Maria Gargiulo
@thegargiulian.bsky.social
human rights researcher worrying about missing data at LSHTM & HRDAG | she/ella
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Today we express gratitude to all the survivors who shared their stories with our research teams, from Guatemala to South Africa to the United States and beyond, as we researched and analyzed state violence.
Your stories help pave the way for justice and accountability.
Your stories help pave the way for justice and accountability.
November 27, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Today we express gratitude to all the survivors who shared their stories with our research teams, from Guatemala to South Africa to the United States and beyond, as we researched and analyzed state violence.
Your stories help pave the way for justice and accountability.
Your stories help pave the way for justice and accountability.
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: quantity vs quality
compare 2 surveys:
1. 100% coverage, but response probability P[R = 1 | Y] differs a lot by Y
2. Only 5% coverage, but P[R = 1 | Y] is roughly constant across Y
which would you use ? both ?
compare 2 surveys:
1. 100% coverage, but response probability P[R = 1 | Y] differs a lot by Y
2. Only 5% coverage, but P[R = 1 | Y] is roughly constant across Y
which would you use ? both ?
November 25, 2025 at 9:58 PM
blog post: quantity vs quality
compare 2 surveys:
1. 100% coverage, but response probability P[R = 1 | Y] differs a lot by Y
2. Only 5% coverage, but P[R = 1 | Y] is roughly constant across Y
which would you use ? both ?
compare 2 surveys:
1. 100% coverage, but response probability P[R = 1 | Y] differs a lot by Y
2. Only 5% coverage, but P[R = 1 | Y] is roughly constant across Y
which would you use ? both ?
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
“As researchers and research activists, it’s our responsibility to question what gets measured and reported and how” - @thegargiulian.bsky.social discusses the importance of mortality estimation research
November 25, 2025 at 6:55 PM
“As researchers and research activists, it’s our responsibility to question what gets measured and reported and how” - @thegargiulian.bsky.social discusses the importance of mortality estimation research
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
So excited to see this piece out in Demography. We find that exposure to community-level homicides is associated with higher probabilities of contraceptive first use and provision.
This paper forms the basis of my ERC Starting Grant on how local violent crime affects SRH in Mexico. 🇲🇽 More to come!
This paper forms the basis of my ERC Starting Grant on how local violent crime affects SRH in Mexico. 🇲🇽 More to come!
In “Consequences of Community Violence for Contraceptive Use & Provision in Mexico,” @signesvallfors.bsky.social @mlcaudillo.bsky.social & O. Torrisi find exposure to violence is associated with accelerated transition to first use, esp. for long-term exposure. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
November 23, 2025 at 9:08 AM
So excited to see this piece out in Demography. We find that exposure to community-level homicides is associated with higher probabilities of contraceptive first use and provision.
This paper forms the basis of my ERC Starting Grant on how local violent crime affects SRH in Mexico. 🇲🇽 More to come!
This paper forms the basis of my ERC Starting Grant on how local violent crime affects SRH in Mexico. 🇲🇽 More to come!
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Want better AI? Involve human experts.
New research from HRDAG and Cornell's CAT Lab offers powerful evidence for how participatory models improve reliability and validity. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
New research from HRDAG and Cornell's CAT Lab offers powerful evidence for how participatory models improve reliability and validity. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
New Research Shows Community Engagement Improves the Validity and Reliability of Artificial Intelligence
Community involvement can improve the validity and reliability of artificial intelligence (AI), argue HRDAG Executive Director Dr. Megan Price and Citizens and Technology Lab founder Dr. J. Nathan Mat...
hrdag.org
November 20, 2025 at 8:01 PM
Want better AI? Involve human experts.
New research from HRDAG and Cornell's CAT Lab offers powerful evidence for how participatory models improve reliability and validity. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
New research from HRDAG and Cornell's CAT Lab offers powerful evidence for how participatory models improve reliability and validity. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
new blog post: sampling the sample
we’ve focused on estimating means E[Y].
but say Y are openends ("describe how you feel about the candidate") and you want to read thru a few draws from the population, not only survey responders.
what should you do ?
we’ve focused on estimating means E[Y].
but say Y are openends ("describe how you feel about the candidate") and you want to read thru a few draws from the population, not only survey responders.
what should you do ?
