdf/2402.17366
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
CVICU attending surveying the undifferentiated chaos of the MICU
August 4, 2025 at 1:37 PM
CVICU attending surveying the undifferentiated chaos of the MICU
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Exciting news, my first publication is out in #JIM !
#Amiodarone induced thyroid dysfunction: A high cumulative incidence in a nationwide cohort study in Iceland
We found a very high incidence of both #thyrotoxicosis and #hypothyroidism among amiodarone users
doi.org/10.1111/joim...
#Amiodarone induced thyroid dysfunction: A high cumulative incidence in a nationwide cohort study in Iceland
We found a very high incidence of both #thyrotoxicosis and #hypothyroidism among amiodarone users
doi.org/10.1111/joim...
July 17, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Exciting news, my first publication is out in #JIM !
#Amiodarone induced thyroid dysfunction: A high cumulative incidence in a nationwide cohort study in Iceland
We found a very high incidence of both #thyrotoxicosis and #hypothyroidism among amiodarone users
doi.org/10.1111/joim...
#Amiodarone induced thyroid dysfunction: A high cumulative incidence in a nationwide cohort study in Iceland
We found a very high incidence of both #thyrotoxicosis and #hypothyroidism among amiodarone users
doi.org/10.1111/joim...
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Intro: I'm an applied statistician & cognitive psychologist in methods reform. I am generally critical of popular reform thinking. Here are some of my blog posts. First, why replacing "power" with "precision" misses the point of power (it is precision!): richarddmorey.medium.com/power-and-pr...
Power and precision
Why the push for replacing “power” with “precision” is misguided
richarddmorey.medium.com
November 10, 2024 at 10:56 AM
Intro: I'm an applied statistician & cognitive psychologist in methods reform. I am generally critical of popular reform thinking. Here are some of my blog posts. First, why replacing "power" with "precision" misses the point of power (it is precision!): richarddmorey.medium.com/power-and-pr...
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
July 11, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
“Historically, no one lived past age 35”
"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"
"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"
There Were Still Old People When Life Expectancy Was 35.
A demography myth that won't die
jenndowd.substack.com
June 16, 2025 at 10:16 AM
“Historically, no one lived past age 35”
"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"
"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
very fun to read frederick douglass accurately describe the problem with the pardon power in 1867
June 5, 2025 at 11:56 AM
very fun to read frederick douglass accurately describe the problem with the pardon power in 1867
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
I finally understood B-splines by working through the Cox-deBoor algorithm step-by-step, discovering they’re just weighted combo of basis functions that make non-linear regression linear. What surprised me is going through Bayesian statistics helped me understand the engine behind the model! #rstats
Understanding Basis Spline (B-spline) By Working Through Cox-deBoor Algorithm | Everyday Is A School Day
I finally understood B-splines by working through the Cox-deBoor algorithm step-by-step, discovering they're just weighted combinations of basis functions that make non-linear regression linear. What ...
www.kenkoonwong.com
June 4, 2025 at 12:44 AM
I finally understood B-splines by working through the Cox-deBoor algorithm step-by-step, discovering they’re just weighted combo of basis functions that make non-linear regression linear. What surprised me is going through Bayesian statistics helped me understand the engine behind the model! #rstats
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
A long long time ago, in a far away galaxy... the US used to tax the rich
May 23, 2025 at 8:19 PM
A long long time ago, in a far away galaxy... the US used to tax the rich
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
wife: how was guarding the two paths today, honey?
guard: [looking away] fine
wife: did something happen?
guard: [tearing up] no
wife: would the other guard tell me something happened?
guard: [looking away] fine
wife: did something happen?
guard: [tearing up] no
wife: would the other guard tell me something happened?
May 18, 2025 at 9:13 PM
wife: how was guarding the two paths today, honey?
guard: [looking away] fine
wife: did something happen?
guard: [tearing up] no
wife: would the other guard tell me something happened?
guard: [looking away] fine
wife: did something happen?
guard: [tearing up] no
wife: would the other guard tell me something happened?
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
At some point there’s going to be a Star Wars film that tells the story of the person telling a story of events that happened “a long time ago in a galaxy far far away”
May 15, 2025 at 6:32 PM
At some point there’s going to be a Star Wars film that tells the story of the person telling a story of events that happened “a long time ago in a galaxy far far away”
Reposted by Elias Eythorsson
Me revising my manuscript for submission:
May 15, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Me revising my manuscript for submission: