@humblestudent.bsky.social
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
#Sentiment has recovered by readings are neutral
#Sentiment has recovered by readings are neutral
December 6, 2025 at 1:05 PM
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
#Sentiment has recovered by readings are neutral
#Sentiment has recovered by readings are neutral
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
...but the yield curve is steepening
...but the yield curve is steepening
December 6, 2025 at 1:04 PM
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
...but the yield curve is steepening
...but the yield curve is steepening
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Risk appetite indicators are confirming the $SPX advance
Risk appetite indicators are confirming the $SPX advance
December 6, 2025 at 1:02 PM
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Risk appetite indicators are confirming the $SPX advance
Risk appetite indicators are confirming the $SPX advance
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Breadth is healing. $SPX A-D Line made an ATH, NYSE A-D Line is knocking at the door.
% bullish and % above 50 dma have recovered
Net 52w highs-lows are back to positive
Breadth is healing. $SPX A-D Line made an ATH, NYSE A-D Line is knocking at the door.
% bullish and % above 50 dma have recovered
Net 52w highs-lows are back to positive
December 6, 2025 at 1:01 PM
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Breadth is healing. $SPX A-D Line made an ATH, NYSE A-D Line is knocking at the door.
% bullish and % above 50 dma have recovered
Net 52w highs-lows are back to positive
Breadth is healing. $SPX A-D Line made an ATH, NYSE A-D Line is knocking at the door.
% bullish and % above 50 dma have recovered
Net 52w highs-lows are back to positive
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Can the Fear & Greed Index break up through the trend line, indicating that the bulls are taking full control of the tape?
#sentiment
Can the Fear & Greed Index break up through the trend line, indicating that the bulls are taking full control of the tape?
#sentiment
November 29, 2025 at 1:05 PM
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Can the Fear & Greed Index break up through the trend line, indicating that the bulls are taking full control of the tape?
#sentiment
Can the Fear & Greed Index break up through the trend line, indicating that the bulls are taking full control of the tape?
#sentiment
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
I'm not counting my chickens before they're hatched, but here is the out-of-sample record of ZBT buy signals. They fizzle in the ST when the Fed is raising rates, which isn't the case today.
I'm not counting my chickens before they're hatched, but here is the out-of-sample record of ZBT buy signals. They fizzle in the ST when the Fed is raising rates, which isn't the case today.
November 29, 2025 at 1:04 PM
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
I'm not counting my chickens before they're hatched, but here is the out-of-sample record of ZBT buy signals. They fizzle in the ST when the Fed is raising rates, which isn't the case today.
I'm not counting my chickens before they're hatched, but here is the out-of-sample record of ZBT buy signals. They fizzle in the ST when the Fed is raising rates, which isn't the case today.
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The market is getting close to a Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal - still have another week to go
The market is getting close to a Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal - still have another week to go
November 29, 2025 at 1:03 PM
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The market is getting close to a Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal - still have another week to go
The market is getting close to a Zweig Breadth Thrust buy signal - still have another week to go
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Sometimes it's useful to turn charts upside for a different perspective. Would you buy these charts?
$SPX $SPXEW
Sometimes it's useful to turn charts upside for a different perspective. Would you buy these charts?
$SPX $SPXEW
November 29, 2025 at 1:02 PM
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Sometimes it's useful to turn charts upside for a different perspective. Would you buy these charts?
$SPX $SPXEW
Sometimes it's useful to turn charts upside for a different perspective. Would you buy these charts?
$SPX $SPXEW
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
$QQQ testing overhead trend line resistance
$QQQ testing overhead trend line resistance
November 29, 2025 at 1:01 PM
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
$QQQ testing overhead trend line resistance
$QQQ testing overhead trend line resistance
MarketWatch: AI and tech stocks are giving ‘early 1999’ dot-com bubble vibes. Is their rally finished?
www.marketwatch.com/story/is-it-...
www.marketwatch.com/story/is-it-...
www.marketwatch.com
November 24, 2025 at 4:33 PM
MarketWatch: AI and tech stocks are giving ‘early 1999’ dot-com bubble vibes. Is their rally finished?
www.marketwatch.com/story/is-it-...
www.marketwatch.com/story/is-it-...