November 19, 2025 at 12:59 AM
new blog post: sampling the sample
we’ve focused on estimating means E[Y].
but say Y are openends ("describe how you feel about the candidate") and you want to read thru a few draws from the population, not only survey responders.
what should you do ?
we’ve focused on estimating means E[Y].
but say Y are openends ("describe how you feel about the candidate") and you want to read thru a few draws from the population, not only survey responders.
what should you do ?
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
HRDAG's executive director Megan Price teamed up with CAT Lab Founder @natematias.bsky.social to research how human participation can improve AI. Read our latest findings. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
New Research Shows Community Engagement Improves the Validity and Reliability of Artificial Intelligence
Community involvement can improve the validity and reliability of artificial intelligence (AI), argue HRDAG Executive Director Dr. Megan Price and Citizens and Technology Lab founder Dr. J. Nathan Mat...
hrdag.org
November 18, 2025 at 6:38 PM
HRDAG's executive director Megan Price teamed up with CAT Lab Founder @natematias.bsky.social to research how human participation can improve AI. Read our latest findings. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
New article in @pnas.org: when scientists bring in the public, it can directly improve the science of AI. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
New Research Shows Community Engagement Improves the Validity and Reliability of Artificial Intelligence
Community involvement can improve the validity and reliability of artificial intelligence (AI), argue HRDAG Executive Director Dr. Megan Price and Citizens and Technology Lab founder Dr. J. Nathan Mat...
hrdag.org
November 17, 2025 at 8:07 PM
New article in @pnas.org: when scientists bring in the public, it can directly improve the science of AI. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Up next in the London Universities Population Seminar Series:
On 25 November at 12:45, Dr Isadora Cruxên (QMUL) will present “Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide.”
Join us in G08 (Keppel Street) or online: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
On 25 November at 12:45, Dr Isadora Cruxên (QMUL) will present “Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide.”
Join us in G08 (Keppel Street) or online: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide
How can technology support social justice struggles against gender-based violence and feminicide? This talk explores this question through the work of “Data Against Feminicide”, a collaborative
www.lshtm.ac.uk
November 17, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Up next in the London Universities Population Seminar Series:
On 25 November at 12:45, Dr Isadora Cruxên (QMUL) will present “Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide.”
Join us in G08 (Keppel Street) or online: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
On 25 November at 12:45, Dr Isadora Cruxên (QMUL) will present “Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide.”
Join us in G08 (Keppel Street) or online: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
For #FollowFriday:
Follow LSHTM's centres, projects & groups for more on work to tackle some of the biggest challenges in #PublicHealth
🎉Welcome to new addition @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social!
go.bsky.app/4FczAGW
Follow LSHTM's centres, projects & groups for more on work to tackle some of the biggest challenges in #PublicHealth
🎉Welcome to new addition @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social!
go.bsky.app/4FczAGW
November 14, 2025 at 1:34 PM
For #FollowFriday:
Follow LSHTM's centres, projects & groups for more on work to tackle some of the biggest challenges in #PublicHealth
🎉Welcome to new addition @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social!
go.bsky.app/4FczAGW
Follow LSHTM's centres, projects & groups for more on work to tackle some of the biggest challenges in #PublicHealth
🎉Welcome to new addition @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social!
go.bsky.app/4FczAGW
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Check out the programme for our upcoming Annual Event, a #humanitarian research showcase ✨
🗓️ Tue 25 Nov, 17.30-19.00 GMT
📍 LSHTM & online
Featuring @gordonneve.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & many more ⬇️
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
🗓️ Tue 25 Nov, 17.30-19.00 GMT
📍 LSHTM & online
Featuring @gordonneve.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & many more ⬇️
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
November 13, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Check out the programme for our upcoming Annual Event, a #humanitarian research showcase ✨
🗓️ Tue 25 Nov, 17.30-19.00 GMT
📍 LSHTM & online
Featuring @gordonneve.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & many more ⬇️
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
🗓️ Tue 25 Nov, 17.30-19.00 GMT
📍 LSHTM & online
Featuring @gordonneve.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & many more ⬇️
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: weights and MRP for voters
so far we've talked about weights and MRP for E[Y], vote choice in the population overall.
but what if you want E[Y | V = 1], vote choice in the population of voters.
what are the weights and how do you modify MRP ?
so far we've talked about weights and MRP for E[Y], vote choice in the population overall.
but what if you want E[Y | V = 1], vote choice in the population of voters.
what are the weights and how do you modify MRP ?
