@wavebidder.bsky.social
Applied Mathematician turned infectious disease forecaster. Generally EA aligned.
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Every regulation written in blood
November 12, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Every regulation written in blood
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"babies are born worshipping unknown gods" is one of the most incredible dwarf fortress bugs i have heard of. its poetry.
November 11, 2025 at 4:18 PM
"babies are born worshipping unknown gods" is one of the most incredible dwarf fortress bugs i have heard of. its poetry.
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Aurora color guide! What creates the different shades?
Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes
The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event
Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes
The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event
November 12, 2025 at 3:34 AM
Aurora color guide! What creates the different shades?
Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes
The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event
Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes
The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event
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"I can generate photorealistic video but not solve simple visual puzzles" is an insane place to be
November 11, 2025 at 8:57 PM
"I can generate photorealistic video but not solve simple visual puzzles" is an insane place to be
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America's safety net is gossamer thin, but I know that had I been born elsewhere, I would be dead by now. We are being led by a cadre of spoiled, ignorant Darwinists who do not realize that they have not survived because they are special or hardier, but because of wealth handed down to them.
November 10, 2025 at 4:20 AM
America's safety net is gossamer thin, but I know that had I been born elsewhere, I would be dead by now. We are being led by a cadre of spoiled, ignorant Darwinists who do not realize that they have not survived because they are special or hardier, but because of wealth handed down to them.
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Nothing better underscores that Dems have no values or beliefs than the fact that they called every issue except ACA subsidies a distraction and then proceeded to fully capitulate on ACA subsidies
November 10, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Nothing better underscores that Dems have no values or beliefs than the fact that they called every issue except ACA subsidies a distraction and then proceeded to fully capitulate on ACA subsidies
tech "gift from a mobster" it is
the "tech debt" metaphor primes people for bad intuitions
debts have a strict lending schedule, and refinancing if you're in a pinch
debtors don't wake up Tuesday at 3am and set part of your business afire unless you pay them off
the only part that really fits is the carrying cost
debts have a strict lending schedule, and refinancing if you're in a pinch
debtors don't wake up Tuesday at 3am and set part of your business afire unless you pay them off
the only part that really fits is the carrying cost
November 9, 2025 at 7:43 PM
tech "gift from a mobster" it is
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this is what I want people to assert:
November 9, 2025 at 3:25 PM
this is what I want people to assert:
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Man, the cameras on these phones are getting pretty good. The second photo is a zoom-in of the first.
November 8, 2025 at 12:40 PM
Man, the cameras on these phones are getting pretty good. The second photo is a zoom-in of the first.
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this should be one of defining images of his second term, because its impossible to tell from looking at it whether he is too indifferent to care or too senile to notice
November 7, 2025 at 1:05 PM
this should be one of defining images of his second term, because its impossible to tell from looking at it whether he is too indifferent to care or too senile to notice
The clear conclusion: to increase your (subjective) lifespan, give yourself a massive bout of amnesia
November 6, 2025 at 10:48 PM
The clear conclusion: to increase your (subjective) lifespan, give yourself a massive bout of amnesia
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In finnish monster is 'hirviö' basically moose-ish.
November 6, 2025 at 2:26 PM
In finnish monster is 'hirviö' basically moose-ish.
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Based on the frequency of me typing it, I'm thinking about creating a new testhat package, presumably for testing hats.
November 6, 2025 at 2:40 PM
Based on the frequency of me typing it, I'm thinking about creating a new testhat package, presumably for testing hats.
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[P] Found a higher-quality photo; IT *IS* TAPED UP SHEETS OF PAPER!
November 5, 2025 at 8:56 PM
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New-to-me but very helpful visualizations how all the actions of the past ten months are affecting the CDC www.cdcdataproject.org
The CDC Data Project
In the proposed FY26 budget, programs that help Americans live safer, healthier, longer lives are on the chopping block.
