Doron Ravid
doronravid.bsky.social
Doron Ravid
@doronravid.bsky.social
Economic theorist at UChicago, doronravid.com. Does both game theory and game practice.
I agree with Justin's sentiment, but cicadas are a bad benchmark: they usually live for 13 or 17 years if they are periodical...
May 26, 2025 at 12:02 PM
People then react to that uncertainty the same way they react to uncertainty in experiments. So the causality DAG is

"complexity"-> uncertainty,

rather than

uncertainty -> "complexity",

as Oprea suggests.
May 1, 2025 at 8:55 AM
It talks about evaluations, but actually shows that hard to evaluate decisions (many call complexity, but I disagree with that terminology) can lead one to mentally represent a problem as having uncertainty.
May 1, 2025 at 8:54 AM
I think an interesting point is hidden in this paper:

paolamoscariello.github.io/Files/Cautio...
May 1, 2025 at 8:54 AM