-Marcus Aurelius.
TL;DR: Strikes without partners = spectacle. Strikes with partners and population support = disruption.
TL;DR: Strikes without partners = spectacle. Strikes with partners and population support = disruption.
Bottom line: build the partnered intelligence and exploitation architecture first. Let airpower enable arrests and exploitation. Fires should support the casework, not substitute for it.
Bottom line: build the partnered intelligence and exploitation architecture first. Let airpower enable arrests and exploitation. Fires should support the casework, not substitute for it.
Measure what matters: network-tied seizures, high-value facilitators neutralized, financial nodes disrupted, follow-on cases filed, and corridor violence down. FLIR footage is PR, not progress.
Measure what matters: network-tied seizures, high-value facilitators neutralized, financial nodes disrupted, follow-on cases filed, and corridor violence down. FLIR footage is PR, not progress.
Plan around mobile SAMs and fighters and the mission warps into SEAD and survivability problems. That burns resources with weak linkage to interdiction outcomes.
Plan around mobile SAMs and fighters and the mission warps into SEAD and survivability problems. That burns resources with weak linkage to interdiction outcomes.
Legitimacy is a force multiplier. Host-nation consent and local population support enable access, informants, deconfliction, and restraint. Lose that and you gift cartels recruiting material and propaganda.
Legitimacy is a force multiplier. Host-nation consent and local population support enable access, informants, deconfliction, and restraint. Lose that and you gift cartels recruiting material and propaganda.
Adversaries adapt fast and cheap. Labs reconstitute, crops shift valleys, routes jump to rivers or semi-subs. If you bring fires alone, networks disperse and reaggregate. Availability, purity, and price barely move.
Adversaries adapt fast and cheap. Labs reconstitute, crops shift valleys, routes jump to rivers or semi-subs. If you bring fires alone, networks disperse and reaggregate. Availability, purity, and price barely move.
F3EAD is the kill chain that matters: Find, Fix, Finish, Exploit, Analyze, Disseminate. Without host-nation cops, prosecutors, and intel cells, you cannot do the back half.
F3EAD is the kill chain that matters: Find, Fix, Finish, Exploit, Analyze, Disseminate. Without host-nation cops, prosecutors, and intel cells, you cannot do the back half.
Effects come from exploitation, not explosions. You can collapse a lab with precision fires, but durable impact comes when teams roll the site, exploit devices, flip enablers, map finance, and run follow-on warrants.
Effects come from exploitation, not explosions. You can collapse a lab with precision fires, but durable impact comes when teams roll the site, exploit devices, flip enablers, map finance, and run follow-on warrants.
COIN/CN from the air only works if target development is king. Jungle canopy and mountains demand fused HUMINT, SIGINT, GEOINT, plus pattern-of-life. You cannot solve that from a carrier deck.
COIN/CN from the air only works if target development is king. Jungle canopy and mountains demand fused HUMINT, SIGINT, GEOINT, plus pattern-of-life. You cannot solve that from a carrier deck.