www.cdcdataproject.org
November 4, 2025 at 7:41 PM
New-to-me but very helpful visualizations how all the actions of the past ten months are affecting the CDC www.cdcdataproject.org
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Happy My Car Clock Is Right Again Day to all who celebrate! 🚗 🕙
November 2, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Happy My Car Clock Is Right Again Day to all who celebrate! 🚗 🕙
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Join the depression study, Shinji
November 1, 2025 at 10:32 PM
Join the depression study, Shinji
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"the main practical result of rationalism is... for rationalizing doing the work of evil"
...and the RAISE Act, and SB 53, and donations to the AMF and GiveDirectly, and Prop 12, and mechinterp as a field, and the closest attempt anyone's made to kicking Sam Altman out of power at OpenAI
...and the RAISE Act, and SB 53, and donations to the AMF and GiveDirectly, and Prop 12, and mechinterp as a field, and the closest attempt anyone's made to kicking Sam Altman out of power at OpenAI
the main practical result of rationalism is creating a priesthood and ethos for rationalizing doing the work of evil. it's a recruiting pipeline for openai, palantir, anduril, all of elon's shops.
it's legitimately horrifying. that many of those involved refuse to confront it is often infuriating
it's legitimately horrifying. that many of those involved refuse to confront it is often infuriating
November 1, 2025 at 7:16 PM
"the main practical result of rationalism is... for rationalizing doing the work of evil"
...and the RAISE Act, and SB 53, and donations to the AMF and GiveDirectly, and Prop 12, and mechinterp as a field, and the closest attempt anyone's made to kicking Sam Altman out of power at OpenAI
...and the RAISE Act, and SB 53, and donations to the AMF and GiveDirectly, and Prop 12, and mechinterp as a field, and the closest attempt anyone's made to kicking Sam Altman out of power at OpenAI
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Chiang Kai-shek is historically remembered as a rightist and anti-Communist. But at the time, the KMT was widely feared as radical left and was allied with the CCP, which had been integrated into its ranks on Stalin's orders.
Nov. 1, 1925: Soldiers of the Whampoa Military Academy led by Kuomintang officer Chiang Kai-shek eat noodles on the go in Canton (Guangzhou), China.
November 1, 2025 at 2:12 PM
Chiang Kai-shek is historically remembered as a rightist and anti-Communist. But at the time, the KMT was widely feared as radical left and was allied with the CCP, which had been integrated into its ranks on Stalin's orders.
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🪱 🪱 🪱 happy halloween from me and approximately 5,999,999 other demons 🪱 🪱 🪱
to my friends who asked what i’m dressed as, here’s your excuse to go read Kill 6 Billion Demons so we can twirl our hair and kick our feet while gabbing about a great comic together
to my friends who asked what i’m dressed as, here’s your excuse to go read Kill 6 Billion Demons so we can twirl our hair and kick our feet while gabbing about a great comic together
November 1, 2025 at 12:51 AM
🪱 🪱 🪱 happy halloween from me and approximately 5,999,999 other demons 🪱 🪱 🪱
to my friends who asked what i’m dressed as, here’s your excuse to go read Kill 6 Billion Demons so we can twirl our hair and kick our feet while gabbing about a great comic together
to my friends who asked what i’m dressed as, here’s your excuse to go read Kill 6 Billion Demons so we can twirl our hair and kick our feet while gabbing about a great comic together
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I’m putting phishing training in my Halloween candy this year.
October 31, 2025 at 12:18 PM
I’m putting phishing training in my Halloween candy this year.
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This is just to say
I have looked on
the works
that were in
the desert
and which
you were probably
thinking
would still stand
Forgive me
they were trunkless
so vast
and so old
I have looked on
the works
that were in
the desert
and which
you were probably
thinking
would still stand
Forgive me
they were trunkless
so vast
and so old
Once upon a desert sandy
As through winds the trav'ling man he
Spied the face of Ozymandy
Lying, simply lying there
Suddenly there was some writing
Pon the plinth that he was sighting
That the sand and time were blighting
Quoth the statue, "Now despair"
As through winds the trav'ling man he
Spied the face of Ozymandy
Lying, simply lying there
Suddenly there was some writing
Pon the plinth that he was sighting
That the sand and time were blighting
Quoth the statue, "Now despair"
There was an old man you could gaze
At his works in despair in a daze
If you looked upon them
And were mere mortal men
'Ozymandias mighty', it says
At his works in despair in a daze
If you looked upon them
And were mere mortal men
'Ozymandias mighty', it says
October 30, 2025 at 12:53 AM
This is just to say
I have looked on
the works
that were in
the desert
and which
you were probably
thinking
would still stand
Forgive me
they were trunkless
so vast
and so old
I have looked on
the works
that were in
the desert
and which
you were probably
thinking
would still stand
Forgive me
they were trunkless
so vast
and so old