November 12, 2025 at 10:13 PM
blog post: weights and MRP for voters
so far we've talked about weights and MRP for E[Y], vote choice in the population overall.
but what if you want E[Y | V = 1], vote choice in the population of voters.
what are the weights and how do you modify MRP ?
so far we've talked about weights and MRP for E[Y], vote choice in the population overall.
but what if you want E[Y | V = 1], vote choice in the population of voters.
what are the weights and how do you modify MRP ?
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
HRDAG recently hosted a conversations with our colleagues in the human rights and data justice community about recent attacks on our field in the United States. Watch the first part of that conversation:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UHk...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UHk...
IN THE FACE OF TYRANNY: HRDAG Hosted Discussion with the Human Rights Community on Recent Threats
YouTube video by Human Rights Data Analysis Group
www.youtube.com
November 7, 2025 at 6:45 PM
HRDAG recently hosted a conversations with our colleagues in the human rights and data justice community about recent attacks on our field in the United States. Watch the first part of that conversation:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UHk...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UHk...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Como enfrentar a tirania? Acima de tudo, não perca os dados. Palestra de Patrick Ball e Megan Price, do @hrdag.org
hrdag.org/2025/11/05/w...
hrdag.org/2025/11/05/w...
Watch now: "In the Face of Tyranny," a Webinar with HRDAG
The Human Rights Data Analysis Group recently hosted a conversation about the significant threats facing human rights researchers and scientific NGOs in the United States. We are posting the first par...
hrdag.org
November 7, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Como enfrentar a tirania? Acima de tudo, não perca os dados. Palestra de Patrick Ball e Megan Price, do @hrdag.org
hrdag.org/2025/11/05/w...
hrdag.org/2025/11/05/w...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Numbers can’t bring back lives lost, but they can support truth and accountability.
That's why @hrdag.org uses statistical analysis and careful data curation to ensure we know the truth about state violence.
That's why @hrdag.org uses statistical analysis and careful data curation to ensure we know the truth about state violence.
November 4, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Numbers can’t bring back lives lost, but they can support truth and accountability.
That's why @hrdag.org uses statistical analysis and careful data curation to ensure we know the truth about state violence.
That's why @hrdag.org uses statistical analysis and careful data curation to ensure we know the truth about state violence.
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
HRDAG remains a nonpartisan, nonpolitical organization. Our mission is focused on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
Today, we denounce violations of human rights occurring in the United States. hrdag.org/in-the-face-...
Today, we denounce violations of human rights occurring in the United States. hrdag.org/in-the-face-...
October 21, 2025 at 5:49 PM
HRDAG remains a nonpartisan, nonpolitical organization. Our mission is focused on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
Today, we denounce violations of human rights occurring in the United States. hrdag.org/in-the-face-...
Today, we denounce violations of human rights occurring in the United States. hrdag.org/in-the-face-...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: MRPW
you've got a survey collected by someone else, and they gave you weights.
how can you use those weights in the MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) ?
you've got a survey collected by someone else, and they gave you weights.
how can you use those weights in the MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) ?
October 15, 2025 at 1:46 PM
blog post: MRPW
you've got a survey collected by someone else, and they gave you weights.
how can you use those weights in the MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) ?
you've got a survey collected by someone else, and they gave you weights.
how can you use those weights in the MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) ?
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Join us next week to hear from @farid-flici.bsky.social on population ageing and social security sustainability in Algeria 🇩🇿
🗓 Wednesday, 22 October 2025
🕐 12:45–13:45 (BST)
📍 KS-LG19
💻 Zoom: lshtm.zoom.us/j/89990670777
ℹ️ More details: www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
🗓 Wednesday, 22 October 2025
🕐 12:45–13:45 (BST)
📍 KS-LG19
💻 Zoom: lshtm.zoom.us/j/89990670777
ℹ️ More details: www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
October 15, 2025 at 8:02 AM
Join us next week to hear from @farid-flici.bsky.social on population ageing and social security sustainability in Algeria 🇩🇿
🗓 Wednesday, 22 October 2025
🕐 12:45–13:45 (BST)
📍 KS-LG19
💻 Zoom: lshtm.zoom.us/j/89990670777
ℹ️ More details: www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
🗓 Wednesday, 22 October 2025
🕐 12:45–13:45 (BST)
📍 KS-LG19
💻 Zoom: lshtm.zoom.us/j/89990670777
ℹ️ More details: www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
📆 Te esperamos este sábado en el foro público "Tejiendo saberes desde lo local" para escuchar y compartir experiencias en materia de búsqueda de personas e identificación forense.