How to trade the AI Panic
buff.ly/rF3FNMK
buff.ly/rF3FNMK
November 24, 2025 at 1:05 PM
How to trade the AI Panic
buff.ly/rF3FNMK
buff.ly/rF3FNMK
Is it all over for growth stocks?
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
buff.ly/8P2jPdm
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
buff.ly/8P2jPdm
November 24, 2025 at 3:04 AM
Is it all over for growth stocks?
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
buff.ly/8P2jPdm
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
buff.ly/8P2jPdm
(New post) How to trade the AI Panic
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/how-...
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/how-...
November 23, 2025 at 10:03 PM
(New post) How to trade the AI Panic
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/how-...
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/how-...
$BTC is the sensitive canary in the coalmine of system liquidity, which has implications for risk appetite. Even as it tanks, it's testing a key support zone.
November 23, 2025 at 12:59 PM
$BTC is the sensitive canary in the coalmine of system liquidity, which has implications for risk appetite. Even as it tanks, it's testing a key support zone.
An (ungated) oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
buff.ly/ws4n3sb
buff.ly/ws4n3sb
November 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM
An (ungated) oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
buff.ly/ws4n3sb
buff.ly/ws4n3sb
Is it all over for growth stocks?
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/is-i...
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/is-i...
Is it all over for growth stocks?
Is it all over for artificial intelligence-related plays? AI market leader NVIDIA reported stronger-than-expected quarterly results, and CEO...
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com
November 22, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Is it all over for growth stocks?
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/is-i...
"As the market adopted a risk-off tone, market leadership showed a clear growth to value rotation across the board on all market cap bands and internationally"
humblestudentofthemarkets.blogspot.com/2025/11/is-i...
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Even as $SPX fell, forward 12m EPS rose strongly, indicating positive fundamental momentum
Even as $SPX fell, forward 12m EPS rose strongly, indicating positive fundamental momentum
November 22, 2025 at 1:05 PM
5 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Even as $SPX fell, forward 12m EPS rose strongly, indicating positive fundamental momentum
Even as $SPX fell, forward 12m EPS rose strongly, indicating positive fundamental momentum
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
$SPX forward P/E valuations have come off the boil as stock prices retreated
(cont...)
$SPX forward P/E valuations have come off the boil as stock prices retreated
(cont...)
November 22, 2025 at 1:04 PM
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
$SPX forward P/E valuations have come off the boil as stock prices retreated
(cont...)
$SPX forward P/E valuations have come off the boil as stock prices retreated
(cont...)
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
How worried should we be about negative breadth divergences?
How worried should we be about negative breadth divergences?
November 22, 2025 at 1:03 PM
3 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
How worried should we be about negative breadth divergences?
How worried should we be about negative breadth divergences?
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator reached an oversold condition on Thursday. The history of the signal in the last two years speaks for itself.
The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator reached an oversold condition on Thursday. The history of the signal in the last two years speaks for itself.
November 22, 2025 at 1:02 PM
2 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator reached an oversold condition on Thursday. The history of the signal in the last two years speaks for itself.
The Zweig Breadth Thrust Indicator reached an oversold condition on Thursday. The history of the signal in the last two years speaks for itself.
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Inversions of the $VIX term structure have tended to resolve in market bounces
Inversions of the $VIX term structure have tended to resolve in market bounces
November 22, 2025 at 1:01 PM
1 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Inversions of the $VIX term structure have tended to resolve in market bounces
Inversions of the $VIX term structure have tended to resolve in market bounces
It's time for our "thoughts for the weekend"
An oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
humblestudentofthemarkets.com/2025/10/18/a...
An oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
humblestudentofthemarkets.com/2025/10/18/a...
November 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM
It's time for our "thoughts for the weekend"
An oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
humblestudentofthemarkets.com/2025/10/18/a...
An oldie but goodie: A fragile bull
humblestudentofthemarkets.com/2025/10/18/a...
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Greed and Fear back at extreme fear
Greed and Fear back at extreme fear
November 15, 2025 at 1:04 PM
4 of 5 thoughts for the weekend
Greed and Fear back at extreme fear
Greed and Fear back at extreme fear