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conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project
@conflictresearch.bsky.social
42 followers 32 following 21 posts
PaCE (Patterns of Conflict Emergence) is a five year (2022-2026) ERC-funded project at Trinity College Dublin in the Department of Political Science. Uncovers recurring temporal sequences in the run-up to war.
Website: https://www.forecastlab.org/
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conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is to present his work "Domestic Support for Rapprochement between International Rivals: Evidence from South Korea" on Thursday 9 October, at 4pm in the TRiSS Seminar Room in Trinity College.

For more information see: www.tcd.ie/Asian/events/
September 23, 2025 at 12:31 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Come and work with us!

PaCE is recruiting two research fellows to join the project - for more information, check out the PaCE website and TCD Vacancies page.

www.forecastlab.org
my.corehr.com/pls/trrecrui...

Application deadline 25 August 2025!
July 29, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by PaCE Project
tcdschoolssp.bsky.social
Huge congrats to @tcdpoliticalsci.bsky.social Professor Thomas Chadefaux and Dr Tim Bodt from @langslitscultures.bsky.social who have secured @erc.europa.eu funding to investigate the potential of AI to address challenges in conflict forecasting and language preservation.

www.tcd.ie/news_events/...
July 14, 2025 at 3:26 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Exciting news - Prof. Thomas Chadefaux awarded a Proof of Concept grant by the ERC. AICAP (Artificial Intelligence for Conflict Analysis and Prediction) will analyse real-time geopolitical, economic, and behavioural data to forecast patterns in conflict development. #TrinityResearch #erc.europa.eu
July 15, 2025 at 9:09 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
PaCE Project PhD candidate Thomas Schincariol presenting his paper at the recent 2025 Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference in Barcelona.
June 24, 2025 at 1:50 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
June 10, 2025 at 10:21 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
June 5, 2025 at 11:01 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Benin's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 30, 2025 at 10:12 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Nigeria's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 15, 2025 at 9:31 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Research Fellow Dr Jungmin Han is one of the speakers this evening at a public seminar in the UCD Centre for Asia-Pacific Research. The topic: Reunification Identities: Unifying Korean Reunification with a Global World - "Mind the Gap".
May 7, 2025 at 12:05 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Sudan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
May 5, 2025 at 5:50 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Israel's fatalities pattern that mostly led to an increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 25, 2025 at 11:07 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Afghanistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
April 10, 2025 at 4:06 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Lebanon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 31, 2025 at 11:04 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last India's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 17, 2025 at 12:19 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Pakistan's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a stable conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 10, 2025 at 11:13 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Cameroon's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly decreasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
March 5, 2025 at 1:50 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
📊 Check out the last Somalia's fatalities pattern that mostly led to a slightly increasing conflict risk in history.
🗺️ Interactive Map
📄 Monthly Report
💻 Github Repo
Test
February 25, 2025 at 1:26 PM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Our monthly global risk predication map report is published today - if you want to sign up to get it in your in-box every month, the link to subscribe is on our website:
www.forecastlab.org/predictionmap

Here is a preview!
January 28, 2025 at 11:20 AM
conflictresearch.bsky.social
Delighted to share the publication of "Dynamic Synthetic Controls: Accounting for Varying Speeds in Comparative Case Studies" in the journal Political Analysis, authored by PaCE colleagues Jian Cao and Thomas Chadefaux.
Available at:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
November 19, 2024 at 1:22 PM