Alex Rossell Hayes
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Alex Rossell Hayes
@alxrh.bsky.social
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Senior Data Scientist, @today.yougov.com
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5/🧵 Race divides the Democratic Party more than it does Republicans. Young Republicans remain almost as racially resentful as older Republicans. But among Democrats and independents, massive shifts. White Gen Z independents have lower racial resentment than Boomer Democrats.
Racial Resentment Among White Americans by Age and Party A single line chart showing racial resentment scores for White Americans by birth year (1940–2000) split by party identification: Republican (orange), Independent (yellow), and Democrat (blue). Y-axis shows resentment levels; X-axis shows birth year and approximate ages. Republicans have the highest resentment across all cohorts, with scores increasing sharply among older generations and stabilizing at high levels. Independents occupy the middle, with a steady rise from younger to older cohorts. Democrats remain lowest, rising gradually among older birth years but maintaining a wide gap from Republicans and Independents. Shaded confidence bands widen for older cohorts.
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM
alxrh.bsky.social
Americans are more likely to disapprove of ICE after answering questions about ICE's treatment of citizens vs. questions about treatment of immigrants. That suggests news about ICE mistreating citizens could particularly weaken public support.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
Americans who were asked about their evaluation of ICE after questions about ICE's treatment of U.S. citizens were 7 percentage points more likely to disapprove of ICE than those who had just seen questions about ICE's treatment of authorized immigrants (56% vs. 49%) and 5 percentage points less likely to approve (36% vs. 41%). This effect goes in the same direction among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans. In all three groups, respondents who were first asked about ICE's treatment of citizens were between 5 and 7 percentage points more likely to disapprove of ICE than those who were first asked about authorized immigrants.
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM
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Over half of Americans think ICE sometimes or often wrongfully arrests and deports citizens and authorized immigrants. Majorities say that ICE uses unnecessary force against citizens and immigrants regardless of their immigration status.

today.yougov.com/politics/art... (@today.yougov.com)
Majorities of Americans say that ICE sometimes or often arrests U.S. citizens (55%) and immigrants who are authorized to live in the U.S. (61%) who have not committed any immigration or customs violations. Far smaller shares of Americans think that ICE rarely or never wrongfully arrests U.S. citizens (31%) and authorized immigrants (29%). Large majorities of Democrats think ICE sometimes or often wrongfully arrests U.S. citizens (84%) and authorized immigrants (86%). Majorities of Independents say the same (58% about citizens and 68% about immigrants) but only small shares of Republicans do (24% and 29%). Majorities of Republicans think ICE rarely or never wrongfully arrests U.S. citizens (61%) or authorized immigrants (60%). About half (51%) of Americans say ICE sometimes or often deports U.S. citizens who have not committed any immigration or customs violations, and a majority (56%) say the same about authorized immigrants. Large majorities of Democrats say that ICE sometimes or often wrongfully deports U.S. citizens (78%) and authorized immigrants (87%). Majorities of Independents also say U.S. citizens (53%) and authorized immigrants (61%) are sometimes or often wrongfully deported but only small shares of Republicans do (23% and 22%). About two-thirds of Republicans say that U.S. citizens (64%) are rarely or never wrongfully deported and a similar proportion (67%) say the same about authorized immigrants. Majorities of Americans say that ICE sometimes or often uses unnecessary physical force in its interactions with U.S. citizens (59%), authorized immigrants (60%), and immigrants who are not authorized to live in the U.S. (64%). For each of these three groups, less than one-third of Americans say ICE rarely or never uses unnecessary force (30% against citizens, 29% against authorized immigrants, and 27% against unauthorized immigrants). Most Democrats and Independents think that ICE uses unnecessary physical force. For each of the three groups — citizens, authorized immigrants, and unauthorized immigrants — about 90% of Democrats, about two-thirds of Independents, and between about one-quarter and one-third of Republicans say ICE uses unnecessary force. Republicans are more likely to say that ICE rarely or never uses unnecessary force: 62% say unnecessary force is rarely used against citizens, 60% against authorized immigrants, and 56% against unauthorized immigrants.
November 14, 2025 at 8:58 PM