⏰ 9:30 am
📍 Centro Cultural de España en México
🎟️ Entrada libre.
¡Hasta encontrarles!
⏰ 9:30 am
📍 Centro Cultural de España en México
🎟️ Entrada libre.
¡Hasta encontrarles!
October 9, 2025 at 6:22 PM
📆 Te esperamos este sábado en el foro público "Tejiendo saberes desde lo local" para escuchar y compartir experiencias en materia de búsqueda de personas e identificación forense.
⏰ 9:30 am
📍 Centro Cultural de España en México
🎟️ Entrada libre.
¡Hasta encontrarles!
⏰ 9:30 am
📍 Centro Cultural de España en México
🎟️ Entrada libre.
¡Hasta encontrarles!
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
Today is Donor Advised Fund Day. Make a big impact with your charitable contributions by sending a donation to
@hrdag.org today. hrdag.org/2025/10/08/d...
@hrdag.org today. hrdag.org/2025/10/08/d...
Donate to HRDAG with a Donor Advised Fund
HRDAG is pleased to accept donations to our nonprofit via Donor Advised Funds. We’ve published step-by-step directions to make donating through a DAF simple and fast. Check out the directions now or c...
hrdag.org
October 9, 2025 at 1:13 PM
Today is Donor Advised Fund Day. Make a big impact with your charitable contributions by sending a donation to
@hrdag.org today. hrdag.org/2025/10/08/d...
@hrdag.org today. hrdag.org/2025/10/08/d...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: struggles with equivalent weights
you've done MRP.
someone asks you for survey weights.
how to get them ?
you've done MRP.
someone asks you for survey weights.
how to get them ?
October 7, 2025 at 11:56 PM
blog post: struggles with equivalent weights
you've done MRP.
someone asks you for survey weights.
how to get them ?
you've done MRP.
someone asks you for survey weights.
how to get them ?
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: beyond balancing
in midterms, voters tend to support the out party for balance
do polls still help predict midterms ? yes
in midterms, voters tend to support the out party for balance
do polls still help predict midterms ? yes
October 1, 2025 at 10:40 AM
blog post: beyond balancing
in midterms, voters tend to support the out party for balance
do polls still help predict midterms ? yes
in midterms, voters tend to support the out party for balance
do polls still help predict midterms ? yes
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
LSE and @bspsuk.bsky.social are hosting a workshop on "Being an academic in population studies" on 3 November! It'll be a nice mix of methods training and career advice with great talks by @ericbschneider.bsky.social, Wendy Sigle, José Manuel Aburto, and others!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...
September 26, 2025 at 11:29 AM
LSE and @bspsuk.bsky.social are hosting a workshop on "Being an academic in population studies" on 3 November! It'll be a nice mix of methods training and career advice with great talks by @ericbschneider.bsky.social, Wendy Sigle, José Manuel Aburto, and others!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
blog post: Fat Bear Week
Basu's Bears is a lesson in:
1) using auxiliary information (pre-salmon-feasting weights)
2) how bad an unbiased estimator can be
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/23/s...
Basu's Bears is a lesson in:
1) using auxiliary information (pre-salmon-feasting weights)
2) how bad an unbiased estimator can be
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/23/s...
September 23, 2025 at 8:19 PM
blog post: Fat Bear Week
Basu's Bears is a lesson in:
1) using auxiliary information (pre-salmon-feasting weights)
2) how bad an unbiased estimator can be
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/23/s...
Basu's Bears is a lesson in:
1) using auxiliary information (pre-salmon-feasting weights)
2) how bad an unbiased estimator can be
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/23/s...
Reposted by Maria Gargiulo
The data is now available for all teams who've already signed up! More sign-ups very welcome! Happy analysing! 💻📊
📢 Interested in excess mortality methods, and want a challenge? I'm organising the "One Epidemic, Many Estimates" (1EME) project! Register *now* as a many analyst team (submissions due 15 March 2026), and then join us at LSE for a workshop on 21-22 May 2026! (1/n)
www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...
www.lse.ac.uk/Economic-His...
One Epidemic, Many Estimates (1EME)
One Epidemic, Many Estimates (1EME)
www.lse.ac.uk
September 16, 2025 at 11:27 AM
The data is now available for all teams who've already signed up! More sign-ups very welcome! Happy analysing! 💻📊