Andrew Miller
andrewmilleryyz.bsky.social
Andrew Miller
@andrewmilleryyz.bsky.social
Principal, Paladin Consulting
Fellow, Roots of Progress Institute
Substack, CHANGING LANES: ChangingLanesNewsletter.com
For the full analysis on why robotaxis won't replace traditional taxis by 2027 (as Pueyo suggests), read my newsletter: www.changinglanesnewsletter.com/p/contra-pue...
Contra Pueyo on Robotaxis
Robotaxis won't be everywhere soon, and it's unclear that Tesla has an edge
www.changinglanesnewsletter.com
March 19, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Like most technological transformations, robotaxis will follow an S-curve: slow at first, then accelerating as technical, regulatory, and infrastructure hurdles are cleared

Don't delay your next car purchase expecting robotaxis to make ownership obsolete next year
March 19, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Nor is the Tesla vs. Waymo race as clear-cut as he thinks

Tesla has data volume, but Waymo has quality data specifically for robotaxis

Company culture matters too—Waymo's methodical approach versus Tesla's push-forward mentality will play out differently with regulators
March 19, 2025 at 5:40 PM
The challenges are significant:

🐁 The "long tail" problem in automated driving is harder than it looks

📚 Regulatory approval is a maze of jurisdictions

❄️ Weather conditions still baffle these systems

🏗️ Infrastructure isn't ready
March 19, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Read my full review in the latest issue of CHANGING LANES:
www.changinglanesnewsletter.com/p/book-revie...
Book Review: Tyler Cowen's Stubborn Attachments
Pursuing economic growth is morally required
www.changinglanesnewsletter.com
March 6, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Cowen wrote this in 2018 but it's still topical, as his framework allows us to think critically about the economic policy of our moment: not only tariffs, but also government rebates
March 6, 2025 at 4:58 PM
As I write, "The real power of STUBBORN ATTACHMENTS [is] not in providing us with a skeleton key to unlock every policy problem, but in helping us recognize what is at stake in our policymaking..."
March 6, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Cowen argues that prioritizing short-term consumption over long-term investment harms future generations... while pursuing investment has the potential to solve distribution and aggregation problems

The first is a breathtakingly audacious claim, but his argument won me over
March 6, 2025 at 4:58 PM
February 27, 2025 at 3:34 PM
February 27, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Is that true? It's not intuitive, certainly. There's no faster way to get from Toronto to Ottawa than flying, but there are three flights in the next four hours
February 26, 2025 at 10:44 PM
You don't think more frequent service would be an improvement?
February 26, 2025 at 9:59 PM
Canada should do absolutely nothing about improving rail in that corridor? When did I say that?

IIRC, I said Canada should pursue High Frequency Rail instead, as the better rail-based solution
INDIA Train Travel Information | railcc
General train travel information for INDIA. Rail travel tours, accommodation, sightseeing.
rail.in
February 26, 2025 at 8:27 PM
Our future lies not in pretending to be a dense and compact European country, but in solving the challenges that come with being Canada (5/5)

Read more in the latest issue of CHANGING LANES:
www.changinglanesnewsletter.com/p/canada-sho...
Canada Should Make Air Travel Sustainable
The national transportation project that Canada should pursue
www.changinglanesnewsletter.com
February 26, 2025 at 5:32 PM
The cost? ~$50B over 15 years - comparable to proposed HSR, but with benefits that reach every Canadian city and create exportable technology the whole world needs (4/5)
February 26, 2025 at 5:32 PM
We already have the pieces: agricultural/forestry biomass, renewable energy capacity, and aerospace expertise. A national sustainable aviation initiative would create opportunities across ALL regions, not just the Toronto-Montreal corridor (3/5)
February 26, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Canada's geography makes HSR impractical for most of the country. But our vast distances and dispersed population centers are perfect for a sustainable aviation revolution combining SAF (sustainable aviation fuel) and electric aircraft (2/5)
February 26, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Read more in the latest issue of CHANGING LANES:
changinglanesnewsletter.com/p/canada-sho...
(6/6)
Canada Shouldn’t Build High-Speed Rail
It is still the time in this fair land for that railroad not to run
changinglanesnewsletter.com
February 20, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Most importantly: the timing is wrong

This is a lame-duck PM's Hail Mary pass. We should stick to the original plan: build high-frequency rail first, develop the ridership and expertise, then transition to HSR

Less romantic, more realistic
5/6
February 20, 2025 at 2:10 PM