Dustin Benton
@dbenton.bsky.social
Sustainability MD Forefront Advisers. Prev:@GreenAllianceUK; Chief Analyst @food_strategy. Generic personal achievement. Folksy identifier. Humblebrag. #hashtag
Reposted by Dustin Benton
OBR reckons pay per mile for EVs "is likely to reduce demand for electric cars as it increases their lifetime cost". Expecting 440k fewer sales through to 2030 compared to previous forecast, offset by a 130k increase in sales from more funding for the government's grant scheme'.
November 26, 2025 at 12:46 PM
OBR reckons pay per mile for EVs "is likely to reduce demand for electric cars as it increases their lifetime cost". Expecting 440k fewer sales through to 2030 compared to previous forecast, offset by a 130k increase in sales from more funding for the government's grant scheme'.
Assuming your gas boiler is 90% efficient, your heat pump needs to have a SCOP of 3.6 to break even.
This is certainly achievable - my heat pump is comfortably above this. But I had a really good installer.
This is certainly achievable - my heat pump is comfortably above this. But I had a really good installer.
November 26, 2025 at 1:14 PM
Assuming your gas boiler is 90% efficient, your heat pump needs to have a SCOP of 3.6 to break even.
This is certainly achievable - my heat pump is comfortably above this. But I had a really good installer.
This is certainly achievable - my heat pump is comfortably above this. But I had a really good installer.
Reposted by Dustin Benton
This will reduce the price of electricity, good for bills and will make the transition easier. But because of other levies (nuclear, correcting two decades of underinvestment in the grid), electricity will still be around 4x the cost of gas.
November 26, 2025 at 12:37 PM
This will reduce the price of electricity, good for bills and will make the transition easier. But because of other levies (nuclear, correcting two decades of underinvestment in the grid), electricity will still be around 4x the cost of gas.
Probably re 2030. Re your point about solar, I've done no modelling, but have wondered whether a big surge in (v cheap) solar might do two things for CP2030: 1) increase exports in the summer which count against one of the two subtargets; 2) make summer prices cheap, helping cut annual bills.
October 27, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Probably re 2030. Re your point about solar, I've done no modelling, but have wondered whether a big surge in (v cheap) solar might do two things for CP2030: 1) increase exports in the summer which count against one of the two subtargets; 2) make summer prices cheap, helping cut annual bills.
You are right - AR6 had £455m for technologies other than offshore wind. Fixed offshore wind had £1.1bn though, after the uplift in budget, no?
October 27, 2025 at 4:35 PM
You are right - AR6 had £455m for technologies other than offshore wind. Fixed offshore wind had £1.1bn though, after the uplift in budget, no?
Reposted by Dustin Benton
imo, the obliteration of of the IRA Waste Emissions Charge (the "methane rule") is an underdiscussed loss with global ripple effects.
the EPA had a solid framework for identifying & abating cheap, high-impact GHG emissions in up/midstream gas. it's all gone now. the EU methane reg stands alone.
the EPA had a solid framework for identifying & abating cheap, high-impact GHG emissions in up/midstream gas. it's all gone now. the EU methane reg stands alone.
October 21, 2025 at 5:54 AM
imo, the obliteration of of the IRA Waste Emissions Charge (the "methane rule") is an underdiscussed loss with global ripple effects.
the EPA had a solid framework for identifying & abating cheap, high-impact GHG emissions in up/midstream gas. it's all gone now. the EU methane reg stands alone.
the EPA had a solid framework for identifying & abating cheap, high-impact GHG emissions in up/midstream gas. it's all gone now. the EU methane reg stands alone.
The question for me is less whether you can, but whether you should. The UK promised investors that the RO renewables would operate according to a set formula. The best alternative to RO I have seen is Imperial's Pot Zero idea, but when govt tried it voluntarily nobody signed up...
October 6, 2025 at 2:04 PM
The question for me is less whether you can, but whether you should. The UK promised investors that the RO renewables would operate according to a set formula. The best alternative to RO I have seen is Imperial's Pot Zero idea, but when govt tried it voluntarily nobody signed up...
- CfDs: £29/y but varies (would break contract law)
- ETS costs vary but killing the ETS means no EU electricity deal, which might even put bills up in net terms.
Of these, only CPS doesn't involve retrospective change that would destroy investor confidence.
- ETS costs vary but killing the ETS means no EU electricity deal, which might even put bills up in net terms.
Of these, only CPS doesn't involve retrospective change that would destroy investor confidence.
October 6, 2025 at 12:01 PM
- CfDs: £29/y but varies (would break contract law)
- ETS costs vary but killing the ETS means no EU electricity deal, which might even put bills up in net terms.
Of these, only CPS doesn't involve retrospective change that would destroy investor confidence.
- ETS costs vary but killing the ETS means no EU electricity deal, which might even put bills up in net terms.
Of these, only CPS doesn't involve retrospective change that would destroy investor confidence.
Does the example of Pakistan not make you think maybe demand growth is instead met by solar in sunbelt countries like Vietnam? Much more spare capacity in the solar supply chain.
October 2, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Does the example of Pakistan not make you think maybe demand growth is instead met by solar in sunbelt countries like Vietnam? Much more spare capacity in the solar supply